Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction

Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza·Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
Gimnasia M. Rest
7 days
Deportivo Riestra Rest
4 days

Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra: the result in context

Gimnasia M. and Deportivo Riestra drew 0-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 19 Sep 2026. Gimnasia M. had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Deportivo Riestra.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.0 goals a game. Referee Carlos Andres Gariano averages 4.21 cards a game, 1.01 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.24
X
29%2.88
2
22%3.77
Double Chance
1X
78%1.25
X2
51%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.33
No
52%1.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 0.87 = 2.17
Over 1.5
70%1.63
Over 2.5
44%2.95
Over 3.5
22%6.50
Under 1.5
30%2.23
Under 2.5
56%1.36
Under 3.5
78%1.10
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.1 = 9.8
Over 8.5
59%1.75
Over 9.5
46%2.25
Over 10.5
36%3.04
Under 8.5
41%2.00
Under 9.5
54%1.58
Under 10.5
64%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.8 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%1.42
Over 4.5
52%1.83
Under 3.5
29%2.75
Under 4.5
48%1.83

Match Events

46'B. Andrada INM. Vargas out
46'A. Stringa INP. Ramirez out
46'N. Barboza INI. Sabatini out
48'P. RamirezFoul
51'A. ModicaFoul
57'A. Graneros INT. Gonzalez out
60'L. CingolaniFoul
69'I. SabatiniSerious foul
70'U. Sanchez INT. Ortiz out
70'L. Cingolani INB. Armoa out
71'F. Mino INM. Aiello out
80'L. Paredes INJ. Franco out
84'J. Goitia INN. Watson out
84'A. Diaz INA. Alonso out
86'M. AielloFoul
90+5'Goal Disallowed - offsideA. Alonso
90+9'J. FrancoUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Gimnasia M.
4-2-3-1Coach: Ariel Broggi
Deportivo Riestra
4-4-2Coach: Gustavo Benitez
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.91
Cesar Rigamonti7.223C. Rigamonti
Luciano Paredes8.032L. Paredes
Diego MondinoC7.52D. Mondino
Ezequiel Muñoz7.74E. Muñoz
Matias Recalde7.23M. Recalde
Ulises Sánchez6.315U. Sánchez
Nahuel Barboza6.65N. Barboza
Luciano Cingolani6.57L. Cingolani
Esteban Fernández7.730E. Fernández
Brian Andrada6.933B. Andrada
Agustín Modica6.29A. Modica
Ignacio Arce7.91I. Arce
Nicolás Sansotre6.915N. Sansotre
Facundo Miño7.224F. Miño
Cristian Paz7.322C. Paz
Mariano Bracamonte7.736M. Bracamonte
Ángel Stringa6.235Á. Stringa
Milton CelizC7.58M. Celiz
Pablo Monje6.914P. Monje
Yonatan Goitia6.927Y. Goitia
Alexander Díaz6.011A. Díaz
Miguel Agustín Graneros6.329M. Agustín Graneros

Gimnasia M. Substitutes

31Lautaro Petruchi
16Germán Guiffrey
36Ismael Cortez
22Juan Franco80'for L. Paredes90+9'6.3
42Lautaro Carrera
20Tomás Ortiz70'for U. Sanchez7.0
19Julian Ceballos
27Blas Armoa70'for L. Cingolani6.5
8Matías Vargas46'for B. Andrada7.3
11Santiago Rodríguez
35Valentino Simoni

Deportivo Riestra Substitutes

23Marino Arzamendia
5Pedro Ramírez46'for A. Stringa48'6.9
17Manuel Aiello71'for F. Mino86'6.5
13Rodrigo Gallo
3Eric Tovo
7Antony Alonso84'for A. Diaz7.7
20Thiago Lauro
40Gabriel Obredor
18Benjamin Perez
31Mauro Smarra
21Tomás Gonzalez57'for A. Graneros6.2
16Nicolas Watson84'for J. Goitia6.5

Match Stats

Gimnasia M.Deportivo Riestra
72%Ball Possession28%
4Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
16Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots4
10Fouls10
0Offsides5
2Goalkeeper Saves3
530Total Passes211
454Passes Accurate124
86%Pass Accuracy59%

Team Comparison

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
1616Elo Rating 1541
0.46Attack 0.46
1.73Defense 1.88
19%Hit Rate 0%
12.0Shots per Game 12.1
2.1Shots on Target 3.5
2.6Corners per Game 2.5
2.4Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1Wins · 17%
Draws583%
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina12/03/2026
Deportivo RiestraGimnasia M.
00
Primera Nacional23/03/2022
Deportivo RiestraGimnasia M.
00
Primera Nacional18/10/2021
Deportivo RiestraGimnasia M.
00
Primera Nacional23/06/2021
Gimnasia M.Deportivo Riestra
11
Primera Nacional14/12/2020
Deportivo RiestraGimnasia M.
13
Primera Nacional07/10/2019
Deportivo RiestraGimnasia M.
00

Referee Profile

Carlos Andres Gariano182 matches

4.21Cards per match
3.98Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
22.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Carlos Andres Gariano4.21
Other referees5.22

4.21 cards a match, 1.01 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).

Cards come from 53 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WWLWW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WDWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWLLW
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WWLWD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDWLL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324LWDLW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDWDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421LLWLD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LWWLW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLWW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WDWLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDLL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WLLLW
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215WDWWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba14102221:10+1132LWWLW
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027DWLLW
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1476122:14+827WDWWD
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727LLLWW
5LanusLanus1473417:10+724LWDLW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1456313:10+321WDWWL
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120WDWLL
8IndependienteIndependiente1454512:14-219WDWLL
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo145367:12-518DDWDL
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1452721:23-217LLWLD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114WWLWW
12PlatensePlatense1435614:20-614LDDLL
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1426610:14-412LLLDL
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210WLLLW
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1423913:22-99WWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1421:1032
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1423:1327
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1422:1427
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1420:1327
5LanusLanus1417:1024
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1413:1021
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1416:1520
8IndependienteIndependiente1412:1419
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo147:1218
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1421:2317
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1417:1814
12PlatensePlatense1414:2014
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1410:1412
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1411:2310
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1413:229

About the Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gimnasia M. and Deportivo Riestra in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Gimnasia M. are 11th and Deportivo Riestra 15th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Gimnasia M. 14-22, Deportivo Riestra 5-12. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.