Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. Prediction

Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Defensa Y Justicia Rest
5 days
Gimnasia M. Rest
6 days

Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M.: the result in context

Defensa Y Justicia beat Gimnasia M. 2-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 11 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.02
X
29%3.27
2
28%3.70
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
58%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.91
No
46%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.03 = 2.24
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.16
Over 3.5
25%4.00
Under 1.5
29%2.94
Under 2.5
55%1.70
Under 3.5
75%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.5 = 8.9
Over 8.5
49%1.75
Over 9.5
40%2.24
Over 10.5
28%3.05
Under 8.5
51%1.98
Under 9.5
60%1.60
Under 10.5
72%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
61%1.45
Over 4.5
42%1.91
Under 3.5
39%2.52
Under 4.5
58%1.80

Match Events

11'Leandro FernándezAssist: Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
20'Goal cancelledLeandro Fernández
34'Facundo Lencioni INBrian Andrada out
45'Héctor David MartínezFoul
50'Diego MondinoFoul
57'David BarbonaAssist: César Pérez
63'Fermin Antonini INNahuel Barboza out
63'Esteban Fernández INAgustín Módica out
63'Ulises Sánchez INMatías Vargas out
66'David Barbona INMaximiliano Porcel out
70'Luciano ParedesFoul
75'Luciano César CingolaniFoul
76'Luciano César Cingolani INSantiago Rodríguez out
79'Jeremías Lucco INAgustin Hausch out
79'Leandro Fernández INTiziano Perrotta out
83'Juan Manuel Gutiérrez INE Burdin out

Lineups

Defensa Y Justicia
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Vaccari
Gimnasia M.
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Franco
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.20
M. Borgogno7.01M. Borgogno
V. Loza6.728V. Loza
D. Fernández6.729D. Fernández
D. Martínez6.521D. Martínez
F. Román6.83F. Román
S. Sosa6.515S. Sosa
C. Pérez7.48C. Pérez
J. Lucco7.126J. Lucco
D. Barbona8.219D. Barbona
J. Gutiérrez7.724J. Gutiérrez
L. Fernández7.99L. Fernández
C. Rigamonti6.923C. Rigamonti
L. Paredes5.932L. Paredes
D. Mondino5.72D. Mondino
E. Muñoz6.34E. Muñoz
M. Recalde5.53M. Recalde
F. Antonini6.521F. Antonini
U. Sánchez6.515U. Sánchez
L. Cingolani6.77L. Cingolani
E. Fernández5.830E. Fernández
F. Lencioni5.626F. Lencioni
I. Sabatini6.217I. Sabatini

Defensa Y Justicia Substitutes

27D. Blanco
36L. Amadé
6E. Burdin83'for Juan Manuel Gutiérrez6.6
30D. Domínguez
17A. Hausch79'for Jeremías Lucco6.6
5J. López
45T. Martinez
11Tiziano Perrota79'for Leandro Fernández6.4
22M. Porcel66'for David Barbona6.8
16A. Portillo
7T. Pérez
32Nazareno Roselli

Gimnasia M. Substitutes

5N. Barboza63'for Fermin Antonini6.0
42L. Carrera
19J. Ceballos
22J. Franco
16G. Guiffrey
9A. Módica63'for Esteban Fernández6.1
20T. Ortiz
31L. Petruchi
11S. Rodríguez76'for Luciano César Cingolani6.4
35V. Simoni
8M. Vargas63'for Ulises Sánchez6.1
33B. Andrada34'for Facundo Lencioni7.2

Match Stats

Defensa Y JusticiaGimnasia M.
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots6
18Fouls9
6Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
354Total Passes376
274Passes Accurate295
77%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
1685Elo Rating 1616
1.71Attack 0.46
2.22Defense 1.73
63%Hit Rate 19%
17.3Shots per Game 12.0
5.9Shots on Target 2.1
3.4Corners per Game 2.6
2.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina04/05/2026
Gimnasia M.Defensa Y Justicia
21

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231DWWLW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WWDWW
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DDWLL
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426DWWLW
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424LWDWL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324DLWDL
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022WDDWD
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421DLLWL
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021DLWWL
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLLW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819LWDWL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LLDDL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016DWLLL
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215DWDWW
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711WLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba15103224:13+1133DLWWL
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1586123:14+930WWDWW
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1577125:15+1028DDWLL
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1584321:14+728LLLLW
5LanusLanus1574418:11+725DLWDL
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1557314:11+322DWDWW
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1563617:16+121LWDWL
8IndependienteIndependiente1555513:15-220LWDWL
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo155469:14-519WDDWD
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1553722:24-218DLLWL
11PlatensePlatense1545616:20-417LLDDL
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1543820:21-115DWWLW
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1533916:22-612DWWLW
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1526710:17-712WLLLD
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1524911:25-1410DWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1524:1333
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1523:1430
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1525:1528
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1521:1428
5LanusLanus1518:1125
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1514:1122
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1517:1621
8IndependienteIndependiente1513:1520
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo159:1419
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1522:2418
11PlatensePlatense1516:2017
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1520:2115
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1516:2212
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1510:1712
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1511:2510

About the Defensa Y Justicia vs Gimnasia M. forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Defensa Y Justicia and Gimnasia M. in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Defensa Y Justicia (10th) and Gimnasia M. (11th) are level on 19 points. League goal record so far: Defensa Y Justicia 18-21, Gimnasia M. 14-22. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Defensa Y Justicia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Defensa Y Justicia and Gimnasia M. have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.