River Plate vs Independ. Rivadavia Prediction

Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires·Nicolas Ramirez, Argentina 07/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.74
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
River Plate Rest
7 days
Independ. Rivadavia Rest
6 days

River Plate vs Independ. Rivadavia: result, form and history

River Plate beat Independ. Rivadavia 3-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 3 matches. Referee Nicolas Ramirez averages 6.14 cards a game, 1.02 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%1.72
X
30%3.40
2
29%5.20
Double Chance
1X
71%1.15
X2
59%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.15
No
55%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 0.95 = 2.09
Over 1.5
64%1.40
Over 2.5
36%2.35
Over 3.5
13%4.32
Under 1.5
36%2.77
Under 2.5
64%1.60
Under 3.5
87%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.1 = 9.2
Over 8.5
52%1.80
Over 9.5
43%2.23
Over 10.5
33%2.92
Under 8.5
48%1.93
Under 9.5
57%1.56
Under 10.5
67%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.8 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%1.34
Over 4.5
32%1.62
Under 3.5
49%2.80
Under 4.5
68%2.20

Match Events

17'Matías FernándezDissent
29'Alex ArceDissent
30'Gonzalo Montiel(Penalty)
38'Iván VillalbaFoul
40'Jose Ignacio FlorentinFoul
43'Nicolás OtamendiFoul
54'Tomás Ezequiel Galván
57'Fabrizio Sartori Prieto INLuis Ángel Díaz Cuesta out
57'Gonzalo Rios INLuis Sequeira out
66'Alejo Osella INAlex Vigo out
68'Alex ArceAssist: Jose Ignacio Florentin
70'Lucas Martinez QuartaFoul
77'Tobías Andrada INLucas Beltran out
77'Sebastián Driussi INJuan Cruz Meza out
80'Tomás Ezequiel GalvánAssist: Lucas Beltran
81'Marcos Acuña INFrancisco Ortega out
89'Tomas Bottari INVictorio Ramis out
89'Ángel Correa INMauro Arambarri out
89'Tomás Ezequiel Galván INRafael Borré out

Lineups

River Plate
4-1-3-2Coach: Leonardo Ponzio
Independ. Rivadavia
4-3-1-2Coach: A. Berti
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.18
S. Beltrán7.041S. Beltrán
G. Montiel6.829G. Montiel
L. Martínez6.228L. Martínez
N. Otamendi6.230N. Otamendi
M. Acuña6.621M. Acuña
F. Vera6.415F. Vera
T. Andrada6.050T. Andrada
T. Almada7.223T. Almada
T. Galván9.626T. Galván
Á. Correa7.210Á. Correa
S. Driussi6.19S. Driussi
Nicolás Bolcato6.830N. Bolcato
A. Osella5.013A. Osella
I. Villalba6.240I. Villalba
L. Costa6.02L. Costa
J. Elordi5.83J. Elordi
G. Ríos5.811G. Ríos
T. Bottari6.15T. Bottari
J. Florentín6.625J. Florentín
M. Fernández6.310M. Fernández
F. Sartori6.543F. Sartori
A. Arce7.69A. Arce

River Plate Substitutes

19R. Borré89'for Tomás Ezequiel Galván6.5
18L. Beltrán77'for Tobías Andrada6.4
33E. Centurión
20G. González
43V. Lucero
24J. Meza77'for Sebastián Driussi6.4
3F. Ortega81'for Marcos Acuña6.5
25L. Pereyra
2T. Palacio
13L. Rivero
44L. Silva
8M. Arambarri89'for Ángel Correa6.3

Independ. Rivadavia Substitutes

36E. Bonifacio
8L. Bucca
27D. Crego
23L. Díaz57'for Fabrizio Sartori Prieto6.3
21Emmanuel Gómez
34S. Moreyra
7V. Ramis89'for Tomas Bottari6.2
77L. Sequeira57'for Gonzalo Rios5.9
45L. Sabato
28A. Vigo66'for Alejo Osella5.9
32K. Vázquez
19R. Atencio

Match Stats

River PlateIndepend. Rivadavia
58%Ball Possession42%
2Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots10
10Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
11Fouls16
1Offsides5
4Goalkeeper Saves6
507Total Passes363
404Passes Accurate262
80%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

River PlateRiver Plate
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
1761Elo Rating 1723
1.68Attack 1.04
2.30Defense 0.98
61%Hit Rate 17%
20.1Shots per Game 12.5
6.5Shots on Target 4.1
7.7Corners per Game 4.1
1.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

River PlateRiver Plate
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

River PlateRiver Plate0Wins · 0%
Draws267%
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1Wins · 33%
1.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina03/03/2026
Independ. RivadaviaRiver Plate
11
Copa Argentina25/10/2025
Independ. RivadaviaRiver Plate
4030
Liga Profesional Argentina22/11/2024
Independ. RivadaviaRiver Plate
21

Referee Profile

Nicolas Ramirez146 matches

6.14Cards per match
5.85Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nicolas Ramirez6.14
Other referees5.12

6.14 cards a match, 1.02 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).

Cards come from 102 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWWWW
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029LWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WLWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WLWLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWLLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DWWDD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DLLWW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021DWLDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLWWL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1484222:11+1128WLWLW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1484218:11+728WLWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1474321:18+325WWLLL
4River PlateRiver Plate1472519:13+623LWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1464414:11+322DWLLD
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1464413:11+222DWLDW
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1463522:21+121LLWWL
8HuracanHuracan1454512:14-219DWWDD
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1454517:22-519DWWWW
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
12TigreTigre1434713:16-313DDLLD
13Racing ClubRacing Club1433814:21-712DLLWW
14AldosiviAldosivi1432915:22-711DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto142399:19-109LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1422:1128
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1418:1128
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1421:1825
4River PlateRiver Plate1419:1323
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1414:1122
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1413:1122
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1422:2121
8HuracanHuracan1412:1419
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1417:2219
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
12TigreTigre1413:1613
13Racing ClubRacing Club1414:2112
14AldosiviAldosivi1415:2211
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto149:199

About the River Plate vs Independ. Rivadavia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

River Plate and Independ. Rivadavia in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Independ. Rivadavia are 1st in the Liga Profesional Argentina, 5 points ahead of River Plate in 2nd. League goal record so far: River Plate 22-12, Independ. Rivadavia 29-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

River Plate have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Independ. Rivadavia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.