Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction

Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe 08/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+1.6%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Union Santa Fe Rest
10 days
Instituto Cordoba Rest
7 days

Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba: the result in context

Union Santa Fe beat Instituto Cordoba 3-2 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 8 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.95
X
36%2.96
2
29%2.62
Double Chance
1X
71%1.44
X2
65%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.06
No
56%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.05 + 0.98 = 2.03
Over 1.5
56%1.50
Over 2.5
33%2.56
Over 3.5
12%4.95
Under 1.5
44%2.55
Under 2.5
67%1.50
Under 3.5
88%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
55%1.77
Over 9.5
43%2.16
Over 10.5
33%2.87
Under 8.5
45%1.96
Under 9.5
57%1.64
Under 10.5
67%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.35
Over 4.5
38%1.67
Under 3.5
43%2.95
Under 4.5
62%2.05

Match Events

13'Leonel MosevichAssist: Alex Luna
25'Brahian CuelloAssist: Juan Pintado
28'Emilio GiacconeFoul
37'Fernando AlarconFoul
44'Matías GallardoFoul
48'Cristian TarragonaAssist: Brahian Cuello
58'Jhon Córdoba INJeremías Ezequiel Lázaro out
58'Matías Tissera INNicolás Guerra out
62'Emilio Giaccone INJoaquin Mosqueira out
70'Brahian Cuello INMisael Aguirre out
70'Marcelo Estigarriba INErik Ramirez out
73'Jonathan Galván INHernán De La Fuente out
73'Gustavo Abregú INJuan Ignacio Méndez out
73'Giuliano Cerato INFacundo Ezquel Suarez out
74'Misael AguirreAssist: Lucas Menossi
83'Alex LunaArgument
87'Hernán De La FuenteAssist: Alex Luna
89'Card upgrade confirmedCristian Tarragona
90'Cristian TarragonaSerious foul
90+1'Juan Pintado INNazareno Garcia Fazzi out
90+1'Lucas Menossi INMateo Peresutti out
90+6'Matías Gallardo
90+8'Facundo Ezquel SuarezFoul

Lineups

Union Santa Fe
4-4-2Coach: Leonardo Madelon
Instituto Cordoba
3-4-3Coach: Diego Flores
Avg rating6.51
Avg rating6.15
M. Mansilla6.221M. Mansilla
J. Pintado6.015J. Pintado
T. Fagioli6.644T. Fagioli
J. Ludueña6.926J. Ludueña
L. Ayala5.618L. Ayala
B. Cuello8.222B. Cuello
L. Menossi6.65L. Menossi
E. Giaccone5.88E. Giaccone
V. Malcorra6.410V. Malcorra
C. Tarragona6.525C. Tarragona
M. Estigarribia6.419M. Estigarribia
M. Ledesma5.829M. Ledesma
L. Mosevich7.426L. Mosevich
J. Galván6.330J. Galván
F. Alarcón5.56F. Alarcón
G. Cerato5.244G. Cerato
A. Luna7.210A. Luna
G. Abregú5.255G. Abregú
D. Sosa6.53D. Sosa
J. Córdoba6.220J. Córdoba
M. Tissera6.217M. Tissera
M. Gallardo5.715M. Gallardo

Union Santa Fe Substitutes

36M. Aimar
38V. J. Cerrudo
32N. Garcia90+1'for Juan Pintado
46S. Grella
40L. Meuli
17J. Mosqueira62'for Emilio Giaccone6.0
34M. Peresutti90+1'for Lucas Menossi
12B. Pittón
43E. Ramírez70'for Marcelo Estigarriba6.7
4M. Rocha
45R. Solbes
31M. Aguirre70'for Brahian Cuello74'7.5

Instituto Cordoba Substitutes

32A. Bravo
8J. Acevedo
2H. De La Fuente73'for Jonathan Galván87'6.8
11M. Fonseca
7N. Guerra58'for Matías Tissera6.4
21J. Lázaro58'for Jhon Córdoba5.9
22A. Massaccesi
23J. Meli
13I. Méndez73'for Gustavo Abregú5.9
19L. Sanseviero
35E. Sittaro
9F. Suárez73'for Giuliano Cerato90+8'6.5

Match Stats

Union Santa FeInstituto Cordoba
43%Ball Possession57%
2Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards1
9Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots3
6Fouls12
3Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves1
313Total Passes411
221Passes Accurate308
71%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba
1586Elo Rating 1745
0.58Attack 2.29
1.07Defense 2.04
0%Hit Rate 77%
15.7Shots per Game 11.8
4.4Shots on Target 4.5
4.2Corners per Game 4.6
3.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina01/03/2026
Instituto CordobaUnion Santa Fe
12
Liga Profesional Argentina16/08/2025
Instituto CordobaUnion Santa Fe
04
Liga Profesional Argentina14/02/2025
Union Santa FeInstituto Cordoba
00
Liga Profesional Argentina19/05/2024
Instituto CordobaUnion Santa Fe
11
Liga Profesional Argentina06/02/2023
Union Santa FeInstituto Cordoba
02

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WWLWW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WDWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWLLW
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WWLWD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDWLL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324LWDLW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDWDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421LLWLD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LWWLW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLWW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WDWLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDLL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WLLLW
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215WDWWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba14102221:10+1132LWWLW
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027DWLLW
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1476122:14+827WDWWD
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727LLLWW
5LanusLanus1473417:10+724LWDLW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1456313:10+321WDWWL
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120WDWLL
8IndependienteIndependiente1454512:14-219WDWLL
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo145367:12-518DDWDL
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1452721:23-217LLWLD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114WWLWW
12PlatensePlatense1435614:20-614LDDLL
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1426610:14-412LLLDL
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210WLLLW
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1423913:22-99WWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1421:1032
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1423:1327
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1422:1427
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1420:1327
5LanusLanus1417:1024
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1413:1021
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1416:1520
8IndependienteIndependiente1412:1419
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo147:1218
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1421:2317
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1417:1814
12PlatensePlatense1414:2014
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1410:1412
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1411:2310
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1413:229

About the Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union Santa Fe and Instituto Cordoba in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Union Santa Fe (8th) and Instituto Cordoba (9th) are level on 21 points. League goal record so far: Union Santa Fe 24-20, Instituto Cordoba 17-17. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.