Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.68
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+13.5%
Union Santa Fe Rest
7 days
Sarmiento Junin Rest
5 days
Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin: the result in context
Union Santa Fe beat Sarmiento Junin 4-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 28 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Sarmiento Junin had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Union Santa Fe.
Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Pablo Echavarria averages 4.73 cards a game, 0.55 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%1.83
X27%3.40
226%4.43
Double Chance
1X74%1.20
X253%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.95
No50%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 0.94 = 2.07
Over 1.560%1.36
Over 2.532%2.15
Over 3.511%3.95
Under 1.540%3.08
Under 2.568%1.68
Under 3.589%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.4 = 9.3
Over 8.555%1.54
Over 9.543%1.90
Over 10.529%2.48
Under 8.545%2.30
Under 9.557%1.83
Under 10.571%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.4 = 3.8
Over 3.552%-
Over 4.536%1.67
Under 3.548%-
Under 4.564%2.10
Match Events
8'J. ContreraFoul
18'C. TarragonaAssist: E. Giaccone
23'M. Luna Diale INI. Malcorra out
44'L. SuarezFoul
46'J. Contrera INU. Gimenez out
61'C. TarragonaAssist: I. Malcorra
62'I. MalcorraFoul
66'S. Salle ING. Gonzalez out
66'J. Herrera INP. Magnin out
71'B. Cuello INM. Aguirre out
74'I. MalcorraAssist: L. Ayala
78'L. Menossi INM. Peresutti out
78'M. Estigarribia INE. Ramirez out
79'J. Mavilla
81'J. Marabel INDiego Churin out
84'E. Ramirez
89'J. Mavilla INE. Gimenez out
Lineups
Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin
4-4-2Coach: Facundo SavaAvg ratingAvg rating
21M. Mansilla
15J. Pintado
2M. Rodriguez
26J. Pablo Ludueña
18L. Ayala
22B. Cuello
8E. Giaccone
5L. Menossi
11M. Luna
C25C. Tarragona
19M. Estigarribia
12T. Ayala
8S. Salle
44R. Orihuela
C2J. Manuel Insaurralde
3L. Suárez
19J. Contrera
15C. Zabala
16M. Martínez
21J. Mavilla
24J. Herrera
27J. MarabelUnion Santa Fe Substitutes
10Ignacio Malcorra23'for M. Luna Diale62'74'
31Misael Aguirre71'for B. Cuello
34Mateo Peresutti78'for L. Menossi
43Eric Ramírez78'for M. Estigarribia84'
40Lucas Meuli
38Valentín Cerrudo
32Nazareno Fazzi
44Tomás Fagioli
4Matías Rocha
12Bruno Pittón
46Santiago Grella
29Santino Vera
Sarmiento Junin Substitutes
20Ulises Giménez46'for J. Contrera
11Gastón González66'for S. Salle
7Pablo Magnin66'for J. Herrera
9Diego Churin81'for J. Marabel
23Elián Giménez89'for J. Mavilla
1Iván Arboleda
29Thiago Santamaría
33Gabriel Díaz
6Gastón Arturia
77Nicolás Pasquini
5Manuel Garcia
17Agustin Nadruz
Match Stats
Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin 49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots1
11Fouls11
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves1
333Total Passes334
244Passes Accurate253
73%Pass Accuracy76%
Team Comparison
Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin1614Elo Rating 1613
1.18Attack 1.05
1.33Defense 1.50
27%Hit Rate 14%
15.3Shots per Game 10.0
4.9Shots on Target 2.7
4.7Corners per Game 3.3
2.3Cards per Game 3.8
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Union Santa Fe- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
Sarmiento Junin- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Union Santa Fe3Wins · 43%Draws114%
Sarmiento Junin3Wins · 43%
3Wins · 43%2.6Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7
Previous meetings
26/02/2026Sarmiento JuninUnion Santa Fe13
30/09/2024Sarmiento JuninUnion Santa Fe10
15/05/2023Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin02
09/09/2022Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin10
27/02/2022Sarmiento JuninUnion Santa Fe21
16/10/2021Sarmiento JuninUnion Santa Fe34
27/03/2021Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin00
Recent Form
Union Santa Fe3W2D5L
21/08/2026
AldosiviUnion Santa Fe
San LorenzoUnion Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de SantiagoUnion Santa Fe
Lanus
Gimnasia M.Union Santa Fe
PlatenseUnion Santa Fe
AldosiviUnion Santa Fe13
W15/08/2026San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe10
L11/08/2026Union Santa FeCentral Cordoba de Santiago12
L07/08/2026Union Santa FeLanus21
W01/08/2026Gimnasia M.Union Santa Fe20
L25/07/2026PlatenseUnion Santa Fe22
D23/05/2026Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa FeIndependiente02
L13/05/2026
Belgrano CordobaUnion Santa Fe
Belgrano CordobaUnion Santa Fe20
L10/05/2026
Independ. RivadaviaUnion Santa Fe
Independ. RivadaviaUnion Santa Fe12
W02/05/2026Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
Union Santa FeTalleres Cordoba11
DSarmiento Junin5W0D5L
23/08/2026Sarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Atletico TucumanSarmiento JuninSarmiento JuninIndepend. Rivadavia
BanfieldSarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
Argentinos JRS
Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.20
W16/08/2026Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
08/08/2026Sarmiento JuninHuracan20
WAtletico TucumanSarmiento Junin12
W03/08/2026Sarmiento JuninIndepend. Rivadavia21
W29/07/2026BanfieldSarmiento Junin32
L24/07/2026Sarmiento JuninArgentinos JRS23
L17/07/2026Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors02
L03/05/2026Belgrano CordobaSarmiento Junin
Belgrano CordobaSarmiento Junin40
L26/04/2026Sarmiento Junin
Tigre
Sarmiento JuninTigre10
W20/04/2026
Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin
Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin21
LReferee Profile
4.73Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.73 cards a match, 0.55 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.28).
Cards come from 157 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | DWWLW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | DLLWL |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | DLWWL |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | DWDWW |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | WLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | LDWLL |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | DDLLW |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | DDWLD |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | LDDLL |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | LDLWL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | LDLDL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24:13 | +11 | 33 | DLWWL |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:14 | +9 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 25:15 | +10 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 22 | DWDWW |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 19 | WDDWD |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 15 | DWWLW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 | WLLLD |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 15 | 24:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 23:14 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 9:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 15 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 20:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 31 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | +4 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | +5 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | LDWLL |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | +2 | 23 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 21 | WLLWW |
| 8 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 | DWWWW |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 | LDLWL |
| 11 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 15 | DDLLW |
| 13 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 18:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 23:19 | 28 |
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | 19:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 15 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 15 | 15:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 23:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 15 | 12:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Tigre | 15 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 16:22 | 15 |
| 13 | Banfield | 14 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 16:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 15 | 10:21 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Racing Club vs Boca Juniors 24/08/26
- Tigre vs Central Cordoba de Santiago 25/08/26
- Lanus vs Argentinos JRS 25/08/26
- Talleres Cordoba vs Rosario Central 25/08/26
- Boca Juniors vs Lanus 29/08/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield 29/08/26
- Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. 29/08/26
- Huracan vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 30/08/26
About the Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Liga Profesional Argentina
More Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.