Boca Juniors vs Lanus Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
88%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.3%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+12.6%
Boca Juniors Rest
5 days
Lanus Rest
4 days
Boca Juniors vs Lanus: result, form and history
Boca Juniors beat Lanus 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 8 matches. Referee Pablo Dovalo averages 4.46 cards a game, 0.81 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
162%1.82
X25%3.28
213%4.75
Double Chance
1X87%1.18
X238%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%2.13
No44%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.97 + 0.88 = 2.85
Over 1.577%1.45
Over 2.557%2.38
Over 3.534%4.50
Under 1.523%2.69
Under 2.543%1.57
Under 3.566%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.6 = 9.8
Over 8.565%1.75
Over 9.553%2.17
Over 10.539%2.88
Under 8.535%1.97
Under 9.547%1.59
Under 10.561%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.7 = 4.3
Over 3.566%1.35
Over 4.539%1.74
Under 3.534%2.83
Under 4.561%2.00
Match Events
13'L. FloresFoul
44'C. IzquierdozFoul
46'Y. Valois INA. Wlk out
60'A. Velasco INS. Villa out
61'Miguel Merentiel INE. Valencia out
61'C. Rey Domenech INL. Paredes out
69'D. Aquino INM. Sepulveda out
69'E. Salvio INL. Besozzi out
76'M. DelgadoFoul
79'L. Flores INK. Zenon out
79'M. Delgado INT. Belmonte out
80'F. N. Watson INB. Acosta out
90'F. Pena Biafore INA. Medina out
90+3'T. BelmonteAssist: S. Ascacibar
Lineups
Boca JuniorsLanus
4-2-3-1Coach: Mauricio PellegrinoAvg ratingAvg rating
1Á. Montero
24D. Gorosito
2L. Di Lollo
42F. Herrera
3L. Blanco
25S. Ascacíbar
23C. Rey Domenech
18M. Delgado
19L. Flores
C16M. Merentiel
20A. Velasco
26N. Losada
33T. Guidara
C24C. Izquierdoz
13J. Canale
6S. Marcich
5F. Peña Biafore
30A. Cardozo
11E. Salvio
8F. Watson
25D. Aquino
19Y. ValoisBoca Juniors Substitutes
12Leandro Brey
4Nicolás Figal
46Matias Satas
5Leandro Paredes61'for C. Rey Domenech
15Williams Alarcón
8Carlos Palacios
21Kevin Zenón79'for L. Flores
30Tomás Belmonte79'for M. Delgado90+3'
22Sebastián Villa60'for A. Velasco
9Milton Giménez
11Ángel Romero
13Enner Valencia61'for Miguel Merentiel
Lanus Substitutes
1Franco Petroli
40Tomás López
4Gonzalo Perez
3Nicolás Morgantini
35Ronaldo De Jesus
27Facundo Sánchez
16Matías Sepúlveda69'for D. Aquino
17Agustín Medina90'for F. Pena Biafore
42Gonzalo Lobos
38Benjamin Acosta80'for F. N. Watson
77Lucas Besozzi69'for E. Salvio
20Allan Wlk46'for Y. Valois
Match Stats
Boca JuniorsLanus 58%Ball Possession42%
11Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box7
10Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots3
8Fouls15
2Goalkeeper Saves3
539Total Passes392
452Passes Accurate304
13Free Kicks7
Team Comparison
Boca JuniorsLanus1826Elo Rating 1698
1.63Attack 1.17
2.13Defense 2.59
69%Hit Rate 56%
11.4Shots per Game 10.5
3.5Shots on Target 3.6
4.7Corners per Game 4.7
2.3Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+128 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend38% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Boca Juniors- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Lanus- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Boca Juniors4Wins · 50%Draws338%
Lanus1Wins · 12%
1Wins · 12%2.0Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8
Previous meetings
05/03/2026LanusBoca Juniors03
11/05/2025Boca JuniorsLanus4020
03/11/2024LanusBoca Juniors10
11/06/2023Boca JuniorsLanus11
15/09/2022LanusBoca Juniors01
18/04/2022Boca JuniorsLanus11
10/10/2021Boca JuniorsLanus42
02/05/2021Boca JuniorsLanus10
Recent Form
Boca Juniors5W4D1L
24/08/2026
Racing ClubBoca Juniors
Deportivo RecoletaBoca JuniorsBoca Juniors
Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors
O'HigginsBoca Juniors
Deportivo RiestraBoca JuniorsBoca JuniorsO'Higgins
Racing ClubBoca Juniors11
D19/08/2026Deportivo RecoletaBoca Juniors04
W16/08/2026
PlatenseBoca Juniors
PlatenseBoca Juniors11
D12/08/2026Boca JuniorsDeportivo Recoleta
09/08/2026Boca JuniorsDeportivo Recoleta31
WBoca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield11
D06/08/2026Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.10
W02/08/2026Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors22
D31/07/2026O'HigginsBoca Juniors3140
W27/07/2026Deportivo RiestraBoca Juniors30
L24/07/2026Boca JuniorsO'Higgins10
WLanus4W1D5L
25/08/2026Lanus
Argentinos JRSLanus
Independiente
Talleres CordobaLanus
Union Santa FeLanusLanus
Instituto Cordoba
CiencianoLanusLanus
San LorenzoLanusCienciano
LanusArgentinos JRS11
D17/08/2026LanusIndependiente13
L12/08/2026Talleres CordobaLanus03
W07/08/2026Union Santa FeLanus21
L03/08/2026LanusInstituto Cordoba01
L30/07/2026CiencianoLanus40
L26/07/2026LanusSan Lorenzo10
W23/07/2026LanusCienciano20
W30/05/2026Instituto CordobaLanus
Instituto CordobaLanus21
L27/05/2026Lanus
Mirassol
LanusMirassol10
WReferee Profile
4.46Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.46 cards a match, 0.81 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).
Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | WLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 | WLLLD |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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- Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin 29/08/26
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- Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. 29/08/26
- Huracan vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 30/08/26
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About the Boca Juniors vs Lanus forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Boca Juniors and Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Boca Juniors are 2nd and Lanus 6th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Boca Juniors 22-9, Lanus 18-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.