Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction

Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario·Dario Herrera, Argentina 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
50%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.10
SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+6.4%
Rosario Central Rest
4 days
Gimnasia L.P. Rest
7 days

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P.: result, form and history

Gimnasia L.P. beat Rosario Central 2-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Rosario Central have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Referee Dario Herrera averages 5.87 cards a game, 0.73 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.65
X
24%3.65
2
17%5.50
Double Chance
1X
83%1.14
X2
41%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.10
No
50%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 0.8 = 2.20
Over 1.5
71%1.38
Over 2.5
45%2.20
Over 3.5
22%4.10
Under 1.5
29%2.96
Under 2.5
55%1.64
Under 3.5
78%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.8 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.56
Over 9.5
53%1.93
Over 10.5
38%2.49
Under 8.5
36%2.25
Under 9.5
47%1.80
Under 10.5
62%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 3.7 = 6.6
Over 3.5
91%1.22
Over 4.5
75%1.46
Under 3.5
9%4.05
Under 4.5
25%2.40

Match Events

19'A. PereyraUnsportsmanlike conduct
30'Goal Disallowed - offsideM. Ruben
32'N. FernandezUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+2'I. OvandoFoul
46'A. Sandez INA. Soto out
46'I. Ovando INF. Mallo Blanco out
53'M. Zalazar INF. Torres out
59'C. LedesmaOG
67'V. Pizarro INE. Copetti out
67'G. Cantizano INF. Navarro out
70'A. Auzmendi INA. Colazo out
71'L. Janson INR. Giampaoli out
76'I. MiramonFoul
78'F. NavarroFoul
83'M. Ruben INT. Badaloni out
86'J. CampazAssist: T. Badaloni
88'I. Miramon
89'N. Fernandez INA. Max out
90'M. Seoane INM. Panaro out
90+2'B. Barros SchelottoFoul

Lineups

Rosario Central
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge Almiron
Gimnasia L.P.
4-2-3-1Coach: Mariano Messera
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.74
Jeremías Ledesma6.023J. Ledesma
Emanuel Coronel6.532E. Coronel
Ignacio Ovando6.246I. Ovando
Gastón Ávila6.313G. Ávila
Agustín Sández6.33A. Sández
Franco Ibarra7.25F. Ibarra
Vicente Pizarro6.920V. Pizarro
Giovanni Cantizano6.926G. Cantizano
Ángel Di MaríaC6.911Á. Di María
Jaminton Campaz7.98J. Campaz
Marco Rubén6.99M. Rubén
Nelson Insfrán7.223N. Insfrán
Bautista Barros Schelotto6.331B. Barros Schelotto
Germán Conti6.713G. Conti
Enzo Martínez6.621E. Martínez
Pedro Silva6.724P. Silva
Ignacio Miramón7.75I. Miramón
Mateo Seoane6.918M. Seoane
Lucas Janson6.617L. Janson
Nacho FernándezC6.78N. Fernández
Maximiliano Zalazar6.99M. Zalazar
Agustín Auzmendi6.729A. Auzmendi

Rosario Central Substitutes

33Alexis Soto46'for A. Sandez6.2
15Facundo Mallo46'for I. Ovando5.6
31Federico Navarro67'for G. Cantizano78'6.3
22Enzo Copetti67'for V. Pizarro6.2
1Axel Werner
42Elías Verón
2Sebastian Zaracho
88Alan Rodríguez
10Franco Cervi
28Pol Fernández
39Fabricio Oviedo
16Tomás Badaloni83'for M. Ruben6.6

Gimnasia L.P. Substitutes

26Franco Torres53'for M. Zalazar6.6
19Agustín Colazo70'for A. Auzmendi6.6
4Renzo Giampaoli71'replaced by L. Janson6.2
27Julián Kadijevic
36Lucas Lamella
22Matías Melluso
33Pablo Aguiar
42Santiago Villarreal
20Juan Pérez
7Manuel Panaro90'for M. Seoane
16Augusto Max89'for N. Fernandez
10Nicolás Barros Schelotto

Match Stats

Rosario CentralGimnasia L.P.
68%Ball Possession32%
10Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots3
13Fouls12
4Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
581Total Passes271
487Passes Accurate175
84%Pass Accuracy65%

Team Comparison

Rosario CentralRosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
1806Elo Rating 1739
2.55Attack 1.69
2.20Defense 2.23
86%Hit Rate 69%
16.8Shots per Game 13.8
6.5Shots on Target 4.7
7.7Corners per Game 4.4
1.6Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Rosario CentralRosario Central
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Rosario CentralRosario Central5Wins · 63%
Draws112%
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.2Wins · 25%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina25/02/2026
Gimnasia L.P.Rosario Central
12
Liga Profesional Argentina27/09/2025
Gimnasia L.P.Rosario Central
03
Liga Profesional Argentina15/03/2025
Rosario CentralGimnasia L.P.
21
Liga Profesional Argentina05/08/2024
Gimnasia L.P.Rosario Central
01
Liga Profesional Argentina01/04/2023
Rosario CentralGimnasia L.P.
31
Liga Profesional Argentina25/06/2022
Rosario CentralGimnasia L.P.
01
Liga Profesional Argentina29/07/2021
Gimnasia L.P.Rosario Central
10
Copa Argentina07/12/2018
Rosario CentralGimnasia L.P.
4111

Recent Form

Rosario CentralRosario Central
3W3D4L
25/08/2026
Talleres CordobaRosario Central
22
D
21/08/2026
CorinthiansRosario Central
10
L
17/08/2026
Barracas CentralRosario Central
01
W
14/08/2026
Rosario CentralCorinthians
00
D
08/08/2026
Rosario CentralAldosivi
21
W
03/08/2026
River PlateRosario Central
01
W
29/07/2026
Rosario CentralRacing Club
00
D
24/07/2026
Belgrano CordobaRosario Central
21
L
31/05/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central
30
L
28/05/2026
Independiente del ValleRosario Central
10
L
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
4W1D5L
22/08/2026
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia M.
23
L
18/08/2026
Deportivo RiestraGimnasia L.P.
4121
L
15/08/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
40
L
09/08/2026
Gimnasia L.P.Barracas Central
20
W
02/08/2026
AldosiviGimnasia L.P.
12
W
30/07/2026
Gimnasia L.P.River Plate
10
W
25/07/2026
Racing ClubGimnasia L.P.
21
L
07/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaGimnasia L.P.
13
W
05/07/2026
ZenitGimnasia L.P.
11
D
14/05/2026
River PlateGimnasia L.P.
20
L

Referee Profile

Dario Herrera262 matches

5.87Cards per match
5.50Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dario Herrera5.87
Other referees5.14

5.87 cards a match, 0.73 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 245 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434WDWWW
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WLWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WWLWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WWLWL
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426LDWLL
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWWLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422LDWWD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DDLLW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021DDWLD
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320LDDLL
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719WLLWW
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DDLLW
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514DLDLW
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LDLDL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1594224:12+1231WWLWL
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1594220:12+831WWLWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1584323:19+428WWWLL
4River PlateRiver Plate1572619:14+523WLWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1565416:13+323LDWLL
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1565415:13+223DDWLD
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1564520:23-322WDWWW
8Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1563623:23021WLLWW
9HuracanHuracan1554612:16-419LDWWD
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1545614:15-117DLDLW
11TigreTigre1544715:16-116LDDLL
12Racing ClubRacing Club1543816:22-615DDLLW
13BanfieldBanfield1535716:23-714DDLLW
14AldosiviAldosivi15321016:24-811LDLDL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto15231010:21-119LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1524:1231
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1520:1231
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1523:1928
4River PlateRiver Plate1519:1423
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1516:1323
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1515:1323
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1520:2322
8Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1523:2321
9HuracanHuracan1512:1619
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1514:1517
11TigreTigre1515:1616
12Racing ClubRacing Club1516:2215
13BanfieldBanfield1516:2314
14AldosiviAldosivi1516:2411
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1510:219

About the Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rosario Central and Gimnasia L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

Rosario Central and Gimnasia L.P. are close in the Liga Profesional Argentina table, 4th and 6th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Rosario Central 20-16, Gimnasia L.P. 19-19. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Gimnasia L.P. have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.