Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Aalesund
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg·Mischa Kellerhals 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.38
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+0.4%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
7 days
Aalesund Rest
8 days

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund: result, form and history

Sarpsborg 08 FF beat Aalesund 2-1 in the Eliteserien on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sarpsborg 08 FF have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 4.4 goals a game. Referee Mischa Kellerhals averages 2.27 cards a game, 1.37 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.85
X
23%4.00
2
27%3.60
Double Chance
1X
73%1.27
X2
50%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.36
No
29%2.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 1.46 = 3.31
Over 1.5
86%1.10
Over 2.5
69%1.38
Over 3.5
49%1.92
Under 1.5
14%6.50
Under 2.5
31%2.93
Under 3.5
51%1.84
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 5.8 = 12.1
Over 8.5
82%1.15
Over 9.5
74%1.30
Over 10.5
64%1.54
Under 8.5
18%3.98
Under 9.5
26%2.97
Under 10.5
36%2.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
47%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

13'Sigurd RostedFoul
19'Mathias ChristensenAssist: Sander Erik Kartum
35'Ólafur GudmundssonSerious foul
40'Stefano Vecchia INEmil Engqvist out
45'Noa Williams INBop Guèye out
45'Isak Gabriel Skotheim INPaul Ngongo out
45'Peter Reinhardsen INAnders Hiim out
47'Marius AndresenFoul
62'Bjorn Utvik INMarius Lode out
62'Sander Johan Christiansen INAimar Sher out
79'Eirik Wichne INCamil Mmaee Nwameben out
80'Daniel Seland KarlsbakkArgument
84'Marius Andresen INAleksander Hammer Kjelsen out
85'Camil Mmaee NwamebenAssist: Daniel Seland Karlsbakk
90+4'Anders Hiim

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2Coach: E. Sel
Aalesund
5-3-2Coach: K. Rekdal
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.56
L. Øy6.487L. Øy
E. Wichne7.532E. Wichne
B. Utvik7.24B. Utvik
S. Rosted6.624S. Rosted
P. Reinhardsen6.920P. Reinhardsen
S. Sørli6.910S. Sørli
S. Christiansen6.58S. Christiansen
O. Skarsem7.177O. Skarsem
N. Williams6.217N. Williams
V. Halvorsen6.422V. Halvorsen
D. Karlsbakk7.311D. Karlsbakk
Luca Podlech6.01L. Podlech
K. Nessø6.37K. Nessø
M. Andresen6.42M. Andresen
D. Mbacke6.928D. Mbacke
Ó. Guðmundsson5.73Ó. Guðmundsson
U. Charles6.114U. Charles
M. Christensen7.321M. Christensen
E. Hagen6.818E. Hagen
S. Kartum7.319S. Kartum
I. Skotheim6.78I. Skotheim
S. Vecchia6.623S. Vecchia

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

7Camil Mmaee Nwameben79'for Eirik Wichne85'7.8
18Bop Gueye45'for Noa Williams6.1
21A. Hiim45'for Peter Reinhardsen90+4'6.6
5L. Høyland
1J. Pryts
2M. Lode62'for Bjorn Utvik6.6
33A. Nibe
12C. Niyukuri
6A. Sher62'for Sander Johan Christiansen6.8

Aalesund Substitutes

15E. Osenbroch
16J. Ørsahl
9P. Ngongo45'for Isak Gabriel Skotheim6.6
17E. Myrlid
26T. Larsen
5A. Hammer Kjelsen84'for Marius Andresen6.6
22E. Engqvist40'for Stefano Vecchia6.6
38T. Leikanger

Match Stats

Sarpsborg 08 FFAalesund
72%Ball Possession28%
20Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
34Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal2
15Shots off Goal3
28Shots Inside Box2
6Shots Outside Box5
13Blocked Shots2
11Fouls8
1Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves2
553Total Passes228
477Passes Accurate142
8Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
AalesundAalesund
1588Elo Rating 1593
1.61Attack 2.40
1.10Defense 1.01
42%Hit Rate 46%
15.6Shots per Game 17.5
6.3Shots on Target 6.2
6.8Corners per Game 6.9
1.4Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.31 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
AalesundAalesund
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3Wins · 60%
Draws00%
AalesundAalesund2Wins · 40%
4.4Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored5 of 5
100%3+ goals5 of 5

Previous meetings

Eliteserien11/10/2026
AalesundSarpsborg 08 FF
24
Eliteserien22/10/2023
AalesundSarpsborg 08 FF
32
Eliteserien29/05/2023
Sarpsborg 08 FFAalesund
31
Eliteserien11/09/2022
AalesundSarpsborg 08 FF
13
Eliteserien22/05/2022
Sarpsborg 08 FFAalesund
12

Referee Profile

Mischa Kellerhals94 matches

2.27Cards per match
2.18Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
21.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mischa Kellerhals2.27
Other referees3.64

2.27 cards a match, 1.37 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.64).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Aalesund in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 7th and Aalesund 14th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Sarpsborg 08 FF 30-35, Aalesund 40-53. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.