Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Valerenga
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg·M. Grotta 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.59
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
7 days
Valerenga Rest
7 days

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga: result, form and history

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga drew 2-2 in the Eliteserien on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 9 previous meetings averaged 3.7 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.95
X
23%3.90
2
28%3.34
Double Chance
1X
72%1.31
X2
51%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.38
No
41%2.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 1.25 = 2.87
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.40
Over 3.5
35%2.00
Under 1.5
17%6.05
Under 2.5
40%2.87
Under 3.5
65%1.79
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.8 = 10.6
Over 8.5
66%1.19
Over 9.5
54%1.36
Over 10.5
48%1.59
Under 8.5
34%3.90
Under 9.5
46%2.81
Under 10.5
52%2.17
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
47%-
Over 4.5
28%-
Under 3.5
53%-
Under 4.5
72%-

Match Events

28'Claus Babo NiyukuriAssist: Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
63'Michael Opoku INSondre Sorlie out
64'Ghayas Zahid INPetter Strand out
69'Claus Babo Niyukuri INPeter Reinhardsen out
70'Dennis Gjengaar INOle Christian Hammerfjell Saeter out
70'Victor Emanuel Halvorsen INAndreas Hansen out
70'Odin Thiago Holm INGabriel Rajkovic out
80'Sondre Sorlie
80'Magnus WestergaardFoul
83'Petter StrandAssist: Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter
88'Carl Lange INKevin Ngoyi Tshiembe out
89'Olaus Jair Skarsem INEirik Wichne out
90+2'Gabriel RajkovicAssist: Aaron Kiil Olsen
90+4'Peter ReinhardsenFoul

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2Coach: E. Sel
Valerenga
4-4-2Coach: J. Moesgaard
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.68
L. Øy6.587L. Øy
C. Niyukuri7.312C. Niyukuri
B. Utvik7.54B. Utvik
M. Lode7.02M. Lode
A. Hiim6.121A. Hiim
V. Halvorsen7.622V. Halvorsen
S. Christiansen6.78S. Christiansen
A. Sher7.26A. Sher
O. Skarsem6.677O. Skarsem
D. Karlsbakk6.511D. Karlsbakk
M. Opoku6.615M. Opoku
O. Hedvall7.71O. Hedvall
H. Sjåtil6.43H. Sjåtil
A. Kiil Olsen7.14A. Kiil Olsen
S. Jarl6.655S. Jarl
K. Finnsson6.52K. Finnsson
O. Holm6.315O. Holm
M. Westergaard6.228M. Westergaard
C. Lange6.310C. Lange
L. Haren6.577L. Haren
D. Gjengaar6.426D. Gjengaar
G. Zahid6.311G. Zahid

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

7Camil Mmaee Nwameben
18Bop Gueye
5L. Høyland
1J. Pryts
33A. Nibe70'for Victor Emanuel Halvorsen6.3
20P. Reinhardsen69'for Claus Babo Niyukuri90+4'6.3
10S. Sørli63'for Michael Opoku80'7.5
32E. Wichne89'for Olaus Jair Skarsem6.4
17N. Williams

Valerenga Substitutes

5K. Tshiembe88'for Carl Lange6.1
24P. Strand64'for Ghayas Zahid83'6.9
90O. Sæter70'for Dennis Gjengaar6.8
9G. Rajkovic70'for Odin Thiago Holm90+2'8.1
37I. Näsberg
13S. Lønning
6V. Hedenstad
49Abdoulie Jatta

Match Stats

Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
40%Ball Possession60%
7Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal5
16Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
9Fouls14
0Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves6
417Total Passes614
340Passes Accurate532
82%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
ValerengaValerenga
1588Elo Rating 1611
1.61Attack 1.88
1.10Defense 2.07
42%Hit Rate 64%
15.6Shots per Game 18.0
6.3Shots on Target 6.3
6.8Corners per Game 6.5
1.4Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
ValerengaValerenga
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3Wins · 33%
Draws222%
ValerengaValerenga4Wins · 45%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
67%3+ goals6 of 9

Previous meetings

Eliteserien16/05/2026
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
32
Eliteserien17/08/2025
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
40
Eliteserien06/04/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
11
Eliteserien05/11/2023
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
32
Eliteserien16/04/2023
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
02
Eliteserien29/10/2022
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
33
Eliteserien17/07/2022
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
01
Eliteserien28/10/2021
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
21
Eliteserien01/07/2021
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
41

Recent Form

ValerengaValerenga
4W1D5L
30/08/2026
ValerengaMolde
34
L
23/08/2026
Christiania BKValerenga
27
W
16/08/2026
AalesundValerenga
55
D
08/08/2026
ValerengaBodo/Glimt
12
L
31/07/2026
ValerengaHam-Kam
03
L
26/07/2026
BrannValerenga
23
W
16/07/2026
ValerengaAalesund
61
W
11/07/2026
TromsoValerenga
40
L
04/07/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
31
W
27/06/2026
ValerengaGais
12
L

Referee Profile

M. Grotta118 matches

3.49Cards per match
3.40Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Grotta3.49
Other referees3.28

3.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.28).

Cards come from 97 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 7th and Valerenga 10th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Sarpsborg 08 FF 30-35, Valerenga 39-46. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.