Rosenborg vs Tromso Prediction

Rosenborg
5-3
Finished
HT 4-0
Tromso
Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim·T. Hansen 12/09/2026
RosenborgRosenborg
5-3
Finished
TromsoTromso

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalNEUTRALModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+0.9%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Rosenborg Rest
7 days
Tromso Rest
5 days

Rosenborg vs Tromso: result, form and history

Rosenborg beat Tromso 5-3 in the Eliteserien on 12 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Rosenborg had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Tromso.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.6 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Rosenborg tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.2 for Tromso.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.65
X
29%3.90
2
25%4.82
Double Chance
1X
75%1.17
X2
54%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.62
No
40%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 1.29 = 3.01
Over 1.5
84%1.18
Over 2.5
62%1.65
Over 3.5
38%2.55
Under 1.5
16%4.40
Under 2.5
38%2.21
Under 3.5
62%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.5 = 10.4
Over 8.5
68%1.27
Over 9.5
56%1.48
Over 10.5
44%1.76
Under 8.5
32%3.25
Under 9.5
44%2.36
Under 10.5
56%1.98
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
25%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
75%-

Match Events

3'Ole Selnaes
5'Amin Chiakha
34'Noah Sahsah
42'Vegard ErlienFoul
43'Aslak Fonn WitryAssist: Ole Selnaes
45'Sander Håvik Innvær INIsak·Dahlqvist out
47'Noah SahsahAssist: Mads Bomholt
49'David EdvardssonFoul
60'David Edvardsson INLars Olden Larsen out
60'Morten Bjorlo INJesper Andreas Grundt out
66'Emil Konradsen Ceide INMathias Ullereng Kjolo out
70'Vegard Erlien INTroy Engseth Nyhammer out
71'Troy Engseth NyhammerAssist: Heine Asen Larsen
73'Leopold WahlstedtFoul
75'Simen Bolkan Nordli INDavid Duris out
75'Amin Chiakha INMaciej Soboczynski out
75'Heine Asen Larsen(Penalty)
75'Aslak Fonn Witry INJonas Sogaard Mortensen out
77'Ole SelnaesOG
81'Noah Sahsah INTobias Solheim Dahl out
86'Maciej SoboczynskiFoul
88'Leon Hien INVince Osuji out
90+3'Vince OsujiFoul

Lineups

Rosenborg
4-4-2Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Tromso
5-3-2Coach: J. Vik
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.00
L. Wahlstedt6.61L. Wahlstedt
A. Witry7.216A. Witry
M. Ceïde6.64M. Ceïde
T. Nemčík5.721T. Nemčík
A. Pereira6.419A. Pereira
N. Sahsah8.511N. Sahsah
M. Bomholt6.817M. Bomholt
O. Selnæs7.510O. Selnæs
S. Nordli6.17S. Nordli
Amin Chiakha8.118A. Chiakha
E. Ceïde6.535E. Ceïde
J. Haugaard6.51J. Haugaard
A. Warneryd5.229A. Warneryd
I. Vådebu6.230I. Vådebu
L. Hien5.921L. Hien
M. Jatta5.733M. Jatta
S. Innvær5.637S. Innvær
D. Edvardsson5.95D. Edvardsson
R. Jenssen6.311R. Jenssen
M. Bjørlo5.670M. Bjørlo
V. Erlien6.415V. Erlien
H. Larsen7.322H. Larsen

Rosenborg Substitutes

3T. Solheim81'for Noah Sahsah6.1
29D. Ďuriš75'for Simen Bolkan Nordli6.5
6M. Kjølø66'for Emil Konradsen Ceide6.2
23M. Mampassi
15J. Mortensen75'for Aslak Fonn Witry6.3
14J. Reitan-Sunde
12R. Sandberg
30M. Soboczynski75'for Amin Chiakha86'6.4
5H. Volden

Tromso Substitutes

17I. Dahlqvist45'for Sander Håvik Innvær5.5
7L. Olden Larsen60'for David Edvardsson6.3
12O. Lauvli
27M. Mikkelsen
10T. Nyhammer70'for Vegard Erlien71'6.6
24V. Osuji88'for Leon Hien90+3'5.1
8J. Grundt60'for Morten Bjorlo6.0
19L. Olden Larsen60'for David Edvardsson6.3
40Elias Molund

Match Stats

RosenborgTromso
54%Ball Possession46%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
20Total Shots14
10Shots on Goal9
6Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
19Fouls12
6Goalkeeper Saves5
494Total Passes418
378Passes Accurate291
12Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

RosenborgRosenborg
TromsoTromso
1766Elo Rating 1651
2.75Attack 1.84
2.50Defense 1.24
81%Hit Rate 36%
19.8Shots per Game 14.4
7.6Shots on Target 6.4
7.1Corners per Game 3.2
2.1Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+115 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

RosenborgRosenborg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
TromsoTromso
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RosenborgRosenborg5Wins · 50%
Draws00%
TromsoTromso5Wins · 50%
3.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien06/04/2026
TromsoRosenborg
20
Eliteserien22/11/2025
TromsoRosenborg
10
Eliteserien27/07/2025
RosenborgTromso
41
Eliteserien04/08/2024
RosenborgTromso
10
Eliteserien20/05/2024
TromsoRosenborg
32
Eliteserien03/09/2023
TromsoRosenborg
31
Eliteserien16/07/2023
RosenborgTromso
21
Eliteserien28/08/2022
TromsoRosenborg
43
Eliteserien23/07/2022
RosenborgTromso
30
Eliteserien12/09/2021
RosenborgTromso
32

Referee Profile

T. Hansen124 matches

3.46Cards per match
3.33Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
20.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

T. Hansen3.46
Other referees3.28

3.46 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.28).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Rosenborg vs Tromso forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rosenborg and Tromso in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Rosenborg (4th) and Tromso (5th) are level on 40 points. League goal record so far: Rosenborg 46-31, Tromso 43-34. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.