Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund Prediction

Kristiansund BK
1-4
Finished
HT 1-1
Aalesund
Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansand·Mischa Kellerhals 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.52
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Kristiansund BK Rest
7 days
Aalesund Rest
5 days

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: result, form and history

Aalesund beat Kristiansund BK 4-1 in the Eliteserien on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Aalesund had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Kristiansund BK.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. Referee Mischa Kellerhals averages 2.67 cards a game, 0.99 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.38
X
26%3.70
2
35%2.60
Double Chance
1X
65%1.45
X2
61%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.44
No
36%2.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.48 = 2.89
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.52
Over 3.5
39%2.30
Under 1.5
19%5.00
Under 2.5
40%2.40
Under 3.5
61%1.60
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 6.1 = 11.2
Over 8.5
76%1.18
Over 9.5
66%1.37
Over 10.5
55%1.63
Under 8.5
24%3.75
Under 9.5
34%2.88
Under 10.5
45%2.17
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
47%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

17'Marcus ReedFoul
27'David TufekcicAssist: Wilfred George Igor
36'Marcus ReedAssist: Mathias Christensen
61'Sander Erik Kartum INEndre Osenbroch out
65'Marcus Reed
66'Sander Svendsen INGustav Ørsøe Christensen out
67'Uba Charles Nwokoma INJakob Nyland Örsahl out
67'Marcus Reed INPaul Ngongo out
69'David TufekcicDissent
76'Paul NgongoAssist: Mathias Christensen
79'Endre OsenbrochTime wasting
80'Zymer Bytyqi INJohn Kitolano out
80'Isak Gabriel Skotheim INStefano Vecchia out
80'Julius Mar Juliusson INAdrian Kurd Rønning out
80'Wilfred George Igor INMax Normann Williamsen out
88'Mathias ChristensenAssist: Stefano Vecchia
90+2'John KitolanoFoul

Lineups

Kristiansund BK
5-4-1Coach: A. Skiri
Aalesund
5-3-2Coach: K. Rekdal
Avg rating6.15
Avg rating6.78
M. Lansing6.01M. Lansing
M. Elvius5.559M. Elvius
J. Júlíusson6.74J. Júlíusson
J. Isaksen5.96J. Isaksen
D. Ulvestad6.15D. Ulvestad
D. Tufekcic7.216D. Tufekcic
S. Svendsen5.87S. Svendsen
H. Bruseth6.610H. Bruseth
W. Igor6.720W. Igor
Z. Bytyqi5.911Z. Bytyqi
L. Alvheim6.319L. Alvheim
Luca Podlech6.21L. Podlech
K. Nessø6.27K. Nessø
M. Andresen6.12M. Andresen
D. Mbacke6.428D. Mbacke
Ó. Guðmundsson6.63Ó. Guðmundsson
U. Charles6.314U. Charles
M. Christensen9.221M. Christensen
E. Hagen6.418E. Hagen
S. Kartum6.519S. Kartum
I. Skotheim6.68I. Skotheim
H. M. Reed8.827H. M. Reed

Kristiansund BK Substitutes

24G. Christensen66'for Sander Svendsen6.3
3F. Flex
22H. Haugen
25J. Kitolano80'for Zymer Bytyqi90+2'5.3
27A. Rønning80'for Julius Mar Juliusson 6.5
12A. Sæther
14S. Skeide
23T. Svendsen
17M. Williamsen80'for Wilfred George Igor5.7

Aalesund Substitutes

23S. Vecchia80'for Isak Gabriel Skotheim6.7
15E. Osenbroch61'for Sander Erik Kartum79'6.1
16J. Ørsahl67'for Uba Charles Nwokoma6.3
9P. Ngongo67'for Marcus Reed76'7.6
17E. Myrlid
26T. Larsen
10M. Kristensen
22E. Engqvist
38T. Leikanger

Match Stats

Kristiansund BKAalesund
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots2
9Fouls16
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
478Total Passes315
384Passes Accurate219
16Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
AalesundAalesund
1468Elo Rating 1595
0.96Attack 2.16
0.30Defense 1.54
0%Hit Rate 61%
15.6Shots per Game 14.0
5.7Shots on Target 5.3
3.1Corners per Game 6.4
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AalesundAalesund
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
AalesundAalesund2Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs27/06/2026
Kristiansund BKAalesund
03
Eliteserien26/04/2026
AalesundKristiansund BK
11
Eliteserien30/10/2022
Kristiansund BKAalesund
40
Eliteserien03/04/2022
AalesundKristiansund BK
10

Recent Form

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
4W1D5L
10/10/2026
Bodo/GlimtKristiansund BK
31
L
04/10/2026
MoldeKristiansund BK
30
L
19/09/2026
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
13
L
16/09/2026
BrattvågKristiansund BK
12
W
13/09/2026
VikingKristiansund BK
81
L
06/09/2026
Kristiansund BKTromso
20
W
30/08/2026
Ham-KamKristiansund BK
22
D
22/08/2026
Trønder-LynKristiansund BK
05
W
16/08/2026
FredrikstadKristiansund BK
10
L
09/08/2026
Kristiansund BKMolde
21
W
AalesundAalesund
4W2D4L

Referee Profile

Mischa Kellerhals95 matches

2.67Cards per match
2.58Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mischa Kellerhals2.67
Other referees3.66

2.67 cards a match, 0.99 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.66).

Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso25117743:38+540LLDDW
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2543:3840
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kristiansund BK and Aalesund in the Eliteserien table

Aalesund and Kristiansund BK are close in the Eliteserien table, 14th and 15th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Kristiansund BK 29-51, Aalesund 43-57. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aalesund have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.