KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga Prediction

EliteserienNorway Norway · Regular Season - 23
KFUM Oslo
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Valerenga
KFUM Arena, Oslo·Marius Lien 12/10/2026
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
2-1
Finished
ValerengaValerenga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
KFUM Oslo Rest
12 days
Valerenga Rest
22 days

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga: the result in context

KFUM Oslo beat Valerenga 2-1 in the Eliteserien on 12 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: KFUM Oslo had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Valerenga.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Referee Marius Lien averages 2.65 cards a game, 0.77 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.88
X
25%3.60
2
41%2.25
Double Chance
1X
59%1.61
X2
66%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.44
No
37%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.31 = 2.95
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.53
Over 3.5
38%2.38
Under 1.5
19%4.85
Under 2.5
41%2.35
Under 3.5
62%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 5 = 10.3
Over 8.5
64%1.25
Over 9.5
52%1.47
Over 10.5
43%1.76
Under 8.5
36%3.16
Under 9.5
48%2.43
Under 10.5
57%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%-
Over 4.5
30%-
Under 3.5
50%-
Under 4.5
70%-

Match Events

26'Aaron Kiil OlsenAssist: Ghayas Zahid
31'Bilal NjieAssist: Jonas Lange Hjorth
53'Magnus WestergaardFoul
55'Bjorn Martin Kristensen(Penalty)
59'Ghayas ZahidFoul
61'Magnus Westergaard INFidel Brice Ambina out
61'Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren INMathias Grundetjern out
72'Ghayas Zahid INOdin Thiago Holm out
73'Bilal Njie INRasmus Eggen Vinge out
74'Bjorn Martin Kristensen INMagnus Grødem out
83'Ola Visted INDavid Hickson Gyedu out
83'Aaron Kiil Olsen INIvan Nasberg out
83'Jonas Lange Hjorth INAmin Nouri out
83'Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter INGabriel Rajkovic out
89'Amin Nouri INRobin Rasch out

Lineups

KFUM Oslo
3-4-3Coach: J. Isnes
Valerenga
4-4-2Coach: J. Moesgaard
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating6.48
E. Ødegaard6.11E. Ødegaard
H. Røsten6.224H. Røsten
F. Berglie6.35F. Berglie
D. Schneider6.52D. Schneider
H. Hoseth6.414H. Hoseth
E. Saunes6.519E. Saunes
M. Vinjor6.39M. Vinjor
J. Hjorth7.216J. Hjorth
O. Visted6.411O. Visted
B. Kristensen6.722B. Kristensen
B. Njie7.810B. Njie
O. Hedvall5.91O. Hedvall
H. Sjåtil6.53H. Sjåtil
A. Kiil Olsen7.54A. Kiil Olsen
S. Jarl6.755S. Jarl
D. Gjengaar6.826D. Gjengaar
P. Strand6.424P. Strand
G. Zahid7.411G. Zahid
C. Lange6.210C. Lange
L. Haren6.277L. Haren
O. Saeter6.490O. Saeter
M. Westergaard6.328M. Westergaard

KFUM Oslo Substitutes

23M. Eikrem
28M. Grødem74'for Bjorn Martin Kristensen6.7
42D. Hickson83'for Ola Visted6.8
25H. Jensen
33A. Nouri83'for Jonas Lange Hjorth89'for Robin Rasch5.9
7R. Rasch89'replaced by Amin Nouri6.3
13B. Skaret
8B. Tobiassen
18R. Vinge73'for Bilal Njie7.1

Valerenga Substitutes

7H. Nielsen
9G. Rajkovic83'for Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter6.3
19E. Rashani
37I. Näsberg83'for Aaron Kiil Olsen6.1
13S. Lønning
15O. Holm72'for Ghayas Zahid6.0
17M. Grundetjern61'for Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren6.5
2K. Finnsson
29F. Ambina61'for Magnus Westergaard6.6

Match Stats

KFUM OsloValerenga
38%Ball Possession62%
7Corner Kicks12
0Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots22
5Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal13
9Shots Inside Box16
4Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots4
6Fouls9
4Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
337Total Passes538
230Passes Accurate428
9Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
ValerengaValerenga
1608Elo Rating 1601
1.91Attack 1.66
1.90Defense 1.52
50%Hit Rate 42%
11.5Shots per Game 18.0
3.4Shots on Target 6.3
3.3Corners per Game 6.5
1.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ValerengaValerenga
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo0Wins · 0%
Draws267%
ValerengaValerenga1Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Eliteserien03/05/2026
ValerengaKFUM Oslo
22
Eliteserien20/09/2025
ValerengaKFUM Oslo
11
Eliteserien26/05/2025
KFUM OsloValerenga
01

Recent Form

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
6W1D3L
30/09/2026
HønefossKFUM Oslo
02
W
18/09/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFKFUM Oslo
13
W
13/09/2026
KFUM OsloAalesund
21
W06/09/2026
MoldeKFUM Oslo
20
L30/08/2026
StartKFUM Oslo
41
L
22/08/2026
IF ReadyKFUM Oslo
04
W
15/08/2026
KFUM OsloLillestrom
11
D07/08/2026
SandefjordKFUM Oslo
01
W02/08/2026
KFUM OsloKristiansund BK
21
W26/07/2026
KFUM OsloMolde
24
L
ValerengaValerenga
3W3D4L
20/09/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
11
D
17/09/2026
SkeidValerenga
14
W
12/09/2026
LillestromValerenga
20
L06/09/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
22
D30/08/2026
ValerengaMolde
34
L
23/08/2026
Christiania BKValerenga
27
W
16/08/2026
AalesundValerenga
55
D08/08/2026
ValerengaBodo/Glimt
12
L31/07/2026
ValerengaHam-Kam
03
L
26/07/2026
BrannValerenga
23
W

Referee Profile

Marius Lien117 matches

2.65Cards per match
2.50Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marius Lien2.65
Other referees3.42

2.65 cards a match, 0.77 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.42).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso25117743:38+540LLDDW
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2543:3840
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

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About the KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

KFUM Oslo and Valerenga in the Eliteserien table

Valerenga and KFUM Oslo are close in the Eliteserien table, 8th and 10th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: KFUM Oslo 32-41, Valerenga 43-46. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.