Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan Prediction

Slask Wroclaw
1-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Lech Poznan
Stadion Śląska Wrocław, Wroclaw·Patryk Gryckiewicz 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.47
SignalNEUTRALModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-6.9%
Slask Wroclaw Rest
7 days
Lech Poznan Rest
7 days

Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan: result, form and history

Lech Poznan beat Slask Wroclaw 4-1 in the Ekstraklasa on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Patryk Gryckiewicz averages 4.82 cards a game, 0.59 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.80
X
23%4.25
2
57%1.56
Double Chance
1X
43%2.25
X2
80%1.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.53
No
41%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.11 + 1.58 = 2.69
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.47
Over 3.5
39%2.20
Under 1.5
19%5.25
Under 2.5
40%2.50
Under 3.5
61%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
62%1.50
Over 9.5
52%1.85
Over 10.5
39%2.39
Under 8.5
38%2.36
Under 9.5
48%1.83
Under 10.5
61%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.8 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

17'Filip JagiełłoFoul
31'Filip JagiełłoAssist: Mateusz Skrzypczak
45'Wojciech MonkaFoul
45+1'Michal GurgulDissent
50'Pablo Rodriguez DelgadoAssist: Joel Pereira
56'Karol LinettyFoul
60'Robert Gumny INPatrick Walemark out
60'Filip Jagiełło INantoni kozubal out
61'Karol Linetty INAdam Ciućka out
61'luka marjanac INMalaly Dembele out
70'Patrick WalemarkAssist: Mikael Ishak
72'Mikael Ishak INY. Agnero out
72'Leo Bengtsson INDaniel Håkans out
73'Patrick WalemarkAssist: Daniel Håkans
75'Piotr Samiec-Talar INEniss Shabani out
75'Przemyslaw Banaszak INLeltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes out
76'Radosław Murawski INGustav Berggren out
88'Marc LlinaresDissent
90+3'Grzegorz TomasiewiczAssist: Alex Timossi Andersson
90+5'Patrick Walemark

Lineups

Slask Wroclaw
3-4-1-2Coach: A. Šimundža
Lech Poznan
4-4-2Coach: N. Frederiksen
Avg rating6.00
Avg rating6.99
K. Niemczycki5.41K. Niemczycki
E. Matsenko6.233E. Matsenko
L. Ba6.15L. Ba
M. Malec5.544M. Malec
A. Timossi Andersson6.421A. Timossi Andersson
K. Linetty5.617K. Linetty
G. Tomasiewicz6.920G. Tomasiewicz
Marc Llinares5.08M. Llinares
P. Samiec-Talar5.97P. Samiec-Talar
L. Marjanac6.311L. Marjanac
P. Banaszak6.519P. Banaszak
M. Lis7.11M. Lis
Joel Pereira7.22J. Pereira
M. Skrzypczak7.572M. Skrzypczak
W. Mońka6.727W. Mońka
M. Gurgul6.315M. Gurgul
R. Gumny6.720R. Gumny
R. Murawski6.522R. Murawski
Pablo Rodríguez8.021P. Rodríguez
L. Bengtsson6.214L. Bengtsson
M. Ishak7.19M. Ishak
F. Jagiełło7.524F. Jagiełło

Slask Wroclaw Substitutes

15J. Yriarte
2D. Szala
25M. Szromnik
88A. Ciucka61'for Karol Linetty5.8
10M. Dembélé61'for luka marjanac6.5
4M. Dijakovic
9Ieltsin Camões75'for Przemyslaw Banaszak6.3
27Jan Jurčec
77E. Shabani75'for Piotr Samiec-Talar5.8

Lech Poznan Substitutes

5G. Berggren76'for Radosław Murawski6.6
11D. Håkans72'for Leo Bengtsson6.8
43A. Kozubal60'for Filip Jagiełło6.9
77L. Palma
33M. Pruchniewski
10P. Wålemark60'for Robert Gumny70'73'90+5'8.4
59T. Yegbe
7Y. Agnero72'for Mikael Ishak6.3
54K. Jakóbczyk

Match Stats

Slask WroclawLech Poznan
40%Ball Possession60%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards4
7Total Shots16
4Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box12
2Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots6
13Fouls11
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
341Total Passes517
251Passes Accurate444
10Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
1510Elo Rating 1742
1.42Attack 1.65
1.20Defense 1.58
23%Hit Rate 39%
8.9Shots per Game 12.8
3.3Shots on Target 5.1
2.8Corners per Game 4.3
2.8Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
Lech PoznanLech Poznan4Wins · 40%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa29/03/2025
Slask WroclawLech Poznan
31
Ekstraklasa22/09/2024
Lech PoznanSlask Wroclaw
10
Ekstraklasa24/02/2024
Lech PoznanSlask Wroclaw
00
Ekstraklasa20/08/2023
Slask WroclawLech Poznan
31
Ekstraklasa26/02/2023
Slask WroclawLech Poznan
21
Cup19/10/2022
Lech PoznanSlask Wroclaw
13
Ekstraklasa14/08/2022
Lech PoznanSlask Wroclaw
01
Ekstraklasa01/04/2022
Slask WroclawLech Poznan
01
Ekstraklasa02/10/2021
Lech PoznanSlask Wroclaw
40
Ekstraklasa21/02/2021
Lech PoznanSlask Wroclaw
10

Referee Profile

Patryk Gryckiewicz132 matches

4.82Cards per match
4.64Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Patryk Gryckiewicz4.82
Other referees4.23

4.82 cards a match, 0.59 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.23).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan12101132:11+2131WWWWW
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1384121:11+1028DDDWD
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1366123:11+1224DLDWW
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1173119:9+1024WWWWW
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1364316:15+122WDWLL
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1370625:19+621WLLWW
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1363424:20+421DWDWL
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1363420:18+221LWDLW
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1260617:18-118WWLLL
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1353514:19-518LWLLW
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1344519:22-316WDWWD
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1243512:18-615DLWLW
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1333715:21-612LLDWL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1318417:19-211LDDLD
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1332815:29-1411WLLLL
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1323817:25-89LWLLL
17Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1322917:26-98LLLLW
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa12201016:28-126LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1232:1131
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1321:1128
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1323:1124
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1119:924
5Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1316:1522
6GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1325:1921
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1324:2021
8Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1320:1821
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1217:1818
10Korona KielceKorona Kielce1314:1918
11Motor LublinMotor Lublin1319:2216
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1212:1815
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1315:2112
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1317:1911
15Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1315:2911
16Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1317:259
17Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1317:268
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1216:286
Relegation

About the Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Slask Wroclaw and Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa table

The table shows a wide gap: Lech Poznan are 1st in the Ekstraklasa, while Slask Wroclaw sit 16th, 22 points behind. League goal record so far: Slask Wroclaw 17-25, Lech Poznan 32-11. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.