Sparta Praha vs Teplice Prediction

Sparta Praha
4-1
Finished
HT 3-1
Teplice
epet ARENA, Prague·Dalibor Cerny, Czechia 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap0.0%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+6.9%
Sparta Praha Rest
3 days
Teplice Rest
7 days

Sparta Praha vs Teplice: the result in context

Sparta Praha beat Teplice 4-1 in the Czech Liga on 15 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Teplice had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Sparta Praha.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.42
X
23%4.45
2
22%6.60
Double Chance
1X
78%1.08
X2
44%2.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.80
No
41%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.86 + 1.22 = 3.08
Over 1.5
84%1.18
Over 2.5
58%1.60
Over 3.5
32%2.50
Under 1.5
16%4.60
Under 2.5
42%2.27
Under 3.5
68%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.6 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.35
Over 9.5
53%1.64
Over 10.5
43%2.03
Under 8.5
36%2.83
Under 9.5
47%2.12
Under 10.5
57%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%1.83
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%1.80

Match Events

9'T. GuddalAssist: A. Irving
25'L. Marecek
36'A. IrvingAssist: J. Alcocer
39'J. AlcocerAssist: J. Mercado
46'M. Bilek INJ. Svanda out
46'J. Auta INL. Krejci out
56'M. Cermak INM. Naprstek out
65'R. Macek INS. Eneme out
67'M. SuchomelFoul
70'M. Riznic INL. Takacs out
74'A. Irving INH. Sochurek out
74'J. Mercado INM. Jurasek out
77'J. AlcocerFoul
79'M. Radosta INT. Zlatohlavek out
84'J. AlcocerAssist: M. Rynes
85'J. Alcocer INE. Singhateh out
85'M. Suchomel INJ. Zeleny out
88'L. TakacsTripping

Team Comparison

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
TepliceTeplice
1728Elo Rating 1631
0.95Attack 1.23
2.54Defense 2.58
31%Hit Rate 31%
17.3Shots per Game 21.4
4.8Shots on Target 4.4
4.5Corners per Game 5.9
2.9Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TepliceTeplice
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha5Wins · 50%
Draws550%
TepliceTeplice0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Czech Liga12/04/2026
TepliceSparta Praha
01
Czech Liga09/11/2025
Sparta PrahaTeplice
22
Cup09/04/2025
Sparta PrahaTeplice
3222
Czech Liga23/11/2024
Sparta PrahaTeplice
11
Czech Liga27/07/2024
TepliceSparta Praha
14
Czech Liga17/12/2023
Sparta PrahaTeplice
21
Czech Liga19/08/2023
TepliceSparta Praha
11
Czech Liga04/03/2023
Sparta PrahaTeplice
41
Czech Liga10/09/2022
TepliceSparta Praha
22
Czech Liga09/04/2022
TepliceSparta Praha
03

Recent Form

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
5W0D5L
11/08/2026
LyonSparta Praha
30
L
08/08/2026
Mlada BoleslavSparta Praha
20
L
04/08/2026
Sparta PrahaLyon
21
W
31/07/2026
Sparta PrahaZlin
31
W
25/07/2026
Zbrojovka BrnoSparta Praha
31
L
17/07/2026
FC NordsjaellandSparta Praha
51
L
16/07/2026
JagielloniaSparta Praha
10
L
11/07/2026
Sparta PrahaGamba Osaka
30
W
04/07/2026
Sparta PrahaOpava
41
W
24/05/2026
Sparta PrahaHradec Králové
21
W
TepliceTeplice
8W2D0L
08/08/2026
TeplicePlzen
55
D
01/08/2026
Slovan LiberecTeplice
01
W
25/07/2026
TepliceBohemians 1905
31
W
18/07/2026
RužomberokTeplice
03
W
08/07/2026
TepliceTáborsko
30
W
04/07/2026
TeplicePříbram
00
D
27/06/2026
TepliceSpartak Trnava
20
W
23/05/2026
Mlada BoleslavTeplice
02
W
16/05/2026
TepliceDukla Praha
20
W
12/05/2026
ZlinTeplice
24
W

Referee Profile

Dalibor Cerny191 matches

4.31Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dalibor Cerny4.31
Other referees4.27

4.31 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.27).

Cards come from 81 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Czech Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1284027:7+2028DDWWW
2Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1271425:13+1222WDWWW
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1263319:14+521DWLLW
4Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1263319:15+421DWDLW
5Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1162313:7+620LLDWW
6FK JablonecFK Jablonec1262416:13+320WLWDL
7Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1262416:16020DWLLW
8TepliceTeplice1253418:17+118DLDWL
9PlzenPlzen1244424:21+316LWWLL
10Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051144313:13016DWWLW
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1243511:15-415LDLLW
12PardubicePardubice1242614:17-314WWLWW
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava113267:18-1111DLDLL
14ArtisArtis1123611:20-99DWDLL
15SlováckoSlovácko1214711:23-127LLWDL
16ZlinZlin1202109:24-152DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1227:728
2Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1225:1322
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1219:1421
4Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1219:1521
5Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1113:720
6FK JablonecFK Jablonec1216:1320
7Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1216:1620
8TepliceTeplice1218:1718
9PlzenPlzen1224:2116
10Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051113:1316
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1211:1515
12PardubicePardubice1214:1714
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava117:1811
14ArtisArtis1111:209
15SlováckoSlovácko1211:237
16ZlinZlin129:242
Relegation

About the Sparta Praha vs Teplice forecast

The forecasts for this Czech Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sparta Praha and Teplice in the Czech Liga table

In the Czech Liga table, Sparta Praha are 2nd and Teplice 8th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Sparta Praha 25-13, Teplice 18-17. The full standings are on the Czech Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.