St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk Prediction

St Patrick's Athl.
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Dundalk
Richmond Park, Dublin 24/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.46
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
St Patrick's Athl. Rest
7 days
Dundalk Rest
7 days

St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk: result, form and history

St Patrick's Athl. and Dundalk drew 1-1 in the Premier Division on 24 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.53
X
27%4.20
2
20%5.40
Double Chance
1X
80%1.14
X2
47%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.69
No
48%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.03 = 2.64
Over 1.5
75%1.18
Over 2.5
50%1.62
Over 3.5
27%2.52
Under 1.5
25%4.33
Under 2.5
50%2.20
Under 3.5
73%1.46
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'B. BurnsFoul
12'R. CornwallFoul
24'A. DervinFoul
35'A. BreslinFoul
36'D. Horgan(Penalty)
46'R. Cornwall INE. Vassenin out
46'A. Dervin INK. Buckley out
49'S. HoareUnsportsmanlike conduct
57'S. HoareAssist: A. Keena
57'B. Baggley INC. Forrester out
57'A. Breslin INJ. McClelland out
69'T. Clarke IND. McDaid out
70'K. BuckleyFoul
76'R. Edmondson INS. Rooney out
76'B. Burns INS. Tracey out
77'C. Dillon INL. Gaxha out
90'L. Turner IND. Nugent out
90+4'J. BrownFoul

Lineups

St Patrick's Athl.
3-4-1-2Coach: Stephen Kenny
Dundalk
4-2-3-1Coach: Ciaran Kilduff
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.73
Joseph Anang7.394J. Anang
Joe RedmondC6.94J. Redmond
Sean Hoare7.92S. Hoare
Luke Turner7.324L. Turner
James Brown7.023J. Brown
Jamie Lennon7.36J. Lennon
Barry Baggley7.019B. Baggley
Anto Breslin6.03A. Breslin
Kian Leavy7.610K. Leavy
Ryan Edmondson6.727R. Edmondson
Aidan Keena8.09A. Keena
Enda Minogue7.71E. Minogue
Tyreke Wilson7.222T. Wilson
Mayowa Animasahun7.04M. Animasahun
Robert Cornwall6.924R. Cornwall
Bobby Burns6.63B. Burns
Harry Groome6.98H. Groome
Aodh Dervin6.56A. Dervin
Trevor Clarke6.615T. Clarke
Ronan Teahan6.911R. Teahan
Daryl HorganC7.27D. Horgan
Cian Dillon5.99C. Dillon

St Patrick's Athl. Substitutes

11Jason McClelland57'for A. Breslin7.0
8Chris Forrester57'for B. Baggley6.9
35Sam Rooney76'for R. Edmondson6.5
1Danny Rogers
32Billy Canny
5Tom Grivosti
37Joe Byrne
48Ryan Sheridan
16Darragh Nugent90'for L. Turner

Dundalk Substitutes

16Egor Vassenin46'for R. Cornwall6.2
18Keith Buckley46'for A. Dervin70'6.6
27Declan McDaid69'for T. Clarke6.3
13Peter Cherrie
19Sean Spaight
12Luke Mulligan
10Leonardo Gaxha77'for C. Dillon6.5
17Shane Tracey76'for B. Burns6.6
23Aaron Keogh

Match Stats

St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
52%Ball Possession48%
7Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots3
11Fouls18
6Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
376Total Passes347
272Passes Accurate253
72%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
DundalkDundalk
1613Elo Rating 1521
0.85Attack 1.68
1.67Defense 1.32
14%Hit Rate 27%
17.7Shots per Game 18.6
4.4Shots on Target 5.8
6.4Corners per Game 5.2
2.0Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
DundalkDundalk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
DundalkDundalk3Wins · 30%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division06/04/2026
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
20
Premier Division27/02/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
40
Premier Division05/09/2024
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
12
Premier Division03/06/2024
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
23
Premier Division12/04/2024
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
00
Premier Division08/03/2024
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
10
Premier Division22/09/2023
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
31
Premier Division26/06/2023
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
11
Premier Division26/05/2023
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
21
Premier Division03/03/2023
DundalkSt Patrick's Athl.
50

Recent Form

St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
4W2D4L
17/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Wexford
21
W
14/07/2026
DoncasterSt Patrick's Athl.
42
L
10/07/2026
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
11
D
03/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Galway United
30
W
26/06/2026
BohemiansSt Patrick's Athl.
20
L
19/06/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Sligo Rovers
20
W
12/06/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Drogheda United
20
W
29/05/2026
Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
10
L
22/05/2026
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
00
D
15/05/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Shelbourne
01
L
DundalkDundalk
5W1D4L
17/07/2026
St Mochta'sDundalk
13
W
10/07/2026
DundalkDrogheda United
12
L
03/07/2026
ShelbourneDundalk
21
L
26/06/2026
DundalkWaterford
23
L
19/06/2026
BohemiansDundalk
12
W
12/06/2026
Galway UnitedDundalk
01
W
29/05/2026
DundalkDerry City
21
W
22/05/2026
Drogheda UnitedDundalk
11
D
15/05/2026
DundalkShamrock Rovers
10
W
08/05/2026
DundalkBohemians
13
L

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers36208859:38+2168LWLWW
2BohemiansBohemians36198963:44+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.361791055:31+2460LDLLW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3612131152:50+249LWWWD
5Derry CityDerry City3611151050:47+348DWWLW
6DundalkDundalk3611121355:59-445WLDLL
7WaterfordWaterford3610131354:61-743WWWLL
8Galway UnitedGalway United3610121446:53-742LDLWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3610101644:57-1340WLWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers365102128:66-3825DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3659:3868
2BohemiansBohemians3663:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3655:3160
4ShelbourneShelbourne3652:5049
5Derry CityDerry City3650:4748
6DundalkDundalk3655:5945
7WaterfordWaterford3654:6143
8Galway UnitedGalway United3646:5342
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3644:5740
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3628:6625
Relegation

About the St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

St Patrick's Athl. and Dundalk in the Premier Division table

In the Premier Division table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd and Dundalk 6th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: St Patrick's Athl. 55-31, Dundalk 55-59. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.