Stevenage vs Plymouth Prediction

League OneEngland England · Regular Season - 12
Stevenage
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Plymouth
Broadhall Way, Stevenage 20/10/2026
StevenageStevenage
3-0
Finished
PlymouthPlymouth

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-2.6%
Stevenage Rest
3 days
Plymouth Rest
3 days

Stevenage vs Plymouth: result, form and history

Stevenage beat Plymouth 3-0 in the League One on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.3 goals a game across 3 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.63
X
28%3.33
2
35%2.58
Double Chance
1X
66%1.45
X2
63%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.65
No
43%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.22 = 2.55
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.86
Over 3.5
31%3.00
Under 1.5
26%3.40
Under 2.5
49%1.91
Under 3.5
69%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.7 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.47
Over 9.5
51%1.83
Over 10.5
39%2.29
Under 8.5
37%2.44
Under 9.5
49%1.88
Under 10.5
61%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

4'Ronan CurtisFoul
7'Louis ThompsonFoul
19'Michael MellonAssist: Josh Magennis
27'Josh Magennis
33'A. RevellDissent
45'Oliver Irow INCaleb Watts out
45'Ronan Curtis INXavier Amaechi out
64'Ben Broggio INPhoenix Patterson out
64'Michael Mellon INO. Sanderson out
74'Louis Thompson INTerry·Taylor out
76'Joe Edwards INMatthew Sorinola out
76'Tyreeq Bakinson INBradley Ibrahim out
83'Phoenix PattersonAssist: Daniel Kemp
87'Alex·Hartridge INJulio Pleguezuelo out

Lineups

Stevenage
4-4-1-1Coach: A. Revell
Plymouth
4-4-2Coach: Tom Cleverley
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating5.99
T. Setford6.51T. Setford
L. James-Wildin6.42L. James-Wildin
T. Vancooten7.315T. Vancooten
C. Piergianni7.35C. Piergianni
S. Earley6.614S. Earley
M. Mellon8.128M. Mellon
L. Thompson6.323L. Thompson
D. Phillips6.88D. Phillips
B. Broggio6.527B. Broggio
D. Kemp7.710D. Kemp
J. Magennis9.09J. Magennis
M. Mahoney5.91M. Mahoney
J. Edwards5.78J. Edwards
A. Mitchell5.515A. Mitchell
A. Hartridge5.322A. Hartridge
W. Harding6.345W. Harding
R. Curtis5.611R. Curtis
T. Bakinson5.719T. Bakinson
H. White6.07H. White
O. Irow6.214O. Irow
W. Evans6.49W. Evans
A. Pepple6.427A. Pepple

Stevenage Substitutes

12D. Barden
20C. Campbell
16K. Casey
44P. Patterson64'for Ben Broggio83'7.7
18O. Sanderson64'for Michael Mellon6.6
4T. Taylor74'for Louis Thompson6.8
19T. Turhan

Plymouth Substitutes

17C. Watts45'for Oliver Irow6.1
21James Storer
29M. Sorinola76'for Joe Edwards5.8
5Julio Pleguezuelo87'for Alex·Hartridge6.0
3Jack Mackenzie
23B. Ibrahim76'for Tyreeq Bakinson5.9
10X. Amaechi45'for Ronan Curtis7.1

Match Stats

StevenagePlymouth
49%Ball Possession51%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal5
14Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots8
9Fouls17
0Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
359Total Passes380
250Passes Accurate267
17Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

StevenageStevenage
PlymouthPlymouth
1608Elo Rating 1641
1.13Attack 1.42
2.20Defense 0.94
54%Hit Rate 44%
12.7Shots per Game 12.6
3.9Shots on Target 3.8
4.7Corners per Game 3.6
1.0Cards per Game 1.1

Game State Tendencies

StevenageStevenage
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PlymouthPlymouth
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

StevenageStevenage0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
PlymouthPlymouth2Wins · 67%
1.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

League One17/03/2026
PlymouthStevenage
10
League One01/01/2026
StevenagePlymouth
11
FA Cup10/11/2018
PlymouthStevenage
10

Recent Form

StevenageStevenage
5W2D3L
17/10/2026
BradfordStevenage
20
L10/10/2026
StevenageWigan
10
W
06/10/2026
StevenageLeicester
21
W
22/09/2026
WalsallStevenage
16
W
19/09/2026
Leyton OrientStevenage
10
L10/09/2026
StevenageLuton
21
W
05/09/2026
BarnsleyStevenage
15
W
01/09/2026
PeterboroughStevenage
00
D
29/08/2026
StevenageDoncaster
22
D
25/08/2026
StevenageReading
03
L
PlymouthPlymouth
7W0D3L
17/10/2026
PlymouthHuddersfield
02
L10/10/2026
PlymouthAFC Wimbledon
21
W
06/10/2026
Newport CountyPlymouth
4252
W
03/10/2026
Leyton OrientPlymouth
02
W26/09/2026
PlymouthBurton Albion
01
L
22/09/2026
PlymouthCrystal Palace U21
51
W
19/09/2026
BlackpoolPlymouth
24
W
12/09/2026
PlymouthBarnsley
30
W
05/09/2026
DoncasterPlymouth
23
W
01/09/2026
LeicesterPlymouth
20
L

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1384127:11+1628WWWWD
2Stockport CountyStockport County1482426:14+1226WLDWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1265120:11+923DWDWD
4LutonLuton1372426:20+623WWWWL
5PlymouthPlymouth1472521:19+223DWLLW
6ReadingReading1364325:13+1222DWWLW
7BradfordBradford1364310:8+222LDDWD
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1456321:21021LDLDW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1355322:14+820DDLLW
10LeicesterLeicester1354422:19+319DWLWW
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1346322:20+218WWWLW
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1253420:18+218LWWDW
13WycombeWycombe1346321:23-218WDDWL
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1352619:14+517WLLWD
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1445518:21-317LWDDL
16StevenageStevenage1244417:13+416DLWLW
17Notts CountyNotts County1235413:14-114WDWLL
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon133469:21-1213LDLLL
19BlackpoolBlackpool1233617:21-412DLWLL
20DoncasterDoncaster1333714:22-812LLWLL
21WiganWigan1331911:22-1110WLLLW
22PeterboroughPeterborough1324711:23-1210LDLDW
23BarnsleyBarnsley1223712:22-109DLLLL
24BromleyBromley1323813:33-209LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1327:1128
2Stockport CountyStockport County1426:1426
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1220:1123
4LutonLuton1326:2023
5PlymouthPlymouth1421:1923
6ReadingReading1325:1322
7BradfordBradford1310:822
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1421:2121
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1322:1420
10LeicesterLeicester1322:1919
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1322:2018
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1220:1818
13WycombeWycombe1321:2318
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1319:1417
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1418:2117
16StevenageStevenage1217:1316
17Notts CountyNotts County1213:1414
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon139:2113
19BlackpoolBlackpool1217:2112
20DoncasterDoncaster1314:2212
21WiganWigan1311:2210
22PeterboroughPeterborough1311:2310
23BarnsleyBarnsley1212:229
24BromleyBromley1313:339
PromotionRelegation

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About the Stevenage vs Plymouth forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stevenage and Plymouth in the League One table

In the League One table, Plymouth are 5th and Stevenage 16th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Stevenage 17-13, Plymouth 21-19. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.