Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC: the result in context
Miami FC beat Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 in the USL Championship on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Tampa Bay Rowdies have had the better of this fixture, winning 10 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Miami FCAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Tampa Bay Rowdies- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
Miami FC- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Tampa Bay Rowdies10Wins · 100%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
26/07/2026Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies
17/05/2026Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies15/06/2025Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC23/03/2025Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies25/08/2024Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC12/04/2024Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies27/08/2023Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies09/04/2023Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC23/10/2022Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC12/06/2022Miami FCTampa Bay RowdiesRecent Form
Tampa Bay Rowdies
San AntonioTampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies
Brooklyn
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsTampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit CityTampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies
Rhode IslandTampa Bay Rowdies
Louisville City
Orange County SCTampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay RowdiesLouisville CityMiami FCMiami FC
Sporting JAX
Indy ElevenMiami FCRhode IslandMiami FCBrooklynMiami FCMiami FCPittsburgh Riverhounds
Charleston BatteryMiami FCHartford AthleticMiami FCSan AntonioMiami FCMiami FC
Las Vegas LightsMiami FCDetroit CityLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52:26 | +26 | 61 | WWWLD |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | +21 | 53 | WWDLW |
| 3 | Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:21 | +13 | 51 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Louisville City | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:43 | +8 | 47 | DWWWD |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:30 | +3 | 45 | WDWLL |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:33 | +2 | 43 | WLDLD |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:33 | +9 | 42 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | -10 | 36 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 34 | LLLDL |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 31 | WDLWD |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 30 | LWDWL |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34:63 | -29 | 21 | LLWLL |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32:78 | -46 | 14 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 52:26 | 61 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | 56:35 | 53 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 30 | 34:21 | 51 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 30 | 51:43 | 47 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 35:33 | 43 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 42:33 | 42 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 39:49 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 35:41 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 30 | 38:48 | 31 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 30 | 40:46 | 30 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 30 | 34:63 | 21 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 30 | 32:78 | 14 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC forecast
The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Tampa Bay Rowdies and Miami FC in the USL Championship table
In the USL Championship table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st and Miami FC 8th, 25 points apart. League goal record so far: Tampa Bay Rowdies 52-26, Miami FC 39-49. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Miami FC have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.