Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: the result in context
Tampa Bay Rowdies beat Miami FC 3-2 in the USL Championship on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Tampa Bay Rowdies have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Miami FC
Tampa Bay RowdiesAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Miami FC- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tampa Bay Rowdies- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Miami FC1Wins · 10%9Wins · 90%Previous meetings
17/05/2026Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies
15/06/2025Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC23/03/2025Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies25/08/2024Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC12/04/2024Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies27/08/2023Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies09/04/2023Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC23/10/2022Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC12/06/2022Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies10/04/2022Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FCRecent Form
Miami FC
Colorado SpringsMiami FCMiami FC
Indy Eleven
Sarasota ParadiseMiami FCMiami FC
Birmingham LegionMiami FC
Orange County SC
Oakland RootsMiami FC
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsMiami FCMiami FC
Louisville City
Detroit CityMiami FCMiami FCTampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies
Loudoun UnitedTampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies
NaplesTampa Bay Rowdies
Lexington
BrooklynTampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
Charleston Battery
Sporting JAXTampa Bay RowdiesLouisville CityTampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies
Phoenix Rising
New Mexico UnitedTampa Bay RowdiesLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52:26 | +26 | 61 | WWWLD |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | +21 | 53 | WWDLW |
| 3 | Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:21 | +13 | 51 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Louisville City | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:43 | +8 | 47 | DWWWD |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:30 | +3 | 45 | WDWLL |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:33 | +2 | 43 | WLDLD |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:33 | +9 | 42 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | -10 | 36 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 34 | LLLDL |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 31 | WDLWD |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 30 | LWDWL |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34:63 | -29 | 21 | LLWLL |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32:78 | -46 | 14 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 52:26 | 61 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | 56:35 | 53 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 30 | 34:21 | 51 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 30 | 51:43 | 47 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 35:33 | 43 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 42:33 | 42 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 39:49 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 35:41 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 30 | 38:48 | 31 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 30 | 40:46 | 30 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 30 | 34:63 | 21 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 30 | 32:78 | 14 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More USL Championship matches
- San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights 19/07/26
- Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay 19/07/26
- Lexington vs Oakland Roots 23/07/26
- Colorado Springs vs Miami FC 23/07/26
- Brooklyn vs San Antonio 26/07/26
- Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights 26/07/26
- Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United 26/07/26
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Rhode Island 26/07/26
About the Miami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies forecast
The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Miami FC and Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship table
In the USL Championship table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st and Miami FC 8th, 25 points apart. League goal record so far: Miami FC 39-49, Tampa Bay Rowdies 52-26. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Miami FC have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.