Universidad Catolica vs Macara Prediction
Ecuador · Championship Group - 2
Olimpico Atahualpa, Quito·Patricio Parrao 11/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-6.4%
Universidad Catolica Rest
20 days
Macara Rest
22 days
Universidad Catolica vs Macara: result, form and history
Macara beat Universidad Catolica 1-0 in the Liga Pro on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Macara had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Universidad Catolica.
Universidad Catolica have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%1.75
X27%3.50
222%4.20
Double Chance
1X78%1.18
X249%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.76
No48%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.05 = 2.47
Over 1.572%1.28
Over 2.549%1.85
Over 3.529%3.16
Under 1.528%3.45
Under 2.551%1.89
Under 3.571%1.32
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
34'Franco PosseAssist: augustin campana
44'Eric David Valencia ReascoFoul
45'Eric David Valencia Reasco INJhostin David Mina Herrera out
45'Bruss Abadi Coello Moreira INCarlos Caicedo out
45'Andrés Rodríguez INJosé Fajardo out
45+4'Jordán Josué Mohor NazarenoFoul
47'Penalty confirmedByron Palacios
49'José Fajardo(Penalty missed)
64'Eddy Mejia INAzarias Londono out
72'Byron Palacios INMauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda out
72'Daniel Clavijo INFacundo Martinez out
73'Mauro DíazFoul
76'M. Viera INLuis Loor out
76'Jordán Josué Mohor Nazareno INMarlon Medranda out
87'augustin campana INPatricio Andrés Ramos Llerena out
88'Azarias LondonoArgument
90+2'Franco Posse INLuca Agustín Ferro out
Lineups
Universidad CatolicaMacara
4-2-3-1Coach: G. SanguinettiAvg ratingAvg rating
12J. Lara
29G. Anangonó
33L. Cangá
37C. Medina
44E. Valencia
8D. Clavijo
5J. Cacciabue
23A. Andrés Rodríguez Reascos
28M. Díaz
30E. Mejía
18B. Palacios
1R. Rodriguez
25J. Bolaños
4J. Jiménez
14J. Marrufo
27J. Mohor
52B. Coello
16J. Cazares
28A. Campana
15M. Tello
20M. Viera
9F. PosseUniversidad Catolica Substitutes
10F. Martínez72'for Daniel Clavijo
1Lucas Cueva Gordillo
7J. Fajardo45'for Andrés Rodríguez
3Jose García
9A. Londoño64'for Eddy Mejia88'
26Foad Eid
17R. Troya
19M. Sevillano
24Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
15L. Moreno
14Jhostin David Mina Herrera45'replaced by Eric David Valencia Reasco
32M. Alonso72'for Byron Palacios
Macara Substitutes
77J. Chalá
19P. Ramos87'for augustin campana
26M. Medranda76'for Jordán Josué Mohor Nazareno
87J. Klinger
22L. Ferro90+2'for Franco Posse
11Tono Espinoza
3Juan Espinoza
12D. Cuero
50C. Caicedo45'for Bruss Abadi Coello Moreira
18A. Rodriguez
13L. Ayala76'for M. Viera
Match Stats
Universidad CatolicaMacara 68%Ball Possession32%
4Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots5
11Fouls18
4Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
600Total Passes267
521Passes Accurate191
15Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
Universidad CatolicaMacara1622Elo Rating 1702
1.07Attack 1.44
1.82Defense 2.56
19%Hit Rate 100%
8.5Shots per Game 13.1
1.3Shots on Target 5.0
3.0Corners per Game 3.9
3.1Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Universidad Catolica- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Macara- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Universidad Catolica7Wins · 70%Draws330%
Macara0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
18/08/2026MacaraUniversidad Catolica11
24/04/2026Universidad CatolicaMacara40
27/07/2025MacaraUniversidad Catolica14
06/04/2025Universidad CatolicaMacara10
30/11/2024MacaraUniversidad Catolica12
02/06/2024Universidad CatolicaMacara30
31/07/2022MacaraUniversidad Catolica13
13/03/2022Universidad CatolicaMacara22
29/08/2021MacaraUniversidad Catolica12
02/04/2021Universidad CatolicaMacara11
Recent Form
Universidad Catolica4W3D3L
21/09/2026
LDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
Independiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica
LibertadUniversidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica21
L15/09/2026Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad CatolicaOrense SC21
W06/09/2026
Delfin SCUniversidad Catolica
Delfin SCUniversidad Catolica01
W03/09/2026Universidad Catolica
Aucas
29/08/2026Universidad CatolicaAucas11
DIndependiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica22
D22/08/2026Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad CatolicaManta FC51
W18/08/2026MacaraUniversidad Catolica
10/08/2026MacaraUniversidad Catolica11
DLibertadUniversidad Catolica21
L05/08/2026Universidad Catolica
Cuniburo
01/08/2026Universidad CatolicaCuniburo23
LUniversidad CatolicaTecnico Universitario50
WMacara5W2D3L
19/09/2026AucasMacara
13/09/2026AucasMacara12
WMacara
Emelec10
W06/09/2026Independiente del ValleMacara31
L02/09/2026MacaraManta FC
MacaraManta FC43
W30/08/2026Orense SCMacara
Orense SCMacara12
W25/08/2026LibertadMacara
21/08/2026LibertadMacara10
LMacara
Santos00
D18/08/2026MacaraUniversidad Catolica
14/08/2026MacaraUniversidad Catolica11
DSantosMacara21
L09/08/2026
Barcelona SCMacara12
WLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | WDLWW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | LDWLL |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | WLDLL |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LLDWW |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | LWLLD |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | DLWWW |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WWLLD |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | DWLWD |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LLWLL |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | LDLDL |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | LWWDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | WLLDW |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | WLWWD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 77:35 | +42 | 81 | WDLWW |
| 2 | Macara | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 66 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Aucas | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 38:38 | 0 | 54 | WLDLL |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 54:33 | +21 | 53 | LDWLL |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 37:31 | +6 | 53 | LLDWW |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 38:31 | +7 | 48 | LWLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 34 | 77:35 | 81 |
| 2 | Macara | 35 | 50:35 | 66 |
| 3 | Aucas | 35 | 38:38 | 54 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica | 35 | 54:33 | 53 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 35 | 37:31 | 53 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 34 | 38:31 | 48 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC 09/10/26
- Independiente del Valle vs Aucas 10/10/26
- Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario 10/10/26
- Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec 10/10/26
- Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca 11/10/26
- LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC 11/10/26
- Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario 16/10/26
- Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC 17/10/26
About the Universidad Catolica vs Macara forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Universidad Catolica and Macara in the Liga Pro table
In the Liga Pro table, Universidad Catolica (2nd) and Macara (3rd) are level on 51 points. League goal record so far: Universidad Catolica 51-27, Macara 41-33. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Macara have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.