Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-7.9%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Velez Sarsfield Rest
9 days
Tigre Rest
7 days
Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre: result, form and history
Velez Sarsfield beat Tigre 3-2 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 21 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%2.30
X32%2.90
225%3.54
Double Chance
1X75%1.28
X257%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes45%2.24
No55%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.82 = 2.24
Over 1.562%1.59
Over 2.536%2.88
Over 3.519%6.00
Under 1.538%2.31
Under 2.564%1.40
Under 3.581%1.12
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.7 = 9.1
Over 8.555%1.84
Over 9.542%2.35
Over 10.531%3.25
Under 8.545%1.90
Under 9.558%1.55
Under 10.569%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.6 = 4.5
Over 3.565%1.23
Over 4.546%1.47
Under 3.535%3.90
Under 4.554%2.57
Match Events
14'R. MartinezAssist: M. Pellegrini
46'N. Banegas INF. Alvarez out
57'I. RussoAssist: J. Saralegui
59'V. Moreno INM. Garay out
59'T. Serrago INJ. Domina out
67'J. PolicellaAssist: J. Garcia
68'P. Martinez INS. Gonzalez out
74'J. Policella INS. Escobar out
74'M. Lanzini IND. Valdes out
76'L. Robertone INL. Feler out
87'J. Domina
89'R. MartinezAssist: D. Valdes
90+1'R. Martinez IND. Godoy out
Lineups
Velez SarsfieldTigre
Coach: Diego DaboveVelez Sarsfield Starting XI
1T. Marchiori
4J. Garcia
32T. Silvero
16L. Magallan
3E. Gomez
29R. Aliendro
8L. Robertone76'replaced by L. Feler
11M. Pellegrini
22M. Lanzini74'replaced by D. Valdes
37J. Policella67'74'replaced by S. Escobar
77R. Martinez14'89'90+1'replaced by D. Godoy
Tigre Starting XI
12F. T. Zenobio
4V. Moreno59'replaced by M. Garay
20A. Barrionuevo
32J. Villalba
3N. Banegas46'replaced by F. Alvarez
10J. Saralegui
5B. Leyes
11T. Serrago59'replaced by J. Domina
28P. Martinez68'replaced by S. Gonzalez
22S. Lopez
29I. Russo57'
Velez Sarsfield Substitutes
23F. Sanguinetti
19L. Cristaldo
18S. Escobar74'for J. Policella
47A. Pereyra
46U. Piedrabuena
10D. Valdes74'for M. Lanzini
5C. Baeza
48L. Feler76'for L. Robertone
35M. Arias
15D. Godoy90+1'for R. Martinez
39T. Aguirre
30L. Piola
Tigre Substitutes
26L. Morales
17G. Soto
8M. Garay59'for V. Moreno
23G. Requena
24F. Alvarez46'for N. Banegas
40L. Minniti
27S. Gonzalez68'for P. Martinez
47A. Lezcano
19A. Oviedo
18M. Fernandez
30J. Domina59'for T. Serrago87'
50I. Peluffo
Match Stats
Velez SarsfieldTigre 57%Ball Possession43%
2Corner Kicks7
23Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal9
8Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box8
12Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots1
9Fouls9
2Offsides0
7Goalkeeper Saves5
492Total Passes355
416Passes Accurate278
9Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
Velez SarsfieldTigre1720Elo Rating 1585
1.30Attack 1.10
1.68Defense 1.13
44%Hit Rate 0%
14.4Shots per Game 16.2
4.9Shots on Target 5.8
6.0Corners per Game 7.5
1.9Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+135 Elo
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Velez Sarsfield- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tigre- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Velez Sarsfield3Wins · 43%Draws114%
Tigre3Wins · 43%
3Wins · 43%2.7Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7
Previous meetings
10/03/2026TigreVelez Sarsfield11
15/07/2025Velez SarsfieldTigre21
23/01/2025TigreVelez Sarsfield30
08/11/2024Velez SarsfieldTigre10
22/06/2023TigreVelez Sarsfield21
18/09/2022TigreVelez Sarsfield20
30/04/2022Velez SarsfieldTigre32
Recent Form
Velez Sarsfield4W5D1L
11/09/2026
Newells Old BoysVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield
River PlateVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca JuniorsVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
Independiente
Talleres CordobaVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old BoysVelez Sarsfield11
D06/09/2026Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.10
W03/09/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
29/08/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors3040
LDeportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield11
D24/08/2026River PlateVelez Sarsfield22
D18/08/2026Velez SarsfieldDefensa Y Justicia11
D09/08/2026Boca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield11
D04/08/2026Velez SarsfieldIndependiente10
W31/07/2026Talleres CordobaVelez Sarsfield13
W25/07/2026Velez SarsfieldInstituto Cordoba10
WTigre3W3D4L
13/09/2026Tigre
Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.TigreTigre
Barracas CentralTigre
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Atletico TorqueTigreTigreAtletico TorqueTigreRiver PlateTigre
Belgrano Cordoba
Racing ClubTigre
TigreRosario Central01
L05/09/2026Gimnasia L.P.Tigre21
L01/09/2026TigreBarracas Central00
D25/08/2026TigreCentral Cordoba de Santiago21
W20/08/2026Atletico TorqueTigre21
L15/08/2026
AldosiviTigre
13/08/2026AldosiviTigre00
DTigreAtletico Torque01
L08/08/2026TigreRiver Plate10
W06/08/2026TigreBelgrano Cordoba00
D02/08/2026Racing ClubTigre13
WReferee Profile
5.46Cards per match
5.22Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.46 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).
Cards come from 178 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWLLL |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | DWWDD |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | DLLWW |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | DWLDW |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | DDLLD |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | LDLWL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:11 | +11 | 28 | WLWLW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | +3 | 25 | WWLLL |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | +6 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 22 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 21 | LLWWL |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 | DWWWW |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 | LDLWL |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 | DDLLD |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 | DLDLL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 22:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 18:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 21:18 | 25 |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 13:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 22:21 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 14 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 9:19 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Instituto Cordoba vs Talleres Cordoba 20/09/26
- Platense vs Newells Old Boys 20/09/26
- Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS 20/09/26
- Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 21/09/26
- Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman 21/09/26
- Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia 22/09/26
- Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. 22/09/26
- Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba 03/10/26
About the Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Liga Profesional Argentina
More Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.