Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS Prediction

Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario·Pablo Dovalo, Argentina 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-10.2%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.85
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Rosario Central Rest
7 days
Argentinos JRS Rest
7 days

Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS: the result in context

Rosario Central beat Argentinos JRS 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Pablo Dovalo averages 4.46 cards a game, 0.81 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.00
X
30%3.19
2
26%4.00
Double Chance
1X
74%1.24
X2
56%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.10
No
53%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 0.94 = 2.16
Over 1.5
66%1.45
Over 2.5
40%2.40
Over 3.5
21%4.65
Under 1.5
34%2.62
Under 2.5
60%1.53
Under 3.5
79%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.8 = 9
Over 8.5
55%1.71
Over 9.5
42%2.16
Over 10.5
31%2.85
Under 8.5
45%2.01
Under 9.5
58%1.63
Under 10.5
69%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%1.47
Over 4.5
46%1.91
Under 3.5
35%2.55
Under 4.5
54%1.80

Match Events

42'I. OvandoAssist: V. Pizarro
45+3'A. Rodriguez INF. Navarro out
53'E. Viveros INA. Alcaraz out
69'F. VazquezFoul
71'F. Paredes INK. Coronel out
71'N. Oroz ING. Florentin out
75'F. IbarraFoul
83'H. Lopez IND. Porcel out
83'C. Bravo INM. Gimenez out
86'J. Campaz ING. Cantizano out
88'I. OvandoFoul
88'J. AlmironUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+3'E. Veron INF. Mallo Blanco out
90+3'A. Di Maria ING. Duarte out

Lineups

Rosario Central
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge Almiron
Argentinos JRS
4-4-2Coach: Nicolas Diez
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.87
Axel Werner7.31A. Werner
Elías Verón7.042E. Verón
Ignacio Ovando7.746I. Ovando
Gastón Ávila7.013G. Ávila
Agustín Sández7.03A. Sández
Franco Ibarra7.05F. Ibarra
Vicente Pizarro7.520V. Pizarro
Alan Rodríguez6.288A. Rodríguez
Ángel Di MaríaC6.911Á. Di María
Jaminton Campaz6.68J. Campaz
Enzo Copetti7.322E. Copetti
Brayan Cortés7.625B. Cortés
Franco Paredes7.317F. Paredes
Francisco Álvarez6.616F. Álvarez
Franco Vázquez6.96F. Vázquez
Claudio Bravo7.726C. Bravo
Emiliano Viveros6.629E. Viveros
Kevin Gutiérrez7.315K. Gutiérrez
Hernán López Muñoz7.38H. López Muñoz
Nicolas OrozC6.911N. Oroz
Tomás Molina6.227T. Molina
Gastón Verón6.29G. Verón

Rosario Central Substitutes

31Federico Navarro45+3'for A. Rodriguez6.6
23Jeremías Ledesma
24Juan Giménez
2Sebastián Zaracho
15Facundo Mallo90+3'for E. Veron
33Alexis Soto
7Marcelo Cabrera
10Franco Cervi
26Giovanni Cantizano86'for J. Campaz
27Gaspar Duarte90+3'for A. Di Maria
16Tomás Badaloni
9Marco Rubén

Argentinos JRS Substitutes

35Alan Alcaraz53'for E. Viveros6.6
12Gonzalo Siri Payer
22Kevin Coronel71'for F. Paredes6.7
23Mateo Mendoza
30Alan Núñez
4Erik Godoy
10Gabriel Florentín71'for N. Oroz6.3
36Gastón Bouhier
18Federico Mancuello
32Gino Infantino
7Diego Porcel83'for H. Lopez
19Matías Giménez Rojas83'for C. Bravo

Match Stats

Rosario CentralArgentinos JRS
40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box2
0Blocked Shots2
10Fouls8
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves4
334Total Passes520
251Passes Accurate458
75%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Rosario CentralRosario Central
Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS
1784Elo Rating 1742
2.79Attack 1.03
2.10Defense 2.27
81%Hit Rate 46%
15.8Shots per Game 11.0
6.9Shots on Target 3.6
6.0Corners per Game 5.6
1.7Cards per Game 2.4

Game State Tendencies

Rosario CentralRosario Central
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Rosario CentralRosario Central2Wins · 33%
Draws117%
Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS3Wins · 50%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina11/03/2026
Argentinos JRSRosario Central
00
Liga Profesional Argentina11/05/2024
Argentinos JRSRosario Central
32
Liga Profesional Argentina26/01/2023
Rosario CentralArgentinos JRS
10
Liga Profesional Argentina09/09/2022
Argentinos JRSRosario Central
21
Liga Profesional Argentina03/10/2021
Rosario CentralArgentinos JRS
01
Liga Profesional Argentina15/02/2021
Rosario CentralArgentinos JRS
21

Referee Profile

Pablo Dovalo205 matches

4.46Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Pablo Dovalo4.46
Other referees5.27

4.46 cards a match, 0.81 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWWWW
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029LWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WLWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WLWLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWLLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DWWDD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DLLWW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021DWLDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLWWL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1484222:11+1128WLWLW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1484218:11+728WLWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1474321:18+325WWLLL
4River PlateRiver Plate1472519:13+623LWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1464414:11+322DWLLD
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1464413:11+222DWLDW
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1463522:21+121LLWWL
8HuracanHuracan1454512:14-219DWWDD
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1454517:22-519DWWWW
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
12TigreTigre1434713:16-313DDLLD
13Racing ClubRacing Club1433814:21-712DLLWW
14AldosiviAldosivi1432915:22-711DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto142399:19-109LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1422:1128
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1418:1128
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1421:1825
4River PlateRiver Plate1419:1323
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1414:1122
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1413:1122
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1422:2121
8HuracanHuracan1412:1419
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1417:2219
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
12TigreTigre1413:1613
13Racing ClubRacing Club1414:2112
14AldosiviAldosivi1415:2211
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto149:199

About the Rosario Central vs Argentinos JRS forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rosario Central and Argentinos JRS in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Argentinos JRS are 3rd in the Liga Profesional Argentina, 1 point ahead of Rosario Central in 4th. League goal record so far: Rosario Central 20-16, Argentinos JRS 17-13. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rosario Central have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.