ADT vs Cienciano Prediction

ADT
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Cienciano
Estadio Union Tarma, Tarma·Junior Rivera 23/09/2026
ADTADT
2-1
Finished
CiencianoCienciano

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.63
SignalNEUTRALModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-0.3%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.89
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
ADT Rest
4 days
Cienciano Rest
5 days

ADT vs Cienciano: the result in context

ADT beat Cienciano 2-1 in the Primera División on 23 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Cienciano tend to win more corners, 7.2 a game to 4.6 for ADT.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.32
X
28%3.61
2
47%1.96
Double Chance
1X
53%1.74
X2
75%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.55
No
41%2.28
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.45 = 2.63
Over 1.5
76%1.18
Over 2.5
55%1.63
Over 3.5
34%2.59
Under 1.5
24%4.26
Under 2.5
45%2.15
Under 3.5
66%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.8 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.48
Over 9.5
42%1.80
Over 10.5
31%2.29
Under 8.5
45%2.41
Under 9.5
58%1.88
Under 10.5
69%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%-
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%-

Match Events

21'Orlando NunezDissent
39'Santiago AriasFoul
40'Aldair RodríguezArgument
44'Kevin BecerraAssist: Neri Bandiera
44'Goal confirmedNeri Bandiera
45+4'Gerson BarretoFoul
53'Jonathan Bauman INJhojan Garcilazo out
54'Angel Ojeda INJair Reyes out
57'Claudio NuñezTime wasting
60'Horacio BenincasaFoul
67'John NarváezAssist: Joao Rojas
72'Santiago Arias INMatias Succar out
80'Marcos Martinich INSebastian Cavero out
83'Neri Bandiera INRay Sandoval out
86'Joao Rojas INOmar Vidal Ramírez Lozano out
88'Sebastian CaveroFoul
90'John NarváezAssist: Alejandro Ramos
90+5'Aldair Rodríguez INJerry Navarro out
90+5'Juan lucumi INJosé Rugel out

Lineups

ADT
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Rivera
Cienciano
4-2-3-1Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.27
C. Solís6.133C. Solís
A. Ramos7.398A. Ramos
J. Pereyra6.299J. Pereyra
H. Benincasa6.844H. Benincasa
O. Núñez5.959O. Núñez
Á. Ojeda6.26Á. Ojeda
J. Narváez9.123J. Narváez
A. Rodríguez6.522A. Rodríguez
J. Rojas7.47J. Rojas
Juan David Lucumí Cuero6.477J. David Lucumí Cuero
J. Bauman6.632J. Bauman
G. Falcón6.71G. Falcón
C. Núñez5.613C. Núñez
M. Amondarain6.54M. Amondarain
K. Becerra6.73K. Becerra
M. Martinich5.916M. Martinich
S. Arias6.05S. Arias
A. Robles6.429A. Robles
C. Souza6.47C. Souza
G. Barreto5.988G. Barreto
N. Bandiera7.011N. Bandiera
C. Garcés6.321C. Garcés

ADT Substitutes

26Jhojan Garcilazo53'replaced by Jonathan Bauman
18Aylton Mazzo
31J. Navarro90+5'for Aldair Rodríguez
2Jair Reyes54'for Angel Ojeda6.4
50Omar Vidal Ramírez Lozano86'replaced by Joao Rojas
3L. Rugel90+5'for Juan lucumi
30J. Valencia
27A. Hidalgo
29E. Garcia

Cienciano Substitutes

8G. Aguirre
39H. Caparó
14S. Cavero80'for Marcos Martinich88'6.0
31Í. Espinoza
18D. La Torre
17R. Sandoval83'for Neri Bandiera6.3
19M. Succar72'for Santiago Arias6.2
26R. Aguilar
27A. Yovera

Match Stats

ADTCienciano
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots4
9Fouls19
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
313Total Passes365
224Passes Accurate275
17Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

ADTADT
CiencianoCienciano
1472Elo Rating 1615
0.50Attack 1.09
1.30Defense 2.05
0%Hit Rate 50%
19.1Shots per Game 19.0
6.6Shots on Target 6.0
4.6Corners per Game 7.2
4.3Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ADTADT
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CiencianoCienciano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ADTADT3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
CiencianoCienciano3Wins · 30%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa De La Liga10/07/2026
CiencianoADT
23
Primera División04/04/2026
CiencianoADT
32
Primera División19/07/2025
ADTCienciano
10
CONMEBOL Sudamericana05/03/2025
ADTCienciano
5161
Primera División10/02/2025
CiencianoADT
22
Primera División22/07/2024
CiencianoADT
01
Primera División03/02/2024
ADTCienciano
11
Primera División21/09/2023
CiencianoADT
22
Primera División30/04/2023
ADTCienciano
34
Primera División24/07/2022
ADTCienciano
01

Referee Profile

Junior Rivera3 matches analysed

4.71Cards per match
4.53Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 65% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima30198350:20+3065WWWWL
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar30158753:34+1953WLWWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso311561047:33+1451WWWLL
5CuscoCusco311631246:43+351DDWWL
6CiencianoCienciano311551153:43+1050WWDLW
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico311371148:46+246LWWLL
8Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas311371139:51-1246DLLWW
9Sporting CristalSporting Cristal301351254:45+944DLLWL
10Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo311351344:48-444WLLWD
11Sport BoysSport Boys301181134:33+141LDWLL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College311181247:56-941LLDDL
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos308101241:44-334LWWDD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau31971528:38-1034LLLWL
15ADTADT31791533:45-1230DWWDL
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31771744:60-1628WWLLD
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua31771725:46-2128DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca31581836:55-1918LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3050:2065
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3053:3453
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3147:3351
5CuscoCusco3146:4351
6CiencianoCienciano3153:4350
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3148:4646
8Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3139:5146
9Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3054:4544
10Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3144:4844
11Sport BoysSport Boys3034:3341
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3147:5641
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3041:4434
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3128:3834
15ADTADT3133:4530
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3144:6028
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3125:4628
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3136:5518

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWWWL
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434DLLWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWDLW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WLWWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DDWWL
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWWLL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221LWWLL
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221LWWDD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWWDL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LDWLL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DLLWL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LLDLD
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLWLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WWLLD
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLLWL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016WLLWD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1491423:17+628WLLWD
2UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1381426:15+1125DLLWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1481526:15+1125WWWLL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1374224:14+1025WLWWL
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1474325:16+925LLDDL
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1374220:12+825WWWWL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1481528:28025LWWLL
9CuscoCusco1480625:19+624DDWWL
10Sport BoysSport Boys1363419:14+521LDWLL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1453616:20-418LLLWL
12CiencianoCienciano1452719:21-217WWDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1334623:24-113LWWDD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1433814:30-1612DLLWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1432921:32-1111WWLLD
16ADTADT1424811:24-1310DWWDL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua142488:22-1410DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca14121115:29-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1423:1728
2UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1326:1525
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1426:1525
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1324:1425
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1425:1625
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1320:1225
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1428:2825
9CuscoCusco1425:1924
10Sport BoysSport Boys1319:1421
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1416:2018
12CiencianoCienciano1419:2117
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1323:2413
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1414:3012
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1421:3211
16ADTADT1411:2410
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua148:2210
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1415:295
PromotionRelegation

About the ADT vs Cienciano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

ADT and Cienciano in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Cienciano are 6th and ADT 15th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: ADT 33-45, Cienciano 53-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.