Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Deportivo Garcilaso Rest
6 days
Universitario Rest
6 days
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario: the result in context
Deportivo Garcilaso beat Universitario 4-0 in the Primera División on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Jordi Espinoza averages 5.91 cards a game, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.40
X29%3.06
227%2.90
Double Chance
1X73%1.35
X256%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.85
No46%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 1.24 = 2.86
Over 1.572%1.36
Over 2.548%2.17
Over 3.527%3.91
Under 1.528%2.90
Under 2.552%1.63
Under 3.573%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.561%1.82
Over 9.550%2.33
Over 10.539%3.18
Under 8.539%1.90
Under 9.550%1.52
Under 10.561%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.554%1.67
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.546%2.07
Match Events
6'Héctor Aldair SalazarAssist: Pablo Labrin
10'Pablo Labrin
18'Jorge MurrugarraFoul
19'Agustin Gonzalez
32'Piero QuispeFoul
45'Piero Quispe INAdrian Quiroz out
58'Facundo CastelliAssist: Francisco Arancibia
60'Lisandro Alzugaray INGianluca Lapadula out
66'Gianluca LapadulaFoul
69'Jairo Concha INJordan Guivin out
69'César Inga INJorge Gutiérrez out
76'Facundo Castelli INFernando Pacheco out
79'Alex Valera INBryan Reyna out
81'Francisco Arancibia INChristopher Olivares out
81'Beto Da Silva INAdrian Ascues out
89'Carlos Ramos INJosé Anthony Rosell out
89'Pablo Labrin INL. Ríos out
90+1'Héctor Aldair SalazarFoul
Lineups
Deportivo GarcilasoUniversitario
3-1-4-2Coach: H. CúperAvg ratingAvg rating
1P. Zubczuk
55E. Canales
2A. Salazar
19A. Gómez
23X. Moreno
18C. Ramos
8A. González
11F. Arancibia
10P. Labrin
30L. da Silva
9F. Castelli
1D. Romero
4A. Santamaría
3W. Riveros
2C. Fara
23J. Murrugarra
24A. Polo
17J. Concha
39P. Quispe
33C. Inga
30L. Joel Alzugaray
20A. ValeraDeportivo Garcilaso Substitutes
27A. Ascues81'for Beto Da Silva
31J. Barbieri
35J. Mendoza
24C. Olivares81'for Francisco Arancibia
88F. Pacheco76'for Facundo Castelli
22J. Portales
17S. Ramírez
20A. Rosell89'for Carlos Ramos
7L. Ríos89'for Pablo Labrin
Universitario Substitutes
77B. Reyna79'for Alex Valera
15J. Requena
28A. Quiróz45'for Piero Quispe
18G. Lapadula60'for Lisandro Alzugaray66'
70J. Gutiérrez69'for César Inga
21J. Guivin69'for Jairo Concha
8H. Fértoli
29A. Corzo
25M. Vargas
Match Stats
Deportivo GarcilasoUniversitario 46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
21Total Shots9
12Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots4
14Fouls10
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves8
435Total Passes525
373Passes Accurate447
9Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
Deportivo GarcilasoUniversitario1661Elo Rating 1699
1.88Attack 2.15
1.25Defense 1.05
34%Hit Rate 44%
18.9Shots per Game 11.2
6.4Shots on Target 4.4
6.5Corners per Game 5.7
2.2Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend57% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Deportivo Garcilaso- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Universitario- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Deportivo Garcilaso0Wins · 0%Draws457%
Universitario3Wins · 43%
3Wins · 43%2.3Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7
Previous meetings
23/04/2026UniversitarioDeportivo Garcilaso41
08/11/2025UniversitarioDeportivo Garcilaso00
07/07/2025Deportivo GarcilasoUniversitario01
17/08/2024UniversitarioDeportivo Garcilaso31
09/03/2024Deportivo GarcilasoUniversitario22
20/08/2023UniversitarioDeportivo Garcilaso11
01/04/2023Deportivo GarcilasoUniversitario00
Recent Form
Deportivo Garcilaso6W1D3L
13/09/2026
Sport BoysDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
Alianza LimaDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
CuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
ADTDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso
Sport BoysDeportivo Garcilaso10
L06/09/2026Deportivo GarcilasoAtletico Grau42
W30/08/2026Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso01
W23/08/2026Deportivo GarcilasoCusco41
W17/08/2026
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
09/08/2026CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso00
DDeportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua20
W02/08/2026ADTDeportivo Garcilaso01
W27/07/2026Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca21
W17/07/2026Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso10
L12/07/2026UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso
UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso4020
LUniversitario7W2D1L
13/09/2026Alianza LimaUniversitarioUniversitario
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC CajamarcaUniversitarioUniversitario
Club Deportivo Los ChankasFC CajamarcaUniversitarioUniversitarioSporting CristalCiencianoUniversitarioUniversitarioCuscoADTUniversitario
Alianza LimaUniversitario12
W06/09/2026UniversitarioComerciantes Unidos22
D29/08/2026UTC CajamarcaUniversitario24
W24/08/2026UniversitarioClub Deportivo Los Chankas30
W16/08/2026FC CajamarcaUniversitario23
W08/08/2026UniversitarioSporting Cristal11
D03/08/2026CiencianoUniversitario20
L25/07/2026UniversitarioCusco21
W18/07/2026ADTUniversitario12
W11/07/2026Universitario
Millonarios
UniversitarioMillonarios20
WReferee Profile
5.91Cards per match
5.50Yellow cards per match
0.41Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.91 cards a match, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.93).
Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 50:20 | +30 | 65 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53:34 | +19 | 53 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 46:43 | +3 | 51 | DDWWL |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 |  Alianza Atletico | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48:46 | +2 | 46 | LWWLL |
| 8 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 46 | DLLWW |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 54:45 | +9 | 44 | DLLWL |
| 10 |  Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 | LDWLL |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 47:56 | -9 | 41 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 34 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 28 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 30 | 50:20 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 53:34 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 46:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 48:46 | 46 |
| 8 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 39:51 | 46 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 30 | 54:45 | 44 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 34:33 | 41 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 47:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 41:44 | 34 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 25:46 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | DLLWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | DDWWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LWWDD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DLLWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLWLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 25 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 28:28 | 0 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 25:19 | +6 | 24 | DDWWL |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | LDWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 | LWWDD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 24:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 20:12 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 23:24 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 14:30 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 8:22 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
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About the Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Deportivo Garcilaso and Universitario in the Primera División table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Universitario are 2nd in the Primera División, 5 points ahead of Deportivo Garcilaso in 4th. League goal record so far: Deportivo Garcilaso 47-33, Universitario 52-34. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.