Alianza Lima vs Universitario Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 9
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.07
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+11.7%
Alianza Lima Rest
6 days
Universitario Rest
6 days
Alianza Lima vs Universitario: result, form and history
Universitario beat Alianza Lima 2-1 in the Primera División on 13 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Universitario had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Alianza Lima.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 10 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.20
X26%2.94
230%3.56
Double Chance
1X70%1.25
X256%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%2.07
No43%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 0.93 = 2.47
Over 1.573%1.46
Over 2.547%2.55
Over 3.527%4.85
Under 1.527%2.53
Under 2.553%1.48
Under 3.573%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.5 = 9.4
Over 8.559%2.12
Over 9.546%2.84
Over 10.536%4.12
Under 8.541%1.63
Under 9.554%1.34
Under 10.564%1.15
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.554%-
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.546%-
Match Events
16'Alex ValeraAssist: Gianluca Lapadula
26'Pablo Adrián Guede BarrieroDissent
45+1'Matías Di BenedettoFoul
51'Alessandro Burlamaqui INAlan Martín Cantero out
58'Mateo Antoni Pavon INGianfranco Chavez out
64'Federico GirottiFoul
70'Gianluca Lapadula INLisandro Alzugaray out
72'Jorge Murrugarra INHoracio Calcaterra out
77'Piero Quispe INHéctor Fertoli out
77'Federico GirottiAssist: Jairo Vélez
84'Horacio CalcaterraFoul
89'Renzo GarcesDissent
90+5'Erick Castillo INLuis Ramos out
90+7'Lisandro Alzugaray
90+8'Lisandro Alzugaray
Lineups
Alianza LimaUniversitario
3-1-4-2Coach: H. CúperAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Duarte
17L. Advíncula
6R. Garcés
3M. Antoni
13M. Huamán
5E. Pavez
7F. Gaibor
18A. Burlamaqui
20J. Vélez
99F. Girotti
8E. Castillo
1D. Romero
2C. Fara
3W. Riveros
5M. Di Benedetto
23J. Murrugarra
24A. Polo
17J. Concha
39P. Quispe
33C. Inga
18G. Lapadula
20A. ValeraAlianza Lima Substitutes
29J. Archimbaud
11A. Cantero51'for Alessandro Burlamaqui
15J. Castillo
4G. Chávez58'for Mateo Antoni Pavon
32J. García
25G. Gentile
22C. Neira
9L. Ramos90+5'for Erick Castillo
12Á. de la Cruz
Universitario Substitutes
4A. Santamaría
28A. Quiróz
70J. Gutiérrez
8H. Fértoli77'for Piero Quispe
19É. Flores
29A. Corzo
10H. Calcaterra72'for Jorge Murrugarra84'
30Lisandro Joel Alzugaray70'for Gianluca Lapadula90+7'90+8'
25M. Vargas
Match Stats
Alianza LimaUniversitario 65%Ball Possession35%
8Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
23Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal6
14Shots off Goal2
15Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots1
11Fouls17
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
439Total Passes238
348Passes Accurate152
17Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Alianza LimaUniversitario1707Elo Rating 1714
1.97Attack 2.40
1.83Defense 1.58
73%Hit Rate 64%
17.3Shots per Game 15.9
5.7Shots on Target 6.1
6.3Corners per Game 6.4
2.3Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Lima- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Universitario- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Alianza Lima1Wins · 10%Draws440%
Universitario5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%1.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10
Previous meetings
05/04/2026UniversitarioAlianza Lima10
25/08/2025UniversitarioAlianza Lima00
06/04/2025Alianza LimaUniversitario11
27/07/2024UniversitarioAlianza Lima21
11/02/2024Alianza LimaUniversitario01
09/11/2023Alianza LimaUniversitario02
05/11/2023UniversitarioAlianza Lima11
23/07/2023Alianza LimaUniversitario00
19/02/2023UniversitarioAlianza Lima12
04/09/2022Alianza LimaUniversitario02
Clásico del fútbol peruanoFull head-to-head record
Recent Form
Alianza Lima3W4D3L
06/09/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza LimaAlianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC MelgarAlianza Lima
Sport BoysAlianza LimaAlianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza LimaAlianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza Lima11
D30/08/2026Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso01
L23/08/2026FBC MelgarAlianza Lima11
D16/08/2026Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
09/08/2026Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca10
WSport BoysAlianza Lima11
D02/08/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico31
W26/07/2026Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima22
D20/07/2026Alianza LimaSport Huancayo21
W28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
L21/06/2026
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Lima
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Lima31
LUniversitario6W3D1L
06/09/2026UniversitarioComerciantes UnidosUTC CajamarcaUniversitarioUniversitario
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FC CajamarcaUniversitarioUniversitario
Sporting Cristal
CiencianoUniversitarioUniversitario
Cusco
ADTUniversitario
UniversitarioComerciantes Unidos22
D29/08/2026UTC CajamarcaUniversitario24
W24/08/2026UniversitarioClub Deportivo Los Chankas30
W16/08/2026FC CajamarcaUniversitario23
W08/08/2026UniversitarioSporting Cristal11
D03/08/2026CiencianoUniversitario20
L25/07/2026UniversitarioCusco21
W18/07/2026ADTUniversitario12
W11/07/2026Universitario
Millonarios
UniversitarioMillonarios20
W27/06/2026Universitario
Atletico Grau
UniversitarioAtletico Grau11
DLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 55:35 | +20 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54:37 | +17 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29:41 | -12 | 34 | WLLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 55:35 | 59 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 29:41 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DWLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 2 | Universitario | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:20 | +11 | 30 | DWLWL |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | +8 | 26 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Universitario | 14 | 31:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College 11/09/26
- Cusco vs FBC Melgar 12/09/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca 12/09/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo 12/09/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal 13/09/26
- Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso 13/09/26
- Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico 13/09/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos 18/09/26
About the Alianza Lima vs Universitario forecast
As a derby, this Primera División meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alianza Lima and Universitario in the Primera División table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Alianza Lima are 1st in the Primera División, 6 points ahead of Universitario in 2nd. League goal record so far: Alianza Lima 52-23, Universitario 55-35. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.