Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.87
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
Alianza Atletico Rest
4 days
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
6 days
Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos: result, form and history
Alianza Atletico beat Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 in the Primera División on 18 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Alianza Atletico had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Comerciantes Unidos.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.2 goals a game across 5 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
158%1.74
X24%3.54
218%4.40
Double Chance
1X82%1.17
X242%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.79
No46%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.95 + 0.78 = 2.73
Over 1.580%1.25
Over 2.557%1.87
Over 3.534%3.04
Under 1.520%3.42
Under 2.543%1.87
Under 3.566%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.2 = 10.3
Over 8.565%1.75
Over 9.553%2.21
Over 10.540%2.99
Under 8.535%1.94
Under 9.547%1.56
Under 10.560%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 3.1 = 5.7
Over 3.582%-
Over 4.567%1.70
Under 3.518%-
Under 4.533%2.05
Match Events
10'Jean OlivaresAssist: Matías Eric Sen
19'Jairo MolinaAssist: Germán Díaz
25'Agustín RodríguezFoul
32'Card upgrade confirmedAgustín Rodríguez
33'Agustín RodríguezViolent conduct
56'Cristian Penilla(Penalty)
57'Matías Eric SenFoul
67'Jean Olivares INWilter Ayovi out
67'Jhon Sánchez INÓscar Pinto out
68'Guillermo Larios INAriel Muñoz out
77'Alexis Arias INThiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar out
85'Jairo Molina INValentin Robaldo out
86'Jose Antonio·Parodi INYimy Gamero out
90+1'Ariel MuñozFoul
90+2'Jorge del Castillo INWilliams Aldair·Guzman Vargas out
90+2'Cristian Penilla INChristian Valladolid out
Lineups
Alianza AtleticoComerciantes Unidos
4-3-3Coach: J. HernándezAvg ratingAvg rating
31S. Rivadeneyra
16S. Fernández
2R. Suarez
6J. Luján
24A. Gordillo
10G. Díaz
15H. Lupú
11G. Larios
22J. del Castillo
17C. Penilla
29J. Molina
17M. Córdova
16R. Rojas
66P. Gessu Fuentes Varcárcel
6J. Rodriguez
15A. Cossio
4A. Martín Arias
20J. Parodi
18A. Rodríguez
32J. Sánchez
9M. Sen
50J. OlivaresAlianza Atletico Substitutes
25W. Guzmán90+2'for Jorge del Castillo
8F. Flores
37J. Delgado
19J. Mendieta
23A. Muñoz68'for Guillermo Larios90+1'
95D. Prieto
20Jimmy Pérez
9V. Robaldo85'for Jairo Molina
77C. Valladolid90+2'for Cristian Penilla
Comerciantes Unidos Substitutes
28O. Pinto67'for Jhon Sánchez
19D. Lino
30P. Guzmán
54Y. Gamero86'for Jose Antonio·Parodi
99José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
8W. Ayoví67'for Jean Olivares
13M. Pérez
14Thiago Salinas77'for Alexis Arias
10M. Carpio
Match Stats
Alianza AtleticoComerciantes Unidos 68%Ball Possession32%
10Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
25Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal4
13Shots off Goal6
18Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box5
8Blocked Shots1
11Fouls14
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
347Total Passes174
277Passes Accurate102
14Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Alianza AtleticoComerciantes Unidos1620Elo Rating 1540
2.15Attack 1.65
0.60Defense 1.27
58%Hit Rate 23%
14.4Shots per Game 18.0
5.0Shots on Target 7.2
5.0Corners per Game 5.2
1.5Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Atletico- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Comerciantes Unidos- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Alianza Atletico2Wins · 40%Draws120%
Comerciantes Unidos2Wins · 40%
2Wins · 40%1.2Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5
Previous meetings
22/04/2026Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Atletico10
18/10/2025Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Atletico10
12/06/2025Alianza AtleticoComerciantes Unidos30
23/09/2024Alianza AtleticoComerciantes Unidos10
23/04/2024Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Atletico00
Recent Form
Alianza Atletico6W1D3L
13/09/2026
Atletico GrauAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
UCV MoqueguaAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
ADTAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza LimaAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
CuscoAlianza Atletico
Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico31
L04/09/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca32
W30/08/2026UCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico14
W25/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
21/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
WAlianza AtleticoSporting Cristal31
W15/08/2026ADTAlianza Atletico11
D06/08/2026Alianza AtleticoCienciano10
W02/08/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico31
L24/07/2026Alianza AtleticoClub Deportivo Los Chankas31
W19/07/2026CuscoAlianza Atletico41
LComerciantes Unidos2W4D4L
12/09/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
UniversitarioComerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
FC CajamarcaUTC CajamarcaComerciantes UnidosAtletico GrauComerciantes UnidosComerciantes UnidosCuscoClub Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes UnidosComerciantes UnidosAlianza LimaUCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos
Comerciantes UnidosSport Huancayo01
L06/09/2026UniversitarioComerciantes Unidos22
D28/08/2026Comerciantes UnidosFC Cajamarca23
L22/08/2026UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos13
W14/08/2026Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos10
L07/08/2026Comerciantes UnidosCusco31
W31/07/2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes Unidos32
L26/07/2026Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima22
D18/07/2026UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos22
D27/06/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College00
DReferee Profile
5.43Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.43 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).
Cards come from 54 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 55:35 | +20 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54:37 | +17 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62:47 | +15 | 50 | LDDLL |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 36 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29:41 | -12 | 34 | WLLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 | WDWWD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 44:65 | -21 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 55:35 | 59 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 62:47 | 50 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 44:47 | 36 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 29:41 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 32 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 44:65 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DWLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | WDWWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWWLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 34:17 | +17 | 31 | LDDLL |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:20 | +11 | 30 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | +8 | 26 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 15 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13:26 | -13 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 11 | WWWLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 34:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 31:20 | 30 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 26:27 | 15 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | ADT | 15 | 13:26 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 21:37 | 11 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Alianza Lima vs Universitario 13/09/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal 13/09/26
- Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso 13/09/26
- Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico 13/09/26
- Alianza Lima vs ADT 19/09/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Cusco 19/09/26
- Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau 19/09/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario 20/09/26
About the Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alianza Atletico and Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Alianza Atletico are 8th and Comerciantes Unidos 13th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Alianza Atletico 49-46, Comerciantes Unidos 44-47. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.