Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 9
Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.08
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+10.9%
Atletico Grau Rest
7 days
Alianza Atletico Rest
9 days
Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico: result, form and history
Atletico Grau beat Alianza Atletico 3-1 in the Primera División on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 9 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.38
X29%3.20
233%2.90
Double Chance
1X67%1.36
X263%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.80
No43%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.32 = 2.58
Over 1.573%1.33
Over 2.554%2.08
Over 3.533%3.75
Under 1.527%3.10
Under 2.546%1.71
Under 3.567%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.6 = 9.6
Over 8.559%1.77
Over 9.546%2.16
Over 10.536%2.94
Under 8.541%1.98
Under 9.554%1.61
Under 10.564%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.6 = 4.9
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.554%1.75
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.546%1.98
Match Events
23'Cristian PenillaAssist: José María Ingratti
40'Ariel MuñozFoul
45+1'Card upgrade confirmedJosé María Ingratti
45+1'José María IngrattiSerious foul
45+4'Aldair VásquezAssist: Pablo Lavandeira
53'Ignacio Tapia
58'Mauro Da Luz INDiego Barreto out
59'Aldair Vásquez INAdrián Fernández out
62'Paulo De La CruzFoul
66'Anthony Gordillo INJorge del Castillo out
72'Gabriel Alfaro INElsar Rodas out
72'Pablo Lavandeira INLuis Benites out
73'Cristian Penilla INGuillermo Larios out
74'Ariel Muñoz INJimmy Perez out
82'Paulo De La Cruz INEslyn Imanol Correa Vilela out
82'Germán Díaz INFranchesco Flores out
82'Jairo Molina INValentin Robaldo out
90+1'Hernan LupuArgument
90+1'Luis BenitesArgument
90+5'Luis BenitesAssist: Diego Barreto
Lineups
Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico
4-4-2Coach: F. UrciuoliAvg ratingAvg rating
1P. Álvarez
4D. Rodríguez
27R. Tapia
3I. Tapia
25G. Alfaro
13F. Oncoy
5R. Guarderas
10P. de la Cruz
15P. Lavandeira
20A. Vásquez
77M. da Luz
31S. Rivadeneyra
16S. Fernández
2R. Suarez
6J. Luján
24A. Gordillo
23A. Muñoz
10G. Díaz
15H. Lupú
17C. Penilla
27J. Ingratti
29J. MolinaAtletico Grau Substitutes
16J. Ataupillco
7D. Barreto58'for Mauro Da Luz
96L. Benítes72'for Pablo Lavandeira90+1'90+5'
33J. Calderón
21E. Correa82'for Paulo De La Cruz
99A. Fernández59'for Aldair Vásquez
6E. Rodas72'for Gabriel Alfaro
9R. Ruidíaz
8C. Vásquez
Alianza Atletico Substitutes
20Jimmy Pérez74'for Ariel Muñoz
9V. Robaldo82'for Jairo Molina
95D. Prieto
19J. Mendieta
11G. Larios73'for Cristian Penilla
25W. Guzmán
8F. Flores82'for Germán Díaz
37J. Delgado
22J. del Castillo66'for Anthony Gordillo
Match Stats
Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico 56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
11Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal7
11Shots Inside Box6
0Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots1
19Fouls8
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
366Total Passes299
289Passes Accurate241
8Free Kicks18
Team Comparison
Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico1527Elo Rating 1620
0.56Attack 2.15
0.96Defense 0.60
0%Hit Rate 58%
9.4Shots per Game 14.4
3.3Shots on Target 5.0
3.9Corners per Game 5.0
2.7Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Grau- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Alianza Atletico- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Grau0Wins · 0%Draws660%
Alianza Atletico4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.8Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
03/04/2026Alianza AtleticoAtletico Grau22
02/11/2025Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico11
29/06/2025Alianza AtleticoAtletico Grau21
14/07/2024Alianza AtleticoAtletico Grau00
28/01/2024Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico11
08/10/2023Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico11
27/05/2023Alianza AtleticoAtletico Grau32
09/10/2022Alianza AtleticoAtletico Grau41
22/05/2022Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico12
07/07/2019Alianza AtleticoAtletico Grau11
Recent Form
Atletico Grau5W1D4L
06/09/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoAtletico GrauAtletico Grau
FBC Melgar
FC CajamarcaAtletico GrauAtletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II CollegeAtletico GrauAtletico Grau
Sport Boys
Sport HuancayoAtletico GrauAtletico Grau
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
Carlos A. Mannucci
Deportivo GarcilasoAtletico Grau42
L01/09/2026Atletico GrauFBC Melgar10
W26/08/2026Atletico GrauSport Boys
21/08/2026Atletico GrauSport Boys3242
LFC CajamarcaAtletico Grau13
W14/08/2026Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos10
W08/08/2026Juan Pablo II CollegeAtletico Grau00
D01/08/2026Atletico GrauSport Boys01
L25/07/2026Sport HuancayoAtletico Grau20
L18/07/2026Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca31
W09/07/2026Atletico GrauCarlos A. Mannucci8171
WAlianza Atletico7W1D2L
04/09/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
UCV MoqueguaAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
ADTAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza LimaAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
CuscoAlianza Atletico
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca32
W30/08/2026UCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico14
W25/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
21/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
WAlianza AtleticoSporting Cristal31
W15/08/2026ADTAlianza Atletico11
D06/08/2026Alianza AtleticoCienciano10
W02/08/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico31
L24/07/2026Alianza AtleticoClub Deportivo Los Chankas31
W19/07/2026CuscoAlianza Atletico41
L10/07/2026Alianza Atletico
Molinos El Pirata
Alianza AtleticoMolinos El Pirata32
WLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 54 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54:35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | +10 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
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This match
More Primera División matches
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo 12/09/26
- Alianza Lima vs Universitario 13/09/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal 13/09/26
- Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso 13/09/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos 18/09/26
- Alianza Lima vs ADT 19/09/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Cusco 19/09/26
- Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau 19/09/26
About the Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Grau and Alianza Atletico in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Alianza Atletico are 7th and Atletico Grau 14th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Grau 28-38, Alianza Atletico 49-46. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.