Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction

Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo·Joel Alarcon 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-8.3%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 9.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Sport Huancayo Rest
8 days
UTC Cajamarca Rest
8 days

Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca: the result in context

Sport Huancayo beat UTC Cajamarca 3-2 in the Primera División on 20 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sport Huancayo had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for UTC Cajamarca.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Joel Alarcon averages 3.45 cards a game, 1.63 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.40
X
20%4.60
2
15%6.50
Double Chance
1X
85%1.09
X2
35%2.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.75
No
46%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.19 + 0.79 = 2.98
Over 1.5
80%1.16
Over 2.5
58%1.57
Over 3.5
37%2.38
Under 1.5
20%4.65
Under 2.5
42%2.25
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.3 + 3.5 = 10.8
Over 8.5
67%1.48
Over 9.5
61%1.83
Over 10.5
51%2.31
Under 8.5
33%2.42
Under 9.5
39%1.88
Under 10.5
49%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.8 = 5
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

1'Marlon de JesúsAssist: David Dioses
43'Marcelo·GaonaAssist: Omar Alberto Labrador Gutierrez
45'Joshua CanttFoul
45'Ricardo Salcedo INAldo Quinonez out
45+2'Arquímedes FigueraArgument
45+3'Ricardo SalcedoArgument
45+7'Javier Sanguinetti(Penalty)
60'Joshua Cantt INAdolfo Muñoz out
64'Ronal Huaccha INDaniel porozo out
69'Diego CarabañoFoul
69'Javier Sanguinetti INRick Campodonico out
70'Luis Arce INJhosep Nunez out
81'Omar Alberto Labrador GutierrezHandball
83'Marlon de Jesús(Penalty)
84'Daniel porozo
84'Diego Carabaño INE. Villar out
84'Piero Magallanes INJuan David Martínez out
86'Daniel porozo
89'Arquímedes Figuera INSantiago Gálvez out
89'Gilmar Paredes INIgnacio Barrios out

Lineups

Sport Huancayo
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Pellejero
UTC Cajamarca
4-4-2Coach: C. Molins
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.21
Á. Zamudio6.712Á. Zamudio
J. Falconí6.916J. Falconí
M. Gaona7.126M. Gaona
J. Valoyes7.070J. Valoyes
22O. Alberto Labrador Gutierrez
D. Carabaño6.88D. Carabaño
R. Salcedo5.922R. Salcedo
P. Magallanes6.523P. Magallanes
N. Luján7.210N. Luján
Javier Andrés Sanguinetti6.611J. Andrés Sanguinetti
R. Huaccha6.419R. Huaccha
R. Bettocchi5.921R. Bettocchi
L. Garro6.617L. Garro
B. Duarte6.22B. Duarte
J. Huerto6.75J. Huerto
G. Paredes6.735G. Paredes
D. Dioses6.88D. Dioses
J. Cerro5.515J. Cerro
A. Figuera5.816A. Figuera
L. Arce5.988L. Arce
M. de Jesús8.19M. de Jesús
M. Lliuya6.310M. Lliuya

Sport Huancayo Substitutes

29A. Ccorahua
7R. Campodónico69'for Javier Sanguinetti6.0
9J. Martínez84'for Piero Magallanes6.5
92Y. Murillo
97D. Porozo64'for Ronal Huaccha84'86'7.6
17J. Giménez
91A. Quiñónez45'for Ricardo Salcedo6.3
28J. Rostaing
38E. Villar84'for Diego Carabaño6.0

UTC Cajamarca Substitutes

7J. Nunez70'for Luis Arce6.0
19A. Muñoz60'for Joshua Cantt6.2
18S. Gálvez89'for Arquímedes Figuera6.4
13D. Caro
1Á. Campos
29I. Barrios89'for Gilmar Paredes4.1

Match Stats

Sport HuancayoUTC Cajamarca
55%Ball Possession45%
7Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal4
14Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box9
10Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots1
20Fouls8
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
374Total Passes318
328Passes Accurate255
8Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
1623Elo Rating 1434
1.89Attack 1.32
1.76Defense 1.49
73%Hit Rate 27%
19.6Shots per Game 13.5
4.5Shots on Target 5.6
6.6Corners per Game 3.2
2.7Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+190 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo5Wins · 50%
Draws550%
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca0Wins · 0%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División15/04/2026
UTC CajamarcaSport Huancayo
22
Primera División09/11/2025
UTC CajamarcaSport Huancayo
03
Primera División04/07/2025
Sport HuancayoUTC Cajamarca
10
Primera División02/11/2024
UTC CajamarcaSport Huancayo
11
Primera División25/05/2024
Sport HuancayoUTC Cajamarca
11
Primera División30/06/2023
UTC CajamarcaSport Huancayo
00
Primera División12/05/2023
Sport HuancayoUTC Cajamarca
51
Primera División14/08/2022
Sport HuancayoUTC Cajamarca
40
Primera División21/03/2022
UTC CajamarcaSport Huancayo
34
Primera División31/07/2021
Sport HuancayoUTC Cajamarca
00

Referee Profile

Joel Alarcon47 matches

3.45Cards per match
3.11Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joel Alarcon3.45
Other referees5.08

3.45 cards a match, 1.63 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.08).

Cards come from 44 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima31198452:23+2965DWWWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario31178655:35+2059DWLWL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar32159854:37+1754WDWLW
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso321661050:35+1554WWWWL
5CuscoCusco321631346:44+251LDDWW
6Sporting CristalSporting Cristal321551262:47+1550LDDLL
7CiencianoCienciano311551153:43+1050WWDLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico321471149:46+349WLWWL
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo321451346:48-247LWLLW
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas321381139:51-1247WDLLW
11Sport BoysSport Boys311281135:33+244DLDWL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College321181347:57-1041LLLDD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos328121244:47-336LDLWW
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau32971629:41-1234WLLLW
15ADTADT327101535:47-1231WDWWD
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua32781725:46-2129LDLWL
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca32771844:65-2128WWWLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca32581938:58-2018LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3152:2365
2UniversitarioUniversitario3155:3559
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3254:3754
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3250:3554
5CuscoCusco3246:4451
6Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3262:4750
7CiencianoCienciano3153:4350
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3249:4649
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3246:4847
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3239:5147
11Sport BoysSport Boys3135:3344
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3247:5741
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3244:4736
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3229:4134
15ADTADT3235:4731
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3225:4629
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3244:6528
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3238:5818

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240DWWWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434WDLLW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWDLW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929DWLWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WDWLW
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327LDDWW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWWWL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WLWWL
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221LDLWW
10ADTADT1755722:21+120WDWWD
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420DLDWL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219LDDLL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LLLDL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718LDLWL
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WWWLL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616WLLLW
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016LWLLW
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sporting CristalSporting Cristal15101434:17+1731LDDLL
2Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo15101425:17+831LWLLW
3UniversitarioUniversitario1493231:20+1130DWLWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1591529:17+1228WWWWL
5Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1591529:28+128WLWWL
6FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1575325:17+826WDWLW
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1574425:17+825LLLDD
8Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1474322:15+725DWWWW
9Sport BoysSport Boys1473420:14+624DLDWL
10CuscoCusco1580725:20+524LDDWW
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1553717:23-618WLLLW
12CiencianoCienciano1452719:21-217WWDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1536626:27-115LDLWW
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1534814:30-1613WDLLW
15ADTADT1525813:26-1311WDWWD
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua152588:22-1411LDLWL
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca15321021:37-1611WWWLL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca15121217:32-155LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1534:1731
2Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1525:1731
3UniversitarioUniversitario1431:2030
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1529:1728
5Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1529:2828
6FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1525:1726
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1525:1725
8Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1422:1525
9Sport BoysSport Boys1420:1424
10CuscoCusco1525:2024
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1517:2318
12CiencianoCienciano1419:2117
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1526:2715
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1514:3013
15ADTADT1513:2611
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua158:2211
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1521:3711
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1517:325
PromotionRelegation

About the Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sport Huancayo and UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Sport Huancayo are 9th and UTC Cajamarca 18th, 29 points apart. League goal record so far: Sport Huancayo 46-48, UTC Cajamarca 38-58. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sport Huancayo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.