Aston Villa vs Fulham Prediction

Aston Villa
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Fulham
Villa Park, Birmingham·Samuel Barrott 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalSTRONGModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.60
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+2.1%
Aston Villa Rest
3 days
Fulham Rest
3 days

Aston Villa vs Fulham: result, form and history

Aston Villa and Fulham drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 31 Oct 2026. Aston Villa had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Fulham.

Aston Villa have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.99
X
24%3.60
2
23%3.71
Double Chance
1X
77%1.29
X2
47%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.60
No
45%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.88 + 0.96 = 2.84
Over 1.5
79%1.21
Over 2.5
56%1.74
Over 3.5
35%2.80
Under 1.5
21%4.20
Under 2.5
44%2.13
Under 3.5
65%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.1 = 9.5
Over 8.5
59%1.40
Over 9.5
47%1.72
Over 10.5
37%2.20
Under 8.5
41%2.62
Under 9.5
53%2.02
Under 10.5
63%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.4 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.64
Over 4.5
36%2.23
Under 3.5
44%2.21
Under 4.5
64%1.61

Match Events

13'Penalty confirmedLeon Goretzka
16'John McGinn(Penalty missed)
30'David AffengruberFoul
39'Nicolas JacksonAssist: Johan Manzambi
45+4'Calvin BasseyFoul
64'Zion SuzukiOG
66'Leon Goretzka INIbrahim Mbaye out
66' Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha INEmiliano Buendía out
66'Johan Manzambi INJoão Gomes out
75'Alex Iwobi INTom Cairney out
76'Matty CashFoul
77'Tom CairneyFoul
79'Oscar Bobb INKenny Tete out
79'Boubacar Kamara INRoss Barkley out
79'Josh King INCesar Palacios Perez out
87'John McGinn INAlejandro Garnacho out
87'Timothy Castagne INHugo Larsson out
87'Gonzalo García INRodrigo Muniz out

Lineups

Aston Villa
4-2-3-1Coach: Unai Emery
Fulham
4-2-3-1Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.48
Z. Suzuki6.91Z. Suzuki
M. Cash6.42M. Cash
V. Lindelöf6.83V. Lindelöf
Pau Torres6.114P. Torres
I. Maatsen6.922I. Maatsen
B. Kamara6.68B. Kamara
L. Goretzka6.427L. Goretzka
Alysson Edward6.347A. Edward
J.  McGinn6.07J. McGinn
J. Manzambi7.144J. Manzambi
N. Jackson8.211N. Jackson
B. Leno6.61B. Leno
T. Castagne6.921T. Castagne
D. Affengruber7.022D. Affengruber
C. Bassey6.23C. Bassey
A. Robinson5.933A. Robinson
S. Berge6.916S. Berge
S. Charles6.719S. Charles
Oscar Bobb6.814O. Bobb
Joshua King6.624J. King
A. Iwobi6.417A. Iwobi
Gonzalo García6.07G. García

Aston Villa Substitutes

35João Gomes66'for Johan Manzambi6.2
17A. Garnacho87'for John McGinn6.7
39Brian Madjo
19I. Mbaye66'for Leon Goretzka6.6
40M. Bizot
4T. Harwood-Bellis
5T. Mings
6R. Barkley79'for Boubacar Kamara6.2
10E. Buendía66'for Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha6.7

Fulham Substitutes

2K. Tete79'for Oscar Bobb6.5
5J. Andersen
10T. Cairney75'for Alex Iwobi77'6.3
20Manuel Ángel
15H. Larsson87'for Timothy Castagne6.2
8César Palacios79'for Josh King6.3
11Kevin
23B. Lecomte
9Rodrigo Muniz87'for Gonzalo García6.5

Match Stats

Aston VillaFulham
45%Ball Possession55%
7Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots3
7Fouls12
2Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves2
434Total Passes536
373Passes Accurate474
11Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Aston VillaAston Villa
FulhamFulham
1929Elo Rating 1772
2.05Attack 0.73
1.77Defense 2.26
73%Hit Rate 42%
15.8Shots per Game 13.9
5.8Shots on Target 4.6
5.1Corners per Game 7.0
2.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+157 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Aston VillaAston Villa
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FulhamFulham
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Aston VillaAston Villa8Wins · 80%
Draws00%
FulhamFulham2Wins · 20%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League25/04/2026
FulhamAston Villa
10
Premier League28/09/2025
Aston VillaFulham
31
Premier League03/05/2025
Aston VillaFulham
10
Premier League19/10/2024
FulhamAston Villa
13
Premier League17/02/2024
FulhamAston Villa
12
Premier League12/11/2023
Aston VillaFulham
31
Premier League25/04/2023
Aston VillaFulham
10
Premier League20/10/2022
FulhamAston Villa
30
Premier League04/04/2021
Aston VillaFulham
31
Premier League28/09/2020
FulhamAston Villa
03

Referee Profile

Samuel Barrott210 matches

3.58Cards per match
3.51Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Samuel Barrott3.58
Other referees3.85

3.58 cards a match, 0.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.85).

Cards come from 201 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City970220:10+1021LLWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton961224:7+1719WLWWW
4ChelseaChelsea951319:15+416WLWWL
5LiverpoolLiverpool843111:8+315WWLWD
6BrentfordBrentford935116:9+714WDLDW
7BournemouthBournemouth933314:13+112WWWLL
8TottenhamTottenham933310:10012WWWDL
9Aston VillaAston Villa933310:13-312DWWDW
10Hull CityHull City925211:10+111DDLDL
11LeedsLeeds92529:8+111LDDLD
12NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
13IpswichIpswich932414:18-411DDLWL
14EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
15FulhamFulham92349:11-29DWWLD
16CoventryCoventry93069:16-79WLLWW
17Manchester UnitedManchester United914410:15-57LLDDD
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace92169:21-127LLLWD
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest91356:12-66LDLLL
20SunderlandSunderland91267:17-105LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City920:1021
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton924:719
4ChelseaChelsea919:1516
5LiverpoolLiverpool811:815
6BrentfordBrentford916:914
7BournemouthBournemouth914:1312
8TottenhamTottenham910:1012
9Aston VillaAston Villa910:1312
10Hull CityHull City911:1011
11LeedsLeeds99:811
12NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
13IpswichIpswich914:1811
14EvertonEverton88:910
15FulhamFulham99:119
16CoventryCoventry99:169
17Manchester UnitedManchester United910:157
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace99:217
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest96:126
20SunderlandSunderland97:175
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Aston Villa vs Fulham forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aston Villa and Fulham in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Aston Villa are 9th and Fulham 15th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Aston Villa 10-13, Fulham 9-11. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aston Villa have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.