Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 34
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama: what the numbers say
Both Atletico Paranaense and Vasco DA Gama have struggled lately, winning once at most in their last five. They meet in the Serie A on 4 Nov 2026.
Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Atletico Paranaense tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 4.1 for Vasco DA Gama.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA GamaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Paranaense- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Vasco DA Gama- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Paranaense3Wins · 43%3Wins · 43%Previous meetings
11/05/2026Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense
12/09/2024Atletico ParanaenseVasco DA Gama30/08/2024Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense27/08/2024Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense05/05/2024Atletico ParanaenseVasco DA Gama25/11/2023Atletico ParanaenseVasco DA Gama23/07/2023Vasco DA GamaAtletico ParanaenseRecent Form
Atletico Paranaense
GremioAtletico Paranaense
VitoriaAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-scAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
Atletico-MGAtletico Paranaense
Bahia
CoritibaAtletico Paranaense
CruzeiroAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
Fluminense
BotafogoAtletico ParanaenseVasco DA GamaPalmeirasVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
FlamengoVasco DA Gama
CorinthiansVasco DA Gama
Boca Juniors
Sao PauloVasco DA GamaBoca JuniorsVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
RemoBotafogoVasco DA GamaVasco DA GamaCoritibaVasco DA Gama
Santa FeReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.76 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.11).
Cards come from 181 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68:28 | +40 | 73 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52:46 | +6 | 57 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50:40 | +10 | 54 | LDLWD |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 44:39 | +5 | 50 | LLWWD |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 47 | DDWLD |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WLDWD |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Coritiba | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 42 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 35:48 | -13 | 38 | LDDLW |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 | WWLDD |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 37 | LDWLD |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 36 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 68:28 | 73 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 52:46 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 50:40 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 44:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 33 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 33 | 45:53 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 40:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 33 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 37:47 | 37 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 36:42 | 36 |
| 18 | Internacional | 33 | 37:42 | 35 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 32:66 | 21 |
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About the Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Paranaense and Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Atletico Paranaense are 5th and Vasco DA Gama 13th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Paranaense 50-40, Vasco DA Gama 40-49. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.