Flamengo vs Gremio Prediction

Flamengo
-
04/11/2026
23:30
Gremio
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro·P. Zanovelli
FlamengoFlamengo
04/11/202623:30
GremioGremio

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Flamengo Rest
5 days
Gremio Rest
3 days

Flamengo vs Gremio preview: form and head-to-head

Both sides arrive in good form: Flamengo have won 3 of their last five and Gremio 3. The match is played in the Serie A on 4 Nov 2026.

Flamengo have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Referee P. Zanovelli averages 5.67 cards a game, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.17
X
7.50
2
14.00
Double Chance
1X
1.04
X2
4.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.97
No
1.75
Goals
Over 1.5
1.10
Over 2.5
1.38
Over 3.5
2.00
Under 1.5
6.25
Under 2.5
2.90
Under 3.5
1.81
Corners
Over 8.5
1.26
Over 9.5
1.48
Over 10.5
1.81
Under 8.5
3.23
Under 9.5
2.42
Under 10.5
1.93
Cards
Over 3.5
-
Over 4.5
-
Under 3.5
-
Under 4.5
-
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

FlamengoFlamengo
GremioGremio
1934Elo Rating 1653
2.26Attack 1.46
2.27Defense 1.91
66%Hit Rate 50%
17.1Shots per Game 16.9
6.7Shots on Target 5.1
8.3Corners per Game 7.0
1.8Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+280 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FlamengoFlamengo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
GremioGremio
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FlamengoFlamengo6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
GremioGremio2Wins · 20%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A11/05/2026
GremioFlamengo
01
Serie A31/08/2025
FlamengoGremio
11
Serie A13/04/2025
GremioFlamengo
02
Serie A22/09/2024
GremioFlamengo
32
Serie A14/06/2024
FlamengoGremio
21
Serie A26/10/2023
GremioFlamengo
32
Copa Do Brasil17/08/2023
FlamengoGremio
10
Copa Do Brasil27/07/2023
GremioFlamengo
02
Serie A11/06/2023
FlamengoGremio
30
Serie A24/11/2021
GremioFlamengo
22

Referee Profile

P. Zanovelli211 matches

5.67Cards per match
5.28Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

P. Zanovelli5.67
Other referees5.13

5.67 cards a match, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 155 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo33227468:28+4073WWWWD
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro331761052:46+657WWWLW
4FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense33159950:40+1054LDLWD
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG331481144:39+550LLWWD
8SantosSantos3312111049:47+247DDWLD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino331281342:38+444WLDWD
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11CoritibaCoritiba331191340:50-1042WLLDL
12BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama321081440:49-938LWLDW
14VitoriaVitoria331081535:48-1338LDDLW
15GremioGremio339101437:44-737WWLDD
16MirassolMirassol339101437:47-1037LDWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians33991536:42-636WLDLL
18InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3368:2873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3352:4657
4FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3350:4054
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3344:3950
8SantosSantos3349:4747
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3342:3844
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11CoritibaCoritiba3340:5042
12BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3240:4938
14VitoriaVitoria3335:4838
15GremioGremio3337:4437
16MirassolMirassol3337:4737
17CorinthiansCorinthians3336:4236
18InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
PromotionRelegation

About the Flamengo vs Gremio forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Flamengo and Gremio in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Flamengo are 1st and Gremio 15th, 36 points apart. League goal record so far: Flamengo 68-28, Gremio 37-44. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Gremio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.