Flamengo vs Corinthians Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 27
13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Flamengo Rest
2 days
Corinthians Rest
3 days
Flamengo vs Corinthians: result, form and history
Flamengo beat Corinthians 2-1 in the Serie A on 13 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Flamengo had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Corinthians.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 10 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
169%1.26
X19%5.12
212%11.50
Double Chance
1X88%1.04
X231%3.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%2.25
No46%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 0.8 = 2.65
Over 1.575%1.20
Over 2.558%1.74
Over 3.534%2.80
Under 1.525%3.92
Under 2.542%2.01
Under 3.566%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 3.5 = 10.1
Over 8.565%1.50
Over 9.553%1.86
Over 10.540%2.36
Under 8.535%2.37
Under 9.547%1.84
Under 10.560%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.4 = 4
Over 3.556%1.33
Over 4.536%1.67
Under 3.544%3.15
Under 4.564%2.11
Match Events
37'CharlesFoul
48'Lucas Paquetá
50'Lucas PaquetáFoul
67'Dieguinho INKaio César out
67'Pedro Milans INMatheuzinho out
67'Charles INBreno Bidon out
67'Fabrizio Angileri INMatheus Bidu out
73'Matheus Pereira INRodrigo Garro out
74'Pedro INBruno Henrique out
74'Ayrton Lucas INAlex Sandro out
78'Gui NegãoAssist: Kaio César
78'Samuel LinoDissent
79'Giorgian de Arrascaeta INJorginho out
79'Gonzalo Plata INJorge Carrascal out
86'Lucas Paquetá INJoaquín Freitas out
87'Breno BidonFoul
89'Bruno HenriqueAssist: Joaquín Freitas
90+2'Erick PulgarFoul
90+5'Rodrigo GarroDissent
90+7'JorginhoTime wasting
Lineups
FlamengoCorinthians
4-4-2Coach: Fernando DinizAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Rossi
2G. Varela
3L. Ortiz
13Danilo
6A. Lucas
5E. Pulgar
11L. Paquetá
19G. Plata
10G. de Arrascaeta
16S. Lino
9Pedro
1H. Souza
20P. Milans
4J. Pedro
55I. Machado
26F. Angileri
61Dieguinho
35Charles
14Raniele
77J. Lingard
23M. Pereira
56G. InácioFlamengo Substitutes
15J. Carrascal79'for Gonzalo Plata
49Dyogo
30J. Freitas86'for Lucas Paquetá
21Jorginho79'for Giorgian de Arrascaeta90+7'
22Emerson Royal
26Alex Sandro74'for Ayrton Lucas
27Bruno Henrique74'for Pedro89'
14A. Valencia
44Vitão
42Andrew
7Luiz Araújo
8Saúl
Corinthians Substitutes
80Alex Santana
7Breno67'for Charles87'
11Vitinho
18Pedro Raul
2Matheuzinho67'for Pedro Milans
21Matheus Bidu67'for Fabrizio Angileri
51Kauê Camargo
37Kaio César67'for Dieguinho
46Hugo
8R. Garro73'for Matheus Pereira90+5'
3Gabriel Paulista
84Yago Veloso
Match Stats
FlamengoCorinthians 64%Ball Possession36%
20Corner Kicks0
4Yellow Cards3
32Total Shots3
10Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal1
21Shots Inside Box1
11Shots Outside Box2
12Blocked Shots1
14Fouls9
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves7
670Total Passes388
605Passes Accurate323
90%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
FlamengoCorinthians1908Elo Rating 1607
1.13Attack 0.86
2.72Defense 0.79
39%Hit Rate 0%
13.8Shots per Game 17.3
6.1Shots on Target 5.1
7.0Corners per Game 7.7
2.2Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+301 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Flamengo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Corinthians- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Flamengo5Wins · 50%Draws330%
Corinthians2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
23/03/2026CorinthiansFlamengo11
01/02/2026FlamengoCorinthians02
29/09/2025CorinthiansFlamengo12
27/04/2025FlamengoCorinthians40
20/10/2024CorinthiansFlamengo00
03/10/2024FlamengoCorinthians10
01/09/2024CorinthiansFlamengo21
11/05/2024FlamengoCorinthians20
08/10/2023CorinthiansFlamengo11
21/05/2023FlamengoCorinthians10
Recent Form
Flamengo7W2D1L
11/09/2026
Independiente del ValleFlamengo
RemoFlamengoFlamengo
MirassolFlamengo
Botafogo
CruzeiroFlamengoFlamengoCruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengo
Vitoria
InternacionalFlamengo
Independiente del ValleFlamengo02
W06/09/2026RemoFlamengo01
W03/09/2026FlamengoMirassol20
W30/08/2026FlamengoBotafogo30
W23/08/2026CruzeiroFlamengo21
L20/08/2026FlamengoCruzeiro21
W16/08/2026MirassolFlamengo
13/08/2026MirassolFlamengo15
WCruzeiroFlamengo11
D10/08/2026FlamengoVitoria20
W30/07/2026InternacionalFlamengo11
DCorinthians3W2D5L
10/09/2026
Estudiantes L.P.CorinthiansCorinthians
Chapecoense-scCorinthians
Santos
CoritibaCorinthiansCorinthians
Rosario CentralCorinthiansCruzeiro
RB BragantinoCorinthiansCorinthiansInternacionalInternacionalCorinthians
Estudiantes L.P.Corinthians11
D07/09/2026CorinthiansChapecoense-sc12
L30/08/2026CorinthiansSantos01
L24/08/2026CoritibaCorinthians21
L21/08/2026CorinthiansRosario Central10
W17/08/2026CorinthiansCruzeiro12
L14/08/2026Rosario CentralCorinthians
09/08/2026Rosario CentralCorinthians00
DRB BragantinoCorinthians02
W07/08/2026CorinthiansInternacional21
W03/08/2026InternacionalCorinthians20
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 47 | DDWLD |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 | Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 17 |  Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 33 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 45:53 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 33 | 37:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 32:66 | 21 |
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About the Flamengo vs Corinthians forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Flamengo and Corinthians in the Serie A table
The table shows a wide gap: Flamengo are 1st in the Serie A, while Corinthians sit 18th, 37 points behind. League goal record so far: Flamengo 64-27, Corinthians 34-42. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.