Avai vs São Bernardo Prediction

Avai
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
São Bernardo
Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis·Anderson Daronco 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Avai Rest
6 days
São Bernardo Rest
5 days

Avai vs São Bernardo: result, form and history

Avai beat São Bernardo 2-1 in the Serie B on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Anderson Daronco averages 4.49 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.98
X
27%3.20
2
40%2.30
Double Chance
1X
60%1.55
X2
67%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.77
No
49%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.01 = 2.30
Over 1.5
70%1.29
Over 2.5
46%2.00
Over 3.5
24%3.50
Under 1.5
30%3.25
Under 2.5
54%1.75
Under 3.5
76%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.24
Over 9.5
52%1.48
Over 10.5
40%1.79
Under 8.5
36%3.42
Under 9.5
48%2.48
Under 10.5
60%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%-

Match Events

45'Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes INDaniel Davi Simão Roque out
45'Lucas Fernandes INBreno Ruan Melo Almeida out
53'Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro MagalhãesFoul
63'Hyan INGaspar out
63'Luiz Henrique INKauã Gabriel Pereira Dos Santos out
63'Léo Gamalho INMarcio Vitor Barbosa Da Silva out
71'Fabrício DanielAssist: Pará
72'João Vitor INWallison out
75'Fabrício Daniel INFelipe Garcia out
75'Eduardo·da Silva Albuquerque INFoguinho out
79'ParáOG
81'Wenderson INGabriel Cipriano out
85'GasparAssist: Marcio Vitor Barbosa Da Silva
88'Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães INDaniel Amorim out
90+3'Marcão SilvaFoul
90+5'Breno Ruan Melo AlmeidaFoul

Lineups

Avai
4-2-3-1Coach: Allan Aal
São Bernardo
3-4-3Coach: Vinícius Bergantin
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.47
Igor Bohn7.11I. Bohn
João Vitor Cardoso de Souza6.622J. Vitor Cardoso de Souza
Allyson6.93Allyson
Reynaldo6.940Reynaldo
Quaresma7.466Quaresma
Zé Ricardo7.377Z. Ricardo
Luiz Henrique6.48L. Henrique
Hyan6.618Hyan
Jean Lucas7.210J. Lucas
Wenderson6.895Wenderson
Léo Gamalho6.59L. Gamalho
Alex Alves7.81A. Alves
Marcão5.877Marcão
Jemerson6.535Jemerson
Luizão6.190Luizão
Hugo Sanches5.921H. Sanches
Lucas Lima6.414L. Lima
Eduardo6.626Eduardo
Pará6.06Pará
Lucas Fernandes6.231L. Fernandes
Fabrício Daniel7.710F. Daniel
Pedrinho6.229Pedrinho

Avai Substitutes

2Wallison72'for João Vitor6.4
70Gaspar63'for Hyan85'8.0
25Paulo Vitor
26Vinicius Miguel Immig
35Pedrão
15Guilherme Vargas
20Isaías Pereira
30Kauã Gabriel Pereira Dos Santos63'replaced by Luiz Henrique
59Lopes Gabriel
94Bruno Ferreira
23Gabriel Cipriano81'for Wenderson6.5
29Vitor Marcio63'for Léo Gamalho6.7

São Bernardo Substitutes

42Hyoran
89Daniel Amorim88'for Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães6.5
9Felipe Garcia75'for Fabrício Daniel6.3
36João Vitor Rodrigues Galdino
8Foguinho75'for Eduardo·da Silva Albuquerque6.0
37D. Davi45'for Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes7.0
33Mário Sérgio
12Júnior Oliveira
27Echaporã
97Augusto
17Romisson
30Breninho45'for Lucas Fernandes90+5'6.6

Match Stats

AvaiSão Bernardo
48%Ball Possession52%
8Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots11
8Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots2
8Fouls17
4Goalkeeper Saves7
485Total Passes531
431Passes Accurate453
17Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

AvaiAvai
São BernardoSão Bernardo
1522Elo Rating 1618
0.45Attack 1.70
2.13Defense 1.46
31%Hit Rate 50%
18.1Shots per Game 11.5
5.7Shots on Target 4.2
8.2Corners per Game 6.2
3.4Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AvaiAvai
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

AvaiAvai0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
São BernardoSão Bernardo0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Referee Profile

Anderson Daronco308 matches

4.49Cards per match
4.25Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anderson Daronco4.49
Other referees5.20

4.49 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 240 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
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About the Avai vs São Bernardo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Avai and São Bernardo in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, São Bernardo are 11th and Avai 17th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Avai 35-47, São Bernardo 54-44. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Avai and São Bernardo have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.