Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

Novorizontino
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Fortaleza EC
Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase, New Horizons·Davi de Oliveira Lacerda 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
Novorizontino Rest
5 days
Fortaleza EC Rest
5 days

Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC: result, form and history

Novorizontino beat Fortaleza EC 2-1 in the Serie B on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Novorizontino had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Fortaleza EC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.73
X
29%3.50
2
19%4.78
Double Chance
1X
81%1.17
X2
48%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.92
No
52%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 0.91 = 2.22
Over 1.5
68%1.33
Over 2.5
44%2.04
Over 3.5
23%3.65
Under 1.5
32%3.08
Under 2.5
56%1.73
Under 3.5
77%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.9 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.29
Over 9.5
53%1.55
Over 10.5
41%1.91
Under 8.5
35%3.05
Under 9.5
47%2.25
Under 10.5
59%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.7 = 5.3
Over 3.5
77%-
Over 4.5
61%-
Under 3.5
23%-
Under 4.5
39%-

Match Events

7'Card upgrade confirmedNicolas Morês da Cruz
8'Nicolas Morês da CruzViolent conduct
8'Paulo BayaAssist: Jailson Siqueira
19'Card upgrade confirmedLucas Emanoel
20'Lucas EmanoelSerious foul
28'Matheus Henrique Bianqui
45'Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes INRonald Barcellos Arantes out
45+5'Jailson SiqueiraFoul
45+9'Patrick Marcos de Sousa Freitas INEduardo Brock out
50'Pierre INLucas Sasha out
57'Pedro Henrique INJuan Camilo Cantillo out
71'Luís OyamaAssist: Ronald Barcellos Arantes
73'Tomás Cardona
77'Romulo Azevedo Simão INMaykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho out
77'Robson INCarlos Henrique de Moura Brito out
77'Paulo Ricardo de Souza Babilônia INKaio Henrique out
77'Paulo Baya INRyan Gustavo de Lima out
87'Ronald Barcellos ArantesArgument
90+1'Matheus Henrique Bianqui INJuninho out

Lineups

Novorizontino
4-2-3-1Coach: Enderson Moreira
Fortaleza EC
3-4-3Coach: Paulo Autuori
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.41
Jordi6.293Jordi
Madson7.02Madson
Carlinhos7.23Carlinhos
Patrick6.84Patrick
Sander6.85Sander
Matheus Bianqui7.517M. Bianqui
Luis Oyama8.26L. Oyama
Nicolas Careca5.530N. Careca
Romulo6.410Romulo
Reidiney6.541Reidiney
Robson6.511Robson
João Ricardo6.11J. Ricardo
Lucas Gazal7.43L. Gazal
Bartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga6.515B. Jacinto Quissanga
T. Cardona5.16T. Cardona
Paulinho6.428Paulinho
Jaílson7.720Jaílson
Pierre6.85Pierre
Rodriguinho5.875Rodriguinho
Pedro Henrique6.316P. Henrique
Lucas Emanoel5.519L. Emanoel
Paulo Baya8.277P. Baya

Novorizontino Substitutes

28Marlon
8C. Ortíz
18Léo Naldi
27Diego Mathias
66Maykon77'for Romulo Azevedo Simão6.7
7Ronald Barcellos45'for Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes87'6.6
14Eduardo Brock45+9'for Patrick Marcos de Sousa Freitas7.1
31César
50Juninho90+1'for Matheus Henrique Bianqui
9Carlão77'for Robson6.7
16Vinícius
22A. Alvariño

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

8Ronald
12Kaio Henrique77'for Paulo Ricardo de Souza Babilônia5.8
11Vitinho
17Nathan Fogaça
13Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
88Lucas Sasha50'for Pierre6.4
38Lucca
25Vinícius Silvestre
91Francisco da Costa
4Luan
37Ryan Gustavo77'for Paulo Baya6.0
21J. Cantillo57'for Pedro Henrique6.3

Match Stats

NovorizontinoFortaleza EC
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards2
18Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots1
11Fouls13
4Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
448Total Passes486
388Passes Accurate429
13Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1745Elo Rating 1701
2.27Attack 1.32
2.18Defense 2.21
81%Hit Rate 34%
16.8Shots per Game 14.3
5.9Shots on Target 3.7
5.5Corners per Game 6.2
3.0Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

NovorizontinoNovorizontino0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Referee Profile

Davi de Oliveira Lacerda122 matches

5.13Cards per match
4.92Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Davi de Oliveira Lacerda5.13
Other referees5.16

5.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 100 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
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About the Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Novorizontino and Fortaleza EC in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Novorizontino are 1st and Fortaleza EC 5th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Novorizontino 66-32, Fortaleza EC 44-33. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Novorizontino and Fortaleza EC have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.