Novorizontino vs São Bernardo Prediction

Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase, New Horizons·Lucas Canetto Bellote 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalNEUTRALModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Novorizontino Rest
6 days
São Bernardo Rest
6 days

Novorizontino vs São Bernardo: result, form and history

Novorizontino and São Bernardo drew 0-0 in the Serie B on 25 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. São Bernardo tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.5 for Novorizontino.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.50
X
24%4.00
2
15%6.18
Double Chance
1X
86%1.10
X2
39%2.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.85
No
49%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.9 = 2.58
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.77
Over 3.5
31%3.00
Under 1.5
25%3.75
Under 2.5
47%1.99
Under 3.5
69%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.13
Over 9.5
53%1.29
Over 10.5
42%1.56
Under 8.5
35%4.43
Under 9.5
47%3.05
Under 10.5
58%2.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.67
Over 4.5
37%2.20
Under 3.5
43%2.10
Under 4.5
63%1.62

Match Events

38'Helder MacielFoul
52'Penalty cancelledRobson
58'AugustoFoul
60'Felipe Garcia INFabrício Daniel out
60'Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes INJuninho out
60'Nicolas Morês da Cruz INVinicius out
70'Leonardo Naldi de Matos INCarlos Henrique de Moura Brito out
74'Foguinho INLucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva out
74'Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes INDaniel Davi Simão Roque out
85'Mário Sérgio Valerio INPará out
85'Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva INEchapora out
85'Romulo Azevedo Simão INLuiz Otavio Maria out
85'Robson INDiego Galo out

Lineups

Novorizontino
4-2-3-1Coach: Enderson Moreira
São Bernardo
3-4-3Coach: Vinícius Bergantin
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating6.54
Jordi6.993Jordi
A. Alvariño7.422A. Alvariño
Gabriel Bahia7.026G. Bahia
Eduardo Brock7.114E. Brock
Sander7.05Sander
Luis Oyama6.96L. Oyama
Léo Naldi6.718L. Naldi
Reidiney6.441Reidiney
Romulo6.810Romulo
Nicolas Careca6.530N. Careca
Robson6.311Robson
Alex Alves7.31A. Alves
Hélder6.83Hélder
Jemerson6.835Jemerson
Augusto6.997Augusto
Rodrigo Ferreira6.42R. Ferreira
Foguinho6.28Foguinho
Eduardo6.626Eduardo
Mário Sérgio6.633M. Sérgio
Pedro Vitor6.311P. Vitor
Felipe Garcia6.79F. Garcia
Pedrinho6.029Pedrinho

Novorizontino Substitutes

16Vinícius60'for Nicolas Morês da Cruz6.6
15Tavinho85'for Romulo Azevedo Simão6.6
8C. Ortíz
66Maykon
28Marlon
24J. Lora
50Juninho60'for Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes7.1
31César
9Carlão70'for Leonardo Naldi de Matos6.5
19Diego Galo85'for Robson7.2
27Diego Mathias
3Carlinhos

São Bernardo Substitutes

90Luizão
42Hyoran
21Hugo Sanches
37D. Davi74'for Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes6.5
12Júnior Oliveira
27Echaporã85'for Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva6.5
10Fabrício Daniel60'for Felipe Garcia6.4
14Lucas Lima74'for Foguinho6.1
6Pará85'for Mário Sérgio Valerio6.7
31Lucas Fernandes
17Romisson
77Marcão

Match Stats

NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
53%Ball Possession47%
9Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots6
3Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box4
11Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
5Fouls6
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
491Total Passes445
424Passes Accurate359
6Free Kicks4

Team Comparison

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
São BernardoSão Bernardo
1740Elo Rating 1605
2.46Attack 1.79
2.35Defense 1.37
77%Hit Rate 41%
16.0Shots per Game 12.4
6.6Shots on Target 4.0
4.5Corners per Game 7.0
2.6Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+135 Elo
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

NovorizontinoNovorizontino1Wins · 33%
Draws267%
São BernardoSão Bernardo0Wins · 0%
2.3Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie B31/05/2026
São BernardoNovorizontino
11
Paulista - A107/02/2026
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
21
Paulista - A106/02/2025
São BernardoNovorizontino
11

Referee Profile

Lucas Canetto Bellote67 matches

5.12Cards per match
4.92Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Canetto Bellote5.12
Other referees4.98

5.12 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.98).

Cards come from 51 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP361391441:39+248DWWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3641:3948
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
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About the Novorizontino vs São Bernardo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Novorizontino and São Bernardo in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Novorizontino are 2nd and São Bernardo 11th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Novorizontino 62-30, São Bernardo 49-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.