Operario-PR vs Ceara Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 30
Operario-PR
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Ceara
Estadio Germano Kruger, Punta Grossa·Andre Luiz Skettino Policarpo Bento 26/09/2026
Operario-PROperario-PR
2-2
Finished
CearaCeara

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+6.3%
Operario-PR Rest
3 days
Ceara Rest
7 days

Operario-PR vs Ceara: the result in context

Operario-PR and Ceara drew 2-2 in the Serie B on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee Andre Luiz Skettino Policarpo Bento averages 6.02 cards a game, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.10
X
29%3.20
2
26%3.46
Double Chance
1X
74%1.27
X2
55%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.85
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1 = 2.38
Over 1.5
69%1.33
Over 2.5
44%2.12
Over 3.5
23%3.75
Under 1.5
31%3.00
Under 2.5
56%1.67
Under 3.5
77%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
58%1.36
Over 9.5
49%1.64
Over 10.5
38%2.02
Under 8.5
42%2.88
Under 9.5
51%2.15
Under 10.5
62%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.4 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
53%1.62
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
47%2.20

Match Events

9'Gabriel Boschilia
42'Emaxwell Souza de Lima INAylon out
45'Enzo Valentim Lodovico INMatheus Araujo out
45+2'Julio Cesar Alves GoncalvesFoul
60'Caio DantasAssist: Vinícius Diniz Dall Antonia
61'Rian Bonfim De Santana INVinícius out
64'Gabriel Boschilia INParaiba out
65'Caio Dantas INOnitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues out
69'Matheus AraujoAssist: Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira
77'ViníciusAssist: Luiz Otávio
77'Goal confirmedLuiz Otávio
81'Hildeberto Pereira INVinicius Alessandro Mingotti out
82'Matheus Trindade INÍndio out
86'Sanchez CostaTime wasting
89'Bryan Borges MascarenhasFoul
90'Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira INLucas Mugni out
90+5'Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes RodriguesFoul
90+6'João Gabriel Santos Batista INGiovanni Pavani out
90+6'Bryan Borges Mascarenhas INÉder out

Lineups

Operario-PR
4-2-3-1Coach: Luizinho Lopes
Ceara
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Paulista
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating6.64
Vagner6.233Vagner
Mikael Doka6.32M. Doka
Klaus6.34Klaus
Miranda6.616Miranda
Gabriel Feliciano6.727G. Feliciano
Matheus Trindade5.939M. Trindade
Vinícius Diniz7.220V. Diniz
Hildeberto Pereira6.414H. Pereira
Boschilia8.210Boschilia
Maxwell6.077Maxwell
Caio Dantas7.899C. Dantas
Richard6.41Richard
Bryan6.831Bryan
Luiz Otávio6.64L. Otávio
Luiz Otávio7.313L. Otávio
Sanchez6.212Sanchez
Júlio6.618Júlio
Joao Gabriel6.481J. Gabriel
Enzo6.360Enzo
Richard6.440Richard
1616R. Bonfim De Santana
Saulo Mineiro6.773S. Mineiro

Operario-PR Substitutes

9Vinícius Mingotti81'for Hildeberto Pereira6.5
1Elias Martello Curzel
5Índio82'for Matheus Trindade6.1
34Renan Gustavo
17Nicolas Schulz
11Aylon42'for Emaxwell Souza de Lima6.5
30Pedro Vilhena
8J. Zuluaga
26Maguinho
32Charles
6Moraes65'for Caio Dantas90+5'5.8
88Neto Paraíba64'for Gabriel Boschilia6.0

Ceara Substitutes

10L. Mugni90'for Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira
77Lenny Lobato
99Lucca
29Vina61'replaced by Rian Bonfim De Santana77'7.7
23Caíque França
2Rafael Ramos
33Éder90+6'for Bryan Borges Mascarenhas
41G. Dias
7Giovanni Pavani90+6'for João Gabriel Santos Batista
44Kaiky Cabral Leão
6Sávio
8Matheus Araújo45'for Enzo Valentim Lodovico69'6.9

Match Stats

Operario-PRCeara
52%Ball Possession48%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots4
10Fouls17
2Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
420Total Passes393
352Passes Accurate309
17Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Operario-PROperario-PR
CearaCeara
1587Elo Rating 1591
0.44Attack 0.76
1.63Defense 1.81
27%Hit Rate 31%
15.7Shots per Game 13.7
3.1Shots on Target 3.8
7.1Corners per Game 4.6
2.6Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Operario-PROperario-PR
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CearaCeara
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Operario-PROperario-PR1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
CearaCeara1Wins · 33%
2.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie B31/05/2026
CearaOperario-PR
12
Serie B08/09/2024
CearaOperario-PR
21
Serie B19/05/2024
Operario-PRCeara
00

Recent Form

Operario-PROperario-PR
3W3D4L
23/09/2026
CriciumaOperario-PR
02
W16/09/2026
Nautico RecifeOperario-PR
33
D10/09/2026
Operario-PRCRB
30
W06/09/2026
LondrinaOperario-PR
12
W
01/09/2026
Fortaleza ECOperario-PR
11
D
23/08/2026
Operario-PRVila Nova
00
D
20/08/2026
CuiabaOperario-PR
10
L
16/08/2026
Operario-PRAvai
12
L
08/08/2026
Operario-PRSão Bernardo
13
L
28/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseOperario-PR
31
L
CearaCeara
5W1D4L
19/09/2026
CearaNovorizontino
21
W13/09/2026
Fortaleza ECCeara
11
D10/09/2026
Atletico GoianienseCeara
21
L
05/09/2026
CearaSport Recife
21
W
30/08/2026
Vila NovaCeara
20
L
22/08/2026
CearaLondrina
21
W
19/08/2026
Nautico RecifeCeara
10
L15/08/2026
CearaCuiaba
13
L08/08/2026
CearaPonte Preta
20
W26/07/2026
São BernardoCeara
34
W

Referee Profile

Andre Luiz Skettino Policarpo Bento86 matches

6.02Cards per match
5.81Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
30.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andre Luiz Skettino Policarpo Bento6.02
Other referees5.47

6.02 cards a match, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.47).

Cards come from 57 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP361391441:39+248DWWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3641:3948
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

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About the Operario-PR vs Ceara forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Operario-PR and Ceara in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Operario-PR are 10th and Ceara 16th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Operario-PR 45-46, Ceara 37-44. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.