Ceara vs Novorizontino Prediction

Ceara
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Novorizontino
Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza·Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
Ceara Rest
5 days
Novorizontino Rest
5 days

Ceara vs Novorizontino: result, form and history

Ceara beat Novorizontino 2-1 in the Serie B on 19 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Novorizontino had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Ceara.

Novorizontino have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.75
X
31%3.10
2
34%2.53
Double Chance
1X
65%1.47
X2
65%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.83
No
44%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.31 = 2.50
Over 1.5
74%1.36
Over 2.5
52%2.12
Over 3.5
27%3.75
Under 1.5
26%2.90
Under 2.5
48%1.67
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
63%1.28
Over 9.5
54%1.51
Over 10.5
41%1.85
Under 8.5
37%3.14
Under 9.5
46%2.33
Under 10.5
59%1.89
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.4
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

9'Julio Cesar Alves GoncalvesFoul
10'Patrick Marcos de Sousa FreitasFoul
31'Penalty cancelledEnzo Valentim Lodovico
45'Nicolás Ferreira INRian Bonfim De Santana out
45'Julio Cesar Alves Goncalves INMatheus Araujo out
45+1'Enderson Alves MoreiraDissent
45+2'Bryan Borges MascarenhasHandball
45+4'Matheus Henrique BianquiAssist: Madson Ferreira dos Santos
48'Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira
55'João Gabriel Santos BatistaFoul
61'Rian Bonfim De SantanaAssist: Enzo Valentim Lodovico
67'Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes INJuninho out
67'Nicolas Morês da Cruz INDiego Galo out
78'Luís Oyama INCarlos Henrique de Moura Brito out
79'Romulo Azevedo Simão INVinicius out
80'Enzo Valentim Lodovico INRichardson out
82'Matheus Henrique BianquiFoul
87'Matheus Henrique Bianqui INLuiz Otavio Maria out
87'João Gabriel Santos Batista INLucas Mugni out
90+4'Penalty cancelledSaulo Mineiro
90+6'RobsonDissent
90+7'Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira INVinícius out
90+9'RichardsonFoul
90+10'JuninhoFoul

Lineups

Ceara
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Paulista
Novorizontino
4-2-3-1Coach: Enderson Moreira
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.58
Richard7.51Richard
Bryan6.531Bryan
Luiz Otávio6.34L. Otávio
Luiz Otávio6.813L. Otávio
Sanchez5.912Sanchez
Joao Gabriel6.681J. Gabriel
Júlio6.118Júlio
Enzo7.460Enzo
Richard7.540Richard
N. Ferreira6.211N. Ferreira
Saulo Mineiro6.173S. Mineiro
Jordi6.093Jordi
Madson7.22Madson
Gabriel Bahia6.826G. Bahia
Patrick6.14Patrick
Sander6.95Sander
Matheus Bianqui8.217M. Bianqui
Luis Oyama6.16L. Oyama
Reidiney6.441Reidiney
Romulo7.110Romulo
Nicolas Careca6.530N. Careca
Robson6.211Robson

Ceara Substitutes

16Rian Bonfim De Santana45'replaced by Nicolás Ferreira61'
7Giovanni Pavani
26Richardson80'for Enzo Valentim Lodovico90+9'6.0
2Rafael Ramos
23Caíque França
29Vina90+7'for Melquisedeque Costa De Oliveira
99Lucca
77Lenny Lobato
45Vini Uchella
10L. Mugni87'for João Gabriel Santos Batista6.3
8Matheus Araújo45'for Julio Cesar Alves Goncalves6.3
6Sávio

Novorizontino Substitutes

19Diego Galo67'for Nicolas Morês da Cruz6.2
66Maykon
15Tavinho87'for Matheus Henrique Bianqui6.7
18Léo Naldi
28Marlon
14Eduardo Brock
31César
50Juninho67'for Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes90+10'6.4
9Carlão78'for Luís Oyama6.3
3Carlinhos
16Vinícius79'for Romulo Azevedo Simão6.3

Match Stats

CearaNovorizontino
46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks9
4Yellow Cards4
8Total Shots24
3Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal10
6Shots Inside Box14
2Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots5
11Fouls13
4Offsides2
8Goalkeeper Saves1
330Total Passes393
240Passes Accurate305
12Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

CearaCeara
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
1611Elo Rating 1740
1.18Attack 2.46
1.95Defense 2.35
36%Hit Rate 77%
13.1Shots per Game 16.0
3.9Shots on Target 6.6
5.2Corners per Game 4.5
2.2Cards per Game 2.6

Game State Tendencies

CearaCeara
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

CearaCeara2Wins · 40%
Draws00%
NovorizontinoNovorizontino3Wins · 60%
3.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie B23/05/2026
NovorizontinoCeara
21
Serie B27/08/2024
CearaNovorizontino
10
Serie B11/05/2024
NovorizontinoCeara
03
Serie B19/09/2023
NovorizontinoCeara
41
Serie B28/05/2023
CearaNovorizontino
03

Referee Profile

Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos94 matches

5.40Cards per match
5.15Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos5.40
Other referees5.21

5.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.21).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Ceara vs Novorizontino forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ceara and Novorizontino in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Novorizontino are 1st and Ceara 16th, 21 points apart. League goal record so far: Ceara 37-44, Novorizontino 62-30. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.