Vila Nova vs America Mineiro Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 29
Vila Nova
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
America Mineiro
Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania·Fabiano Monteiro dos Santos 19/09/2026
Vila NovaVila Nova
1-0
Finished
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.6%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
Vila Nova Rest
3 days
America Mineiro Rest
4 days

Vila Nova vs America Mineiro: result, form and history

Vila Nova beat America Mineiro 1-0 in the Serie B on 18 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.44
X
18%3.94
2
7%7.30
Double Chance
1X
93%1.08
X2
25%2.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.20
No
51%1.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 0.88 = 2.63
Over 1.5
77%1.33
Over 2.5
53%2.10
Over 3.5
31%3.75
Under 1.5
23%3.00
Under 2.5
47%1.71
Under 3.5
69%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.3 = 10.3
Over 8.5
67%1.30
Over 9.5
56%1.56
Over 10.5
46%1.94
Under 8.5
33%2.97
Under 9.5
44%2.27
Under 10.5
54%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
43%1.67
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
57%2.10

Match Events

14'André Luís
32'Guilherme Parede INMatías Segovia out
62'Higor Luiz de SouzaFoul
63'Marquinhos Gabriel INRaphael Guimarães de Paula out
63'Everton Galdino INRyan lima out
63'Julio César Leme Do Nascimento INMarcelo Enrique Maçola Filho out
63'Felipe INJorge Jiménez out
79'Higor Luiz de Souza INIgor Cariús out
79'João Pedro Vieira INWillian Maranhão out
82'Paulo Victor·Ferreira de JesusFoul
86'Tobias Ostchega INFernando Elizari out
86'Otavio Goncalves INLuidy Montes Carneiro out
86'André Luís INWillian Prado Camargo out
88'Raphael Guimarães de PaulaFoul
90+6'Willian Prado CamargoArgument
90+7'WillianArgument

Lineups

Vila Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Guto Ferreira
America Mineiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Douglas Leite
Avg rating7.00
Avg rating6.58
Helton Leite7.61H. Leite
Hayner7.722Hayner
Douglas Mendes7.04D. Mendes
Jonathan Costa7.523J. Costa
Higor6.46Higor
João Vieira6.85J. Vieira
Dudu6.715Dudu
Everton Galdino6.717E. Galdino
Marquinhos Gabriel6.910M. Gabriel
Janderson6.699Janderson
André Luís7.87A. Luís
Bruno Brígido6.491B. Brígido
Fábio Almeida7.031F. Almeida
Rafael Barcelos6.74R. Barcelos
L. Sosa6.93L. Sosa
T. Ostchega6.625T. Ostchega
Felipe Amaral6.58F. Amaral
5555O. Goncalves
Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio6.437C. Leme Do Nascimento Julio
Willian6.69Willian
Guilherme Parede6.87G. Parede
Paulo Victor6.420P. Victor

Vila Nova Substitutes

8Willian Maranhão79'for João Pedro Vieira6.8
33Bruno Xavier
29Dalberson
31Dodô63'for Marquinhos Gabriel88'6.3
70Emerson Urso
18Enzo
21Higor Meritão
16Igor Cariús79'for Higor Luiz de Souza7.0
20Nathan Camargo
13Willian Formiga86'for André Luís90+6'7.1
9Puskas Gustavo
11Ryan Lima63'for Everton Galdino7.2

America Mineiro Substitutes

93J. Jiménez63'for Felipe7.2
1Gustavo
5F. Elizari86'for Tobias Ostchega6.3
77M. Segovia32'for Guilherme Parede6.6
15Alex Silva
71Cristian Do Espirito Santo Rodrigues
70Kaique Zizero Moreira Dorna
30L. Montes86'replaced by Otavio Goncalves6.1
99Marcelo Macola63'for Julio César Leme Do Nascimento6.1
13Heitor

Match Stats

Vila NovaAmerica Mineiro
41%Ball Possession59%
5Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal10
8Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box11
8Blocked Shots5
20Fouls16
2Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves1
331Total Passes482
257Passes Accurate409
16Free Kicks20

Team Comparison

Vila NovaVila Nova
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1661Elo Rating 1451
1.53Attack 0.27
1.73Defense 2.10
34%Hit Rate 27%
11.2Shots per Game 12.7
4.2Shots on Target 3.3
4.4Corners per Game 5.0
2.9Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+210 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.3 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Vila NovaVila Nova2Wins · 40%
Draws120%
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie B24/05/2026
America MineiroVila Nova
12
Serie B09/10/2025
America MineiroVila Nova
11
Serie B14/06/2025
Vila NovaAmerica Mineiro
03
Serie B25/08/2024
Vila NovaAmerica Mineiro
10
Serie B09/05/2024
America MineiroVila Nova
31

Recent Form

Vila NovaVila Nova
5W2D3L
15/09/2026
AvaiVila Nova
11
D11/09/2026
Vila NovaGoias
20
W
05/09/2026
Athletic ClubVila Nova
50
L
30/08/2026
Vila NovaCeara
20
W
23/08/2026
Operario-PRVila Nova
00
D
20/08/2026
Vila NovaPonte Preta
60
W
15/08/2026
Atletico GoianienseVila Nova
02
W
08/08/2026
Vila NovaSport Recife
01
L28/07/2026
CRBVila Nova
20
L22/07/2026
Vila NovaFortaleza EC
21
W
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
3W0D7L
15/09/2026
America MineiroSão Bernardo
02
L10/09/2026
America MineiroNautico Recife
21
W
05/09/2026
CRBAmerica Mineiro
31
L
30/08/2026
America MineiroPonte Preta
20
W
25/08/2026
Sport RecifeAmerica Mineiro
30
L21/08/2026
NovorizontinoAmerica Mineiro
30
L16/08/2026
America MineiroAthletic Club
13
L08/08/2026
Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro
21
L26/07/2026
America MineiroGoias
10
W22/07/2026
AvaiAmerica Mineiro
21
L

Referee Profile

Fabiano Monteiro dos Santos47 matches

4.63Cards per match
4.33Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fabiano Monteiro dos Santos4.63
Other referees4.77

4.63 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.77).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

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About the Vila Nova vs America Mineiro forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vila Nova and America Mineiro in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Vila Nova are 3rd in the Serie B, while America Mineiro sit 19th, 39 points behind. League goal record so far: Vila Nova 50-36, America Mineiro 23-54. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.