Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 30
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
Nautico Recife Rest
4 days
Sport Recife Rest
7 days
Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife: the result in context
Nautico Recife beat Sport Recife 3-1 in the Serie B on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.20
X29%3.16
227%3.22
Double Chance
1X73%1.33
X257%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.78
No49%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 0.99 = 2.39
Over 1.571%1.33
Over 2.546%2.04
Over 3.525%3.60
Under 1.529%3.10
Under 2.554%1.73
Under 3.575%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.563%1.29
Over 9.551%1.52
Over 10.540%1.87
Under 8.537%3.21
Under 9.549%2.33
Under 10.560%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.557%-
Over 4.537%-
Under 3.543%-
Under 4.563%-
Match Events
26'Wenderson da Silva Costa FerreiraFoul
45'Augusto Pucci De Freitas INClaudinho out
45'Fernando Sobral INJuan out
45'Luan Sales INReginaldo out
45+2'ViniciusAssist: Jean Carlos
48'Jean CarlosAssist: Derek Freitas Ribeiro
57'Ryan Santos INGustavo Henrique out
58'Derek Freitas Ribeiro INBenjamín Borasi out
61'Diego·Hernandez INPatrick de Paula Carreiro out
67'Todinho INPaulo Sérgio out
71'Marlon Douglas INKervin Andrade out
71'Pedro Henrique Perotti INNeto Pessoa out
72'Gustavo Henrique
74'Jean Carlos INKauan Almeida da Costa out
83'Raí Lopes de OliveiraFoul
90+1'Neto PessoaAssist: Willian Oliveira
Lineups
Nautico RecifeSport Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: M. SosoAvg ratingAvg rating
1Muriel
2Arnaldo
3Alberto
23I. Fernandes
6Ryan
8Wenderson
41Samuel
7Vinícius
10J. Carlos
29J. Todinho
72Derek
26T. Couto
68Augusto
5M. Benevenuto
3M. Ajul
76Raí
88F. Sobral
29W. Oliveira
30C. Barletta
20D. Hernández
31Marlon
9PerottiNautico Recife Substitutes
19Kaua Almeida da Costa74'for Jean Carlos
11Victor Andrade
24B. Borasi58'for Derek Freitas Ribeiro
5Auremir
60Luiz Paulo
55G. Guruceaga
46Gustavo Henrique57'for Ryan Santos72'
93Reginaldo Lopes45'for Luan Sales
22P. Núñez
27Luiz Felipe
13Gabriel Severino de Sousa
9Paulo Sérgio67'for Todinho
Sport Recife Substitutes
21Brenno
19Neto Pessoa71'for Pedro Henrique Perotti90+1'
27Claudinho45'for Augusto Pucci De Freitas
80K. Andrade71'for Marlon Douglas
25Clayson
6Biel
7Patrick de Paula61'for Diego·Hernandez
96Edson
10C. de Pena
28Habraão
23Zé Gabriel
8Juan Alano45'for Fernando Sobral
Match Stats
Nautico RecifeSport Recife 41%Ball Possession59%
11Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots24
4Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal10
9Shots Inside Box15
3Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots10
15Fouls7
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
281Total Passes421
211Passes Accurate341
6Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
Nautico RecifeSport Recife1542Elo Rating 1598
0.14Attack 1.35
1.06Defense 1.77
0%Hit Rate 58%
14.7Shots per Game 15.4
3.2Shots on Target 4.9
5.1Corners per Game 4.8
2.4Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
🔥Derby Match
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Nautico Recife- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sport Recife- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Nautico Recife3Wins · 30%Draws330%
Sport Recife4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
31/05/2026Sport RecifeNautico Recife20
08/03/2026Nautico RecifeSport Recife03
01/03/2026Sport RecifeNautico Recife33
18/01/2026Nautico RecifeSport Recife40
15/02/2025Sport RecifeNautico Recife12
06/04/2024Sport RecifeNautico Recife00
30/03/2024Nautico RecifeSport Recife02
24/02/2024Nautico RecifeSport Recife10
12/02/2023Nautico RecifeSport Recife22
29/09/2022Sport RecifeNautico Recife21
Clássico dos ClássicosFull head-to-head record
Recent Form
Nautico Recife3W5D2L
22/09/2026
CuiabaNautico RecifeNautico Recife
Operario-PR
America MineiroNautico RecifeNautico Recife
CearaNautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
CuiabaNautico Recife30
L16/09/2026Nautico RecifeOperario-PR33
D10/09/2026America MineiroNautico Recife21
L04/09/2026Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico RecifeBotafogo SP10
W29/08/2026Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico RecifeAthletic Club21
W23/08/2026
São BernardoNautico Recife
19/08/2026São BernardoNautico Recife11
DNautico RecifeCeara10
W15/08/2026
Ponte PretaNautico Recife
09/08/2026Ponte PretaNautico Recife11
DNautico RecifeAtletico Goianiense11
D26/07/2026
CriciumaNautico Recife
CriciumaNautico Recife00
DSport Recife5W1D4L
19/09/2026Sport Recife
Juventude
CRBSport Recife
NovorizontinoSport RecifeSport RecifeAmerica Mineiro
AvaiSport Recife
Vila NovaSport RecifeSport RecifeCuiaba
Sport RecifeJuventude21
W16/09/2026CRBSport Recife21
L11/09/2026Sport RecifePonte Preta
Sport RecifePonte Preta20
W05/09/2026CearaSport Recife
29/08/2026CearaSport Recife21
LNovorizontinoSport Recife21
L25/08/2026Sport RecifeAmerica Mineiro30
W20/08/2026AvaiSport Recife21
L15/08/2026Sport Recife
Londrina
08/08/2026Sport RecifeLondrina21
WVila NovaSport Recife01
W28/07/2026Sport RecifeCuiaba11
DReferee Profile
4.58Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.58 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).
Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64:31 | +33 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47:25 | +22 | 65 | DWDDW |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:38 | +14 | 63 | DLDWD |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38:30 | +8 | 62 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 62 | DDWDW |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | +4 | 55 | WLDWL |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48:39 | +9 | 55 | DWLDW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 55 | DLDDL |
| 9 |  Goias | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 52 | WDWWL |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51:40 | +11 | 52 | WWLDL |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 51 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 41:39 | +2 | 48 | DWWWW |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33:30 | +3 | 47 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42:41 | +1 | 47 | WLDDL |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40:46 | -6 | 46 | WLDLL |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | -8 | 43 | LLDLW |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33:46 | -13 | 37 | LLDWW |
| 18 | Londrina | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 45:54 | -9 | 32 | LLWDL |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26:55 | -29 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21:78 | -57 | 15 | LDDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 64:31 | 67 |
| 2 | Juventude | 36 | 47:25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 52:38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 38:30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 36 | 43:31 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 53:49 | 55 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 36 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 36 | 42:33 | 55 |
| 9 | Goias | 35 | 36:40 | 52 |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 36 | 51:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 36 | 46:48 | 51 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 36 | 41:39 | 48 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 33:30 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 36 | 40:46 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 38:46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 33:46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 36 | 45:54 | 32 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 36 | 26:55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 21:78 | 15 |
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About the Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife forecast
As a derby, this Serie B meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Nautico Recife and Sport Recife in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Sport Recife are 7th and Nautico Recife 15th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Nautico Recife 40-46, Sport Recife 48-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.