Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 30
Fortaleza EC
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Athletic Club
Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza 27/09/2026
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
2-2
Finished
Athletic ClubAthletic Club

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-0.1%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Fortaleza EC Rest
7 days
Athletic Club Rest
8 days

Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club: the result in context

Fortaleza EC and Athletic Club drew 2-2 in the Serie B on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.57
X
26%3.62
2
11%5.80
Double Chance
1X
89%1.12
X2
37%2.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.05
No
53%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 0.86 = 2.44
Over 1.5
70%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.06
Over 3.5
24%3.75
Under 1.5
30%3.10
Under 2.5
54%1.73
Under 3.5
76%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.5
67%1.47
Over 9.5
55%1.80
Over 10.5
45%2.32
Under 8.5
33%2.48
Under 9.5
45%1.91
Under 10.5
55%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
42%1.67
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
58%2.10

Match Events

42'Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro LindesAssist: Douglas da Silva Santos
45+4'Penalty confirmedRodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza
45+8'Maílton(Penalty)
50'Lucas Sasha
58'Dixon Vera INWilinton Aponza Carabali out
58'Joao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes INPedro Henrique de Oliveira out
58'Marcelo Henrique Laborão dos Santos INEnzo Henrique dos Santos out
60'Enzo Henrique dos SantosAssist: Douglas da Silva Santos
69'Jhan Pool Torres Cañete INFelipe Vieira da Silva out
69'Pedro Henrique INJuan Camilo Cantillo out
83'Felipe Negrucci Berdague INYago Santos de Andrade out
85'Rodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza INNathan Fogaça out
85'Vitor Ferreira INLucca Prior Pimenta out
90+4'Lucas Sasha INRodrigo Oliveira dos Santos out

Lineups

Fortaleza EC
4-3-3Coach: Paulo Autuori
Athletic Club
3-1-4-2Coach: Alex
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.63
João Ricardo6.01J. Ricardo
Maílton6.722Maílton
Lucas Gazal7.13L. Gazal
T. Cardona6.86T. Cardona
Kaio Henrique6.212K. Henrique
Lucas Sasha8.288L. Sasha
Pierre6.95Pierre
Rodriguinho6.375Rodriguinho
Vitinho6.811Vitinho
Luiz Fernando6.332L. Fernando
Pedro Henrique6.416P. Henrique
Luan Polli6.91L. Polli
Jhonatan6.93Jhonatan
Lucas Belezi6.54L. Belezi
J. Torres5.719J. Torres
Felipe Negrucci6.85F. Negrucci
Douglas Pelé7.52D. Pelé
Jota6.615Jota
Kauan Lindes7.910K. Lindes
Marcelo Henrique5.96M. Henrique
Max6.411Max
D. Vera6.621D. Vera

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

29Rodrigo90+4'for Lucas Sasha
21J. Cantillo69'for Pedro Henrique6.7
8Ronald
17Nathan Fogaça85'for Rodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza6.5
13Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
38Lucca85'for Vitor Ferreira6.2
77Paulo Baya
31Welliton
25Vinícius Silvestre
37Ryan Gustavo
23Neris
28Paulinho

Athletic Club Substitutes

20W. Aponza58'for Dixon Vera6.3
22Yarlen
12Tony
14Yago Santos83'for Felipe Negrucci Berdague6.0
13Felipe Vieira69'for Jhan Pool Torres Cañete6.1
17Assis
18Pedro Oliveira58'for Joao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes6.1
23Enzo58'for Marcelo Henrique Laborão dos Santos60'7.9
7Bruninho

Match Stats

Fortaleza ECAthletic Club
68%Ball Possession32%
5Corner Kicks1
16Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box3
9Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots0
15Fouls16
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
618Total Passes292
553Passes Accurate217
15Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1704Elo Rating 1559
1.69Attack 0.70
1.93Defense 1.73
39%Hit Rate 0%
14.0Shots per Game 15.2
4.3Shots on Target 3.5
6.1Corners per Game 6.5
2.0Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+146 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Athletic ClubAthletic Club1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie B30/05/2026
Athletic ClubFortaleza EC
10

Recent Form

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
5W5D0L
20/09/2026
LondrinaFortaleza EC
12
W13/09/2026
Fortaleza ECCeara
11
D10/09/2026
Fortaleza ECAvai
10
W
05/09/2026
GoiasFortaleza EC
01
W
01/09/2026
Fortaleza ECOperario-PR
11
D
23/08/2026
CriciumaFortaleza EC
02
W
20/08/2026
Fortaleza ECSão Bernardo
11
D15/08/2026
JuventudeFortaleza EC
00
D09/08/2026
CuiabaFortaleza EC
11
D06/08/2026
Fortaleza ECPalmeiras
32
W
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
4W2D4L
19/09/2026
Athletic ClubBotafogo SP
11
D13/09/2026
JuventudeAthletic Club
02
W09/09/2026
CuiabaAthletic Club
30
L
05/09/2026
Athletic ClubVila Nova
50
W
29/08/2026
Nautico RecifeAthletic Club
21
L
25/08/2026
Athletic ClubNovorizontino
14
L
21/08/2026
Athletic ClubCRB
02
L
16/08/2026
America MineiroAthletic Club
13
W09/08/2026
Athletic ClubCriciuma
20
W
29/07/2026
Ponte PretaAthletic Club
11
D

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino361910764:31+3367WWDWW
2JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC361614643:31+1262DDWDW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense361413942:33+955DLDDL
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3614101251:40+1152WWLDL
11Operario-PROperario-PR361491346:48-251LWLLL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP361391441:39+248DWWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3611141133:30+347LLLLD
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3611141142:41+147WLDDL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3612101440:46-646WLDLL
16CearaCeara3611101538:46-843LLDLW
17AvaiAvai361071933:46-1337LLDWW
18LondrinaLondrina36882045:54-932LLWDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3664:3167
2JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3643:3162
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3642:3355
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3651:4052
11Operario-PROperario-PR3646:4851
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3641:3948
13CuiabaCuiaba3633:3047
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3642:4147
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3640:4646
16CearaCeara3638:4643
17AvaiAvai3633:4637
18LondrinaLondrina3645:5432
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

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About the Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fortaleza EC and Athletic Club in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Fortaleza EC are 5th and Athletic Club 14th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortaleza EC 43-31, Athletic Club 42-41. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC and Athletic Club have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.