America Mineiro vs Juventude Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 30
America Mineiro
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Juventude
Arena Independência, Bello Harisanta·Lucas Casagrande 29/09/2026
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
0-1
Finished
JuventudeJuventude

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.20
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-8.0%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+4.4%
America Mineiro Rest
10 days
Juventude Rest
9 days

America Mineiro vs Juventude: the result in context

Juventude beat America Mineiro 1-0 in the Serie B on 28 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.16
X
26%3.28
2
52%1.87
Double Chance
1X
48%1.85
X2
79%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.98
No
51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.04 + 1.62 = 2.66
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.16
Over 3.5
27%3.80
Under 1.5
30%2.90
Under 2.5
54%1.65
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 5.2 = 10.7
Over 8.5
74%1.34
Over 9.5
64%1.69
Over 10.5
48%2.07
Under 8.5
26%2.83
Under 9.5
36%2.11
Under 10.5
52%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.1 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%2.00
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%1.73

Match Events

29'Bruno Brigido INGustavo out
45'Tobias Ostchega INLuidy Montes Carneiro out
56'Otavio GoncalvesFoul
57'Diogo BarbosaFoul
57'Alan Kardec INLuis Amarilla out
57'Mandaca INMarcos Paulo out
58'Gabriel Pires
58'Lucas Mineiro INGabriel Pires out
61'Marcos PauloAssist: Gabriel Pires
62'Julio César Leme Do Nascimento INKaique Zizero Moreira Dorna out
62'Otavio Goncalves INFelipe out
69'Messias Rodrigues da Silva Júnior INGabriel Barbosa Pinheiro out
69'Diogo Barbosa INPatryck out
76'Matías Segovia INMarcelo Enrique Maçola Filho out
77'Fabio lima INManuel Castro out
82'Barreto INHeitor Manuel Barcelos Lima out

Lineups

America Mineiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Douglas Leite
Juventude
3-5-2Coach: Maurício Barbieri
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating7.07
Bruno Brígido6.891B. Brígido
Fábio Almeida6.431F. Almeida
Rafael Barcelos7.04R. Barcelos
L. Sosa6.63L. Sosa
T. Ostchega6.125T. Ostchega
Barreto6.188Barreto
5555O. Goncalves
Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio6.337C. Leme Do Nascimento Julio
M. Segovia6.277M. Segovia
Paulo Victor6.720P. Victor
Willian6.49Willian
Jandrei7.893Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam7.734R. Sam
Messias7.54Messias
Marcos Paulo7.947M. Paulo
Aderlan6.513Aderlan
Raí7.275Raí
Lucas Mineiro7.18L. Mineiro
Mandaca7.344Mandaca
Diogo Barbosa6.316D. Barbosa
Fábio Lima6.311F. Lima
Alan Kardec6.79A. Kardec

America Mineiro Substitutes

8Felipe Amaral62'replaced by Otavio Goncalves6.6
1Gustavo29'for Bruno Brigido6.9
19William
13Heitor82'for Barreto6.5
5F. Elizari
99Marcelo Macola76'for Matías Segovia6.2
30L. Montes45'for Tobias Ostchega6.6
32Filipe
93J. Jiménez
26Manoel
70Kaique Zizero Moreira Dorna62'replaced by Julio César Leme Do Nascimento
71Cristian Do Espirito Santo Rodrigues

Juventude Substitutes

12Pedro Rocha
70Juan Christian
5Luan Gonçalves
30Patryck69'for Diogo Barbosa6.9
10Marcos Paulo57'for Mandaca61'7.8
3Titi
17M. Castro77'for Fabio lima6.5
97Gabriel Pinheiro69'for Messias Rodrigues da Silva Júnior7.2
29Gabriel Pires58'58'for Lucas Mineiro6.9
18L. Amarilla57'for Alan Kardec6.7
72Lucas Alves
2Raí Ramos

Match Stats

America MineiroJuventude
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box11
9Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots9
14Fouls9
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
402Total Passes569
324Passes Accurate495
9Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
JuventudeJuventude
1466Elo Rating 1707
0.50Attack 2.68
2.36Defense 2.15
50%Hit Rate 58%
10.9Shots per Game 17.3
2.9Shots on Target 6.5
4.4Corners per Game 4.6
2.7Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
JuventudeJuventude
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
JuventudeJuventude1Wins · 20%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie B30/05/2026
JuventudeAmerica Mineiro
30
Serie A06/08/2022
JuventudeAmerica Mineiro
01
Serie A17/04/2022
America MineiroJuventude
41
Serie A10/10/2021
JuventudeAmerica Mineiro
11
Serie A24/06/2021
America MineiroJuventude
11

Recent Form

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
3W0D7L
19/09/2026
Vila NovaAmerica Mineiro
10
L15/09/2026
America MineiroSão Bernardo
02
L10/09/2026
America MineiroNautico Recife
21
W
05/09/2026
CRBAmerica Mineiro
31
L
30/08/2026
America MineiroPonte Preta
20
W
25/08/2026
Sport RecifeAmerica Mineiro
30
L21/08/2026
NovorizontinoAmerica Mineiro
30
L16/08/2026
America MineiroAthletic Club
13
L08/08/2026
Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro
21
L26/07/2026
America MineiroGoias
10
W
JuventudeJuventude
4W3D3L
19/09/2026
Sport RecifeJuventude
21
L13/09/2026
JuventudeAthletic Club
02
L09/09/2026
CriciumaJuventude
02
W05/09/2026
JuventudeAtletico Goianiense
22
D
02/09/2026
LondrinaJuventude
00
D
26/08/2026
JuventudeCRB
21
W19/08/2026
GoiasJuventude
01
W15/08/2026
JuventudeFortaleza EC
00
D09/08/2026
NovorizontinoJuventude
01
W
05/08/2026
JuventudeAtletico-MG
01
L

Referee Profile

Lucas Casagrande70 matches

4.59Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Casagrande4.59
Other referees5.07

4.59 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).

Cards come from 54 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino361910764:31+3367WWDWW
2JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC361614643:31+1262DDWDW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense361413942:33+955DLDDL
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3614101251:40+1152WWLDL
11Operario-PROperario-PR361491346:48-251LWLLL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP361391441:39+248DWWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3611141133:30+347LLLLD
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3611141142:41+147WLDDL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3612101440:46-646WLDLL
16CearaCeara3611101538:46-843LLDLW
17AvaiAvai361071933:46-1337LLDWW
18LondrinaLondrina36882045:54-932LLWDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3664:3167
2JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3643:3162
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3642:3355
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3651:4052
11Operario-PROperario-PR3646:4851
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3641:3948
13CuiabaCuiaba3633:3047
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3642:4147
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3640:4646
16CearaCeara3638:4643
17AvaiAvai3633:4637
18LondrinaLondrina3645:5432
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

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About the America Mineiro vs Juventude forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

America Mineiro and Juventude in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Juventude are 2nd in the Serie B, while America Mineiro sit 19th, 39 points behind. League goal record so far: America Mineiro 26-55, Juventude 47-25. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Juventude have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.