Athletic Club vs Sport Recife Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 31
Athletic Club
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Sport Recife
Estadio Joaquim Portugal, Sao Joao del-Rei·Joao Vitor Gobi 02/10/2026
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1-2
Finished
Sport RecifeSport Recife

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
Athletic Club Rest
4 days
Sport Recife Rest
5 days

Athletic Club vs Sport Recife: the result in context

Sport Recife beat Athletic Club 2-1 in the Serie B on 2 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.25
X
29%3.14
2
25%3.20
Double Chance
1X
75%1.33
X2
54%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.94
No
48%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.25 = 2.61
Over 1.5
69%1.40
Over 2.5
44%2.30
Over 3.5
23%4.33
Under 1.5
31%2.75
Under 2.5
56%1.60
Under 3.5
77%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.5 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.35
Over 9.5
47%1.62
Over 10.5
37%2.02
Under 8.5
42%2.83
Under 9.5
53%2.11
Under 10.5
63%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
49%2.10
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
51%1.67

Match Events

14'Neto PessoaAssist: Juan
20'Marlon Douglas INCarlos María de Pena Bonino out
24'Kauan Rodrigues da SilvaAssist: Yago Santos de Andrade
26'Maswel Ananias SilvaDissent
33'Carlos María de Pena BoninoAssist: Claudinho
42'Pedro Henrique de Oliveira INWilinton Aponza Carabali out
45'Juan INPatrick de Paula Carreiro out
59'Yago Santos de Andrade INYarlen Faustino Augusto out
65'BielFoul
65'Carlos María de Pena BoninoDissent
70'Biel IN José Gabriel dos Santos Silva out
70'Neto Pessoa INPedro Henrique Perotti out
73'Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro LindesFoul
73'João Miguel INFelipe Negrucci Berdague out
73'Douglas da Silva Santos INDixon Vera out
73'Enzo Henrique dos Santos INOtavio Bruno Dos Santos out
90+4'Carlos María de Pena Bonino INEdson Lucas Pereira out

Lineups

Athletic Club
3-5-1-1Coach: Alex
Sport Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Soso
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.83
Luan Polli6.81L. Polli
Douglas Pelé7.02D. Pelé
Jhonatan7.43Jhonatan
Lucas Belezi6.94L. Belezi
Pedro Oliveira6.018P. Oliveira
Yago Santos7.714Y. Santos
João Miguel6.716J. Miguel
Kauan Lindes6.110K. Lindes
Enzo6.223Enzo
Kauan7.717Kauan
Max6.511Max
Thiago Couto8.826T. Couto
Claudinho6.827Claudinho
Marcelo Benevenuto6.45M. Benevenuto
Marcelo Ajul6.83M. Ajul
Raí6.476Raí
Biel6.16Biel
Willian Oliveira6.229W. Oliveira
Chrystian Barletta6.330C. Barletta
Juan Alano7.78J. Alano
Marlon6.231Marlon
Neto Pessoa8.019N. Pessoa

Athletic Club Substitutes

9Yarlen59'for Yago Santos de Andrade6.7
20W. Aponza42'for Pedro Henrique de Oliveira6.8
8G. Cabezas
22Diogo Batista
5Felipe Negrucci73'for João Miguel6.3
15Jota
6Marcelo Henrique
21D. Vera73'for Douglas da Silva Santos6.5
12Tony
19J. Torres
13Assis
7Bruninho73'for Enzo Henrique dos Santos6.6

Sport Recife Substitutes

40Matheus Miranda
21Brenno
96Edson90+4'replaced by Carlos María de Pena Bonino
9Perotti70'for Neto Pessoa6.5
77Dudu
25Clayson
7Patrick de Paula45'for Juan6.6
10C. de Pena20'for Marlon Douglas33'65'90+4'for Edson Lucas Pereira7.4
28Habraão
23Zé Gabriel70'for Biel6.3
80K. Andrade

Match Stats

Athletic ClubSport Recife
56%Ball Possession44%
8Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
30Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal5
12Shots off Goal6
20Shots Inside Box8
10Shots Outside Box4
10Blocked Shots1
12Fouls15
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves7
445Total Passes352
390Passes Accurate287
15Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
Sport RecifeSport Recife
1559Elo Rating 1598
0.70Attack 1.35
1.73Defense 1.77
0%Hit Rate 58%
15.2Shots per Game 15.1
3.5Shots on Target 4.9
6.5Corners per Game 4.8
2.1Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Athletic ClubAthletic Club1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
Sport RecifeSport Recife0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B11/06/2026
Sport RecifeAthletic Club
11
Copa Do Brasil18/03/2026
Sport RecifeAthletic Club
13

Recent Form

Athletic ClubAthletic Club
4W2D4L
27/09/2026
Fortaleza ECAthletic Club
22
D19/09/2026
Athletic ClubBotafogo SP
11
D13/09/2026
JuventudeAthletic Club
02
W09/09/2026
CuiabaAthletic Club
30
L
05/09/2026
Athletic ClubVila Nova
50
W
29/08/2026
Nautico RecifeAthletic Club
21
L
25/08/2026
Athletic ClubNovorizontino
14
L
21/08/2026
Athletic ClubCRB
02
L
16/08/2026
America MineiroAthletic Club
13
W09/08/2026
Athletic ClubCriciuma
20
W
Sport RecifeSport Recife
5W0D5L
26/09/2026
Nautico RecifeSport Recife
31
L19/09/2026
Sport RecifeJuventude
21
W16/09/2026
CRBSport Recife
21
L
11/09/2026
Sport RecifePonte Preta
20
W
05/09/2026
CearaSport Recife
21
L
29/08/2026
NovorizontinoSport Recife
21
L25/08/2026
Sport RecifeAmerica Mineiro
30
W20/08/2026
AvaiSport Recife
21
L
15/08/2026
Sport RecifeLondrina
21
W
08/08/2026
Vila NovaSport Recife
01
W

Referee Profile

Joao Vitor Gobi85 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
27.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Vitor Gobi4.81
Other referees5.06

4.81 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

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About the Athletic Club vs Sport Recife forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Athletic Club and Sport Recife in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Sport Recife are 7th and Athletic Club 14th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Athletic Club 40-40, Sport Recife 47-38. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Athletic Club and Sport Recife have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.