Boca Juniors vs River Plate Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 15
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Boca Juniors Rest
6 days
River Plate Rest
6 days
Boca Juniors vs River Plate: the result in context
Boca Juniors beat River Plate 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 1 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game. Referee Nicolas Ramirez averages 6.14 cards a game, 1.02 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.15
X32%3.12
227%3.69
Double Chance
1X73%1.27
X259%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.99
No52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 0.89 = 2.19
Over 1.566%1.42
Over 2.540%2.36
Over 3.520%4.35
Under 1.534%2.77
Under 2.560%1.60
Under 3.580%1.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.558%1.87
Over 9.546%2.44
Over 10.534%3.35
Under 8.542%1.85
Under 9.554%1.49
Under 10.566%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.8 = 5.3
Over 3.578%-
Over 4.561%-
Under 3.522%-
Under 4.539%-
Match Events
8'Card upgrade confirmedLucas Martinez Quarta
10'Lucas Martinez Quarta
13'Lucas Beltran INLautaro Rivero out
20'Lautaro Di LolloFoul
27'Lautaro Di LolloAssist: Sebastián Villa
43'Facundo Ezequiel HerreraFoul
45'Facundo Ezequiel Herrera INAyrton Enrique Costa out
45'Lucas Silva INLautaro Pereyra out
45+4'Marcos AcuñaArgument
45+5'Leandro ParedesTime wasting
57'Lautaro BlancoFoul
62'Leonel Flores INAlan Velasco out
68'Alan VelascoArgument
71'Thiago Almada INSebastián Driussi out
71'Tobías Andrada INJuan Cruz Meza out
76'Miguel Merentiel INEnner Valencia out
77'Enner ValenciaFoul
79'Gonzalo MontielSerious foul
82'Rafael BorréDissent
85'Tomás Ezequiel Galván INGiovanni Gonzalez out
88'Sebastián Villa INCarlos Palacios out
88'Leandro Paredes INTomás Belmonte out
90+7'Ayrton Enrique CostaFoul
Lineups
Boca JuniorsRiver Plate
4-3-1-2Coach: Leonardo PonzioAvg ratingAvg rating
1Á. Montero
17L. Lozano
2L. Di Lollo
42F. Herrera
3L. Blanco
25S. Ascacíbar
5L. Paredes
18M. Delgado
19L. Flores
16M. Merentiel
22S. Villa
41S. Beltrán
29G. Montiel
28L. Martínez
30N. Otamendi
21M. Acuña
50T. Andrada
44L. Silva
26T. Galván
23T. Almada
10Á. Correa
18L. BeltránBoca Juniors Substitutes
6R. Battaglia
15W. Alarcón
8T. Belmonte88'for Leandro Paredes
27M. Braida
12L. Brey
32A. Costa45'for Facundo Ezequiel Herrera90+7'
4N. Figal
24D. Gorosito
7C. Palacios88'for Sebastián Villa
26Marco Pellegrino
13E. Valencia76'for Miguel Merentiel77'
20A. Velasco62'for Leonel Flores68'
River Plate Substitutes
2T. Palacio
13L. Rivero13'for Lucas Beltran
9S. Driussi71'for Thiago Almada
33E. Centurión
19R. Borré82'
8M. Arambarri
27Santiago Joaquín Espíndola
20G. González85'for Tomás Ezequiel Galván
43V. Lucero
24J. Meza71'for Tobías Andrada
3F. Ortega
25L. Pereyra45'for Lucas Silva
Match Stats
Boca JuniorsRiver Plate 70%Ball Possession30%
10Corner Kicks2
7Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards2
16Total Shots3
6Shots on Goal0
8Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box1
6Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots0
17Fouls8
1Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves5
507Total Passes216
434Passes Accurate144
8Free Kicks17
Team Comparison
Boca JuniorsRiver Plate1826Elo Rating 1769
1.63Attack 1.46
2.13Defense 2.52
69%Hit Rate 66%
11.4Shots per Game 18.2
3.5Shots on Target 6.3
4.7Corners per Game 7.3
2.3Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Boca Juniors- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
River Plate- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Boca Juniors4Wins · 40%Draws220%
River Plate4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%1.5Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10
Previous meetings
19/04/2026River PlateBoca Juniors01
09/11/2025Boca JuniorsRiver Plate20
27/04/2025River PlateBoca Juniors21
21/09/2024Boca JuniorsRiver Plate01
07/05/2023River PlateBoca Juniors10
11/09/2022Boca JuniorsRiver Plate10
20/03/2022River PlateBoca Juniors01
03/10/2021River PlateBoca Juniors21
05/08/2021Boca JuniorsRiver Plate4010
16/05/2021Boca JuniorsRiver Plate4121
SuperclásicoFull head-to-head record
Recent Form
Boca Juniors7W2D1L
25/10/2026
IndependienteBoca Juniors
21/10/2026IndependienteBoca Juniors01
W
Vasco DA GamaBoca Juniors13
W17/10/2026Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba21
W14/10/2026Boca JuniorsVasco DA Gama01
L10/10/2026
Instituto CordobaBoca Juniors
03/10/2026Instituto CordobaBoca Juniors22
DBoca Juniors
Union Santa Fe30
W27/09/2026
Racing ClubBoca Juniors23
W20/09/2026
San LorenzoBoca Juniors
16/09/2026San LorenzoBoca Juniors02
W
Sao PauloBoca Juniors11
D12/09/2026Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago31
WRiver Plate6W2D2L
25/10/2026River PlateRacing Club
Sarmiento JuninRiver PlateRiver Plate
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoRiver Plate
Huracan
Atletico TucumanRiver PlateRiver Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
BanfieldRiver PlateRiver Plate
Santa FeRiver Plate
Velez Sarsfield
River PlateRacing Club10
W19/10/2026
Belgrano CordobaRiver Plate
15/10/2026Belgrano CordobaRiver Plate03
WSarmiento JuninRiver Plate11
D11/10/2026River PlateEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto10
W20/09/2026River PlateHuracan12
L12/09/2026Atletico TucumanRiver Plate12
W07/09/2026River PlateIndepend. Rivadavia31
W30/08/2026BanfieldRiver Plate23
W27/08/2026River PlateSanta Fe7181
L24/08/2026River PlateVelez Sarsfield22
DReferee Profile
6.14Cards per match
5.85Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.14 cards a match, 1.02 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).
Cards come from 102 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | DWWLW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | DLWWL |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | WLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWLLD |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | DDLLW |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | DWLDW |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | LDDLL |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | LDLWL |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | LDLDL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24:13 | +11 | 33 | DLWWL |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:14 | +9 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 25:15 | +10 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 19 | WDDWD |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 15 | DWWLW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 | WLLLD |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 15 | 24:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 23:14 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 9:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 20:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 31 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | +4 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | +5 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 22 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 21 | WLLWW |
| 8 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 | DWWWW |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 | LDLWL |
| 11 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 15 | DDLLW |
| 13 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 18:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 23:19 | 28 |
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | 19:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 13:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 23:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 15 | 12:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Tigre | 15 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 16:22 | 15 |
| 13 | Banfield | 14 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 16:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 15 | 10:21 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central 31/10/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba 31/10/26
- Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo 31/10/26
- Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba 01/11/26
- Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central 01/11/26
- Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe 01/11/26
- Lanus vs Gimnasia M. 02/11/26
- Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente 02/11/26
About the Boca Juniors vs River Plate forecast
As a derby, this Liga Profesional Argentina meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Liga Profesional Argentina
More Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
River Plate have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.