River Plate vs Racing Club Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 14
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
River Plate Rest
6 days
Racing Club Rest
7 days
River Plate vs Racing Club: the result in context
River Plate beat Racing Club 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
River Plate have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
165%1.46
X22%4.14
213%7.00
Double Chance
1X87%1.10
X235%2.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes46%2.06
No54%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.81 = 2.40
Over 1.573%1.29
Over 2.547%1.95
Over 3.528%3.40
Under 1.527%3.39
Under 2.553%1.85
Under 3.572%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.3 + 3.5 = 10.7
Over 8.572%1.72
Over 9.561%2.18
Over 10.550%2.90
Under 8.528%2.02
Under 9.539%1.59
Under 10.550%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.7 = 4.5
Over 3.566%1.26
Over 4.548%1.62
Under 3.534%3.60
Under 4.552%2.20
Match Events
17'Anibal Ismael Moreno INLucas Silva out
33'Lautaro RiveroAssist: Ángel Correa
40'Matías ZarachoFoul
42'Ezequiel CannavoFoul
45+4'Goal cancelledÁngel Correa
58'Lucas Beltran INJuan Cruz Meza out
58'Tomás Ezequiel Galván INLautaro Pereyra out
59'Alejandro Joaquín TelloFoul
66'Tomás ConechnyFoul
68'Matías Kranevitter INLeonel Pérez out
68'Alejandro Joaquín Tello INLautaro Diaz out
83'Tomás Conechny INDuván Vergara out
83'Matías Zaracho INAdrián Fernández out
87'Gastón Lódico INFrancisco Fraga out
88'Lucas SilvaFoul
90+3'Thiago Almada INRafael Borré out
Lineups
River PlateRacing Club
4-3-1-2Coach: S. RomeroAvg ratingAvg rating
41S. Beltrán
29G. Montiel
30N. Otamendi
13L. Rivero
3F. Ortega
50T. Andrada
6A. Moreno
26T. Galván
23T. Almada
10Á. Correa
18L. Beltrán
25F. Cambeses
4E. Cannavo
38M. Martinez
43G. Escudero
19I. Rodríguez
46A. Tello
5M. Kranevitter
20G. Lodico
11M. Zaracho
9A. Martínez
17T. ConechnyRiver Plate Substitutes
19R. Borré90+3'for Thiago Almada
8M. Arambarri
33E. Centurión
9S. Driussi
27Santiago Joaquín Espíndola
20G. González
31F. González
43V. Lucero
24J. Meza58'for Lucas Beltran
25L. Pereyra58'for Tomás Ezequiel Galván
2T. Palacio
44L. Silva17'for Anibal Ismael Moreno88'
Racing Club Substitutes
32L. Díaz68'for Alejandro Joaquín Tello
23N. Colombo
24A. Fernández83'for Matías Zaracho
40F. Fraga87'for Gastón Lódico
16D. Ortegoza
2M. Pérez
33L. Pérez68'for Matías Kranevitter
30M. Tagliamonte
22E. Torres
7D. Vergara83'for Tomás Conechny
42Galo Volpe
14J. Barinaga
Match Stats
River PlateRacing Club 49%Ball Possession51%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards4
12Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal1
8Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots5
9Fouls14
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
456Total Passes451
351Passes Accurate342
77%Pass Accuracy76%
Team Comparison
River PlateRacing Club1761Elo Rating 1623
1.68Attack 1.41
2.30Defense 1.44
61%Hit Rate 34%
20.1Shots per Game 11.0
6.5Shots on Target 4.2
7.7Corners per Game 6.5
1.4Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+138 Elo
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
River Plate- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
Racing Club- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
River Plate6Wins · 60%Draws220%
Racing Club2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
13/04/2026Racing ClubRiver Plate02
24/11/2025Racing ClubRiver Plate32
02/10/2025Racing ClubRiver Plate01
15/12/2024Racing ClubRiver Plate10
29/07/2023River PlateRacing Club21
23/10/2022Racing ClubRiver Plate12
27/02/2022River PlateRacing Club22
26/11/2021River PlateRacing Club40
28/03/2021River PlateRacing Club00
05/03/2021Racing ClubRiver Plate05
Recent Form
River Plate5W3D2L
19/10/2026
Belgrano CordobaRiver Plate
15/10/2026Belgrano CordobaRiver Plate03
W
Sarmiento JuninRiver Plate11
D11/10/2026River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto10
W20/09/2026River Plate
Huracan12
L12/09/2026
Atletico TucumanRiver Plate12
W07/09/2026River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia31
W30/08/2026
BanfieldRiver Plate23
W27/08/2026River Plate
Santa Fe7181
L24/08/2026River Plate
Velez Sarsfield22
D20/08/2026Santa FeRiver Plate
Santa FeRiver Plate00
DRacing Club3W2D5L
18/10/2026Racing Club
IndependienteRacing ClubBelgrano CordobaRacing Club
Boca JuniorsRacing ClubSarmiento JuninHuracanRacing ClubIndepend. RivadaviaRacing ClubRacing ClubBoca JuniorsRacing ClubBelgrano Cordoba
Racing ClubIndependiente11
D12/10/2026Racing ClubBelgrano Cordoba02
L05/10/2026Estudiantes de Rio CuartoRacing Club
27/09/2026Estudiantes de Rio CuartoRacing Club12
WRacing ClubBoca Juniors23
L19/09/2026Racing ClubSarmiento Junin31
W14/09/2026HuracanRacing Club21
L07/09/2026Racing ClubAtletico Tucuman
31/08/2026Racing ClubAtletico Tucuman12
LIndepend. RivadaviaRacing Club31
L24/08/2026Racing ClubBoca Juniors11
D20/08/2026Racing ClubBelgrano Cordoba10
WReferee Profile
5.08Cards per match
4.89Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.15).
Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWLLD |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWLLL |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | DWWDD |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | DLLWW |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | DWLDW |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | DDLLD |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | LDLWL |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:11 | +11 | 28 | WLWLW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | +3 | 25 | WWLLL |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | +6 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 22 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 21 | LLWWL |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 | DWWWW |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 | LDLWL |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 | DDLLD |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 | DLDLL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 22:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 18:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 21:18 | 25 |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 13:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 22:21 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 14 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 9:19 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin 23/10/26
- Gimnasia M. vs Platense 23/10/26
- Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia 24/10/26
- San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys 25/10/26
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 26/10/26
- Instituto Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra 27/10/26
- Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia 27/10/26
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. 30/10/26
About the River Plate vs Racing Club forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
River Plate and Racing Club in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, River Plate are 2nd and Racing Club 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: River Plate 22-12, Racing Club 17-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
River Plate have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Racing Club have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.