Gimnasia M. vs Platense Prediction

Gimnasia M.
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Platense
Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza·Hernan Mastrangelo 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Gimnasia M. Rest
5 days
Platense Rest
6 days

Gimnasia M. vs Platense: result, form and history

Platense beat Gimnasia M. 2-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Platense tend to win more corners, 8.6 a game to 2.6 for Gimnasia M..

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.46
X
31%2.96
2
31%3.02
Double Chance
1X
69%1.35
X2
62%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.92
No
53%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 0.95 = 2.13
Over 1.5
64%1.41
Over 2.5
37%2.32
Over 3.5
18%4.33
Under 1.5
36%2.75
Under 2.5
63%1.57
Under 3.5
82%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.77
Over 9.5
43%2.22
Over 10.5
32%3.00
Under 8.5
44%1.94
Under 9.5
57%1.57
Under 10.5
68%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%1.35
Over 4.5
51%1.73
Under 3.5
31%3.05
Under 4.5
49%2.00

Match Events

10'Agustín Módica
31'Ivan GómezFoul
37'Goal cancelledGonzalo Lencina
58'Ivan Gómez INMaximiliano Amarfil out
58'Bautista Merlini INFranco Zapiola Yamartino out
64'Luciano César Cingolani INMatías Vargas out
67'Diego MondinoFoul
72'Kevin Retamar INGuido Mainero out
72'Agustín Módica INBlas Armoa Nunez out
72'Juan Ignacio Saborido INAgustin Lagos out
79'Juan Carlos GautoAssist: Guido Mainero
80'Gonzalo Lencina INBruno Christian Sepulveda out
85'Facundo Lencioni INValentino Simoni out
85'Esteban Fernández INMartín Úbeda out
90+3'Bruno Christian SepulvedaAssist: Franco Zapiola Yamartino

Lineups

Gimnasia M.
4-1-4-1Coach: D. Franco
Platense
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Palermo
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.75
C. Rigamonti7.823C. Rigamonti
L. Paredes6.132L. Paredes
D. Mondino5.72D. Mondino
L. Carrera6.742L. Carrera
M. Recalde7.23M. Recalde
N. Barboza6.55N. Barboza
I. Sabatini6.317I. Sabatini
F. Lencioni6.626F. Lencioni
E. Fernández6.930E. Fernández
L. Cingolani6.07L. Cingolani
A. Módica7.79A. Módica
J. Cozzani6.230J. Cozzani
J. Saborido6.125J. Saborido
M. Mendia7.234M. Mendia
V. Cuesta6.831V. Cuesta
T. Silva6.33T. Silva
I. Gómez6.15I. Gómez
M. Barrios6.624M. Barrios
N. Retamar6.043N. Retamar
B. Merlini7.218B. Merlini
J. Gauto8.233J. Gauto
G. Lencina6.599G. Lencina

Gimnasia M. Substitutes

33B. Andrada
19J. Ceballos
36I. Cortez
22J. Franco
41G. Patritti
31L. Petruchi
11S. Rodríguez
35V. Simoni85'for Facundo Lencioni6.5
15U. Sánchez
8M. Vargas64'for Luciano César Cingolani6.2
25M. Ubeda85'for Esteban Fernández6.4
27B. Armoa72'for Agustín Módica6.4

Platense Substitutes

1B. Bustos
4A. Lagos72'for Juan Ignacio Saborido6.5
21A. Lotti
7G. Mainero72'for Kevin Retamar7.1
6E. Raggio
79B. Sepúlveda80'for Gonzalo Lencina90+3'8.1
16G. Togni
13I. Vázquez
10F. Zapiola58'for Bautista Merlini6.8
17Felipe Bussio
15M. Amarfil58'for Ivan Gómez6.3
38Celías Adán Ingenthron

Match Stats

Gimnasia M.Platense
49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots24
2Shots on Goal10
9Shots off Goal8
6Shots Inside Box16
8Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots6
12Fouls10
1Offsides4
8Goalkeeper Saves1
348Total Passes353
278Passes Accurate273
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
PlatensePlatense
1616Elo Rating 1608
0.46Attack 1.21
1.73Defense 1.98
19%Hit Rate 41%
12.0Shots per Game 17.5
2.1Shots on Target 5.0
2.6Corners per Game 8.6
2.4Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PlatensePlatense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
PlatensePlatense1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina12/04/2026
PlatenseGimnasia M.
11
Primera Nacional24/02/2019
Gimnasia M.Platense
03

Referee Profile

Hernan Mastrangelo165 matches

5.04Cards per match
4.79Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Hernan Mastrangelo5.04
Other referees5.24

5.04 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WWLWW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WDWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWLLW
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WWLWD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDWLL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324LWDLW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDWDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421LLWLD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LWWLW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLWW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WDWLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDLL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WLLLW
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215WDWWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba14102221:10+1132LWWLW
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027DWLLW
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1476122:14+827WDWWD
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727LLLWW
5LanusLanus1473417:10+724LWDLW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1456313:10+321WDWWL
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120WDWLL
8IndependienteIndependiente1454512:14-219WDWLL
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo145367:12-518DDWDL
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1452721:23-217LLWLD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114WWLWW
12PlatensePlatense1435614:20-614LDDLL
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1426610:14-412LLLDL
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210WLLLW
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1423913:22-99WWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1421:1032
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1423:1327
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1422:1427
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1420:1327
5LanusLanus1417:1024
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1413:1021
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1416:1520
8IndependienteIndependiente1412:1419
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo147:1218
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1421:2317
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1417:1814
12PlatensePlatense1414:2014
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1410:1412
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1411:2310
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1413:229

About the Gimnasia M. vs Platense forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gimnasia M. and Platense in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

Gimnasia M. and Platense are close in the Liga Profesional Argentina table, 11th and 12th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Gimnasia M. 14-22, Platense 10-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Gimnasia M. and Platense have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.