Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M. Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
56%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.67
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.61
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Estudiantes L.P. Rest
3 days
Gimnasia M. Rest
16 days
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M.: the result in context
Estudiantes L.P. beat Gimnasia M. 3-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 5 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Estudiantes L.P. tend to win more corners, 4.9 a game to 2.6 for Gimnasia M..
Match Forecasts
Match Result
156%1.67
X27%3.52
217%5.50
Double Chance
1X83%1.15
X244%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes46%2.05
No54%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 0.82 = 2.17
Over 1.567%1.36
Over 2.542%2.16
Over 3.522%3.95
Under 1.533%3.00
Under 2.558%1.67
Under 3.578%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.3 = 8.7
Over 8.553%1.77
Over 9.539%2.23
Over 10.532%2.97
Under 8.547%1.95
Under 9.561%1.56
Under 10.568%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.6 = 4.7
Over 3.568%1.27
Over 4.550%1.58
Under 3.532%3.55
Under 4.550%2.29
Match Events
24'Lucas Piovi INBautista Kociubinski out
41'Tomás O'ConnorFoul
45'Tomás O'Connor INJulián Ceballos out
52'Luciano ParedesFoul
66'Leandro Gonzalez PirezFoul
68'Adolfo Gaich INGuido Carrillo out
68'Miguel Monsalve INFabricio Pérez out
74'Matías Vargas INBlas Armoa Nunez out
74'Fermin Antonini INNahuel Barboza out
80'Diego MondinoFoul
82'Agustín Módica INValentino Simoni out
83'Edwuin Cetre(Penalty)
89'Joaquín Tobio Burgos INSantiago Arzamendia out
89'Bautista Kociubinski INJosé Sosa out
90'Esteban Fernández INSantiago Rodríguez out
90'Fabricio Pérez
90+4'Fabricio PérezAssist: Gastón Benedetti
Lineups
Estudiantes L.P.Gimnasia M.
4-2-3-1Coach: D. FrancoAvg ratingAvg rating
16F. Muslera
40E. Mancuso
4S. Núñez
14L. González
13G. Benedetti
21L. Ezequiel Piovi
31B. Gallego
17J. Burgos
34M. Monsalve
18E. Cetré
19A. Gaich
23C. Rigamonti
32L. Paredes
2D. Mondino
4E. Muñoz
3M. Recalde
21F. Antonini
28T. O'Connor
8M. Vargas
30E. Fernández
26F. Lencioni
9A. MódicaEstudiantes L.P. Substitutes
28B. Aguirre
53Leandro Luciano Alcaraz Torres
27L. Alario
15S. Arzamendia89'for Joaquín Tobio Burgos
12R. Borzone
9G. Carrillo68'for Adolfo Gaich
26R. Funes Mori
52B. Kociubinski24'for Lucas Piovi89'for José Sosa
36J. Pereyra
29F. Pérez Escudero68'for Miguel Monsalve90'90+4'
7J. Sosa89'replaced by Bautista Kociubinski
Gimnasia M. Substitutes
27B. Armoa74'for Matías Vargas
33B. Andrada
5N. Barboza74'for Fermin Antonini
42L. Carrera
19J. Ceballos45'for Tomás O'Connor
22J. Franco
16G. Guiffrey
31L. Petruchi
11S. Rodríguez90'for Esteban Fernández
10N. Romano
35V. Simoni82'for Agustín Módica
15U. Sánchez
Match Stats
Estudiantes L.P.Gimnasia M. 51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots3
14Fouls19
5Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
365Total Passes344
290Passes Accurate257
17Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
Estudiantes L.P.Gimnasia M.1663Elo Rating 1616
0.75Attack 0.46
1.52Defense 1.73
0%Hit Rate 19%
13.1Shots per Game 12.0
4.0Shots on Target 2.1
4.9Corners per Game 2.6
2.9Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Estudiantes L.P.- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Gimnasia M.- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Estudiantes L.P.1Wins · 100%Draws00%
Gimnasia M.0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1
Previous meetings
18/03/2026Gimnasia M.Estudiantes L.P.12
Recent Form
Estudiantes L.P.3W2D5L
02/10/2026
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.
LanusEstudiantes L.P.
CorinthiansEstudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.Corinthians
Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.10
L26/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
22/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central13
LLanusEstudiantes L.P.21
L17/09/2026CorinthiansEstudiantes L.P.01
W12/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.Platense21
W10/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.Corinthians11
D06/09/2026Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.10
L01/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.Newells Old Boys00
D28/08/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Barracas Central
23/08/2026Estudiantes L.P.Barracas Central31
WSarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.20
LGimnasia M.5W2D3L
19/09/2026Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y JusticiaGimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
Boca Juniors
IndependienteGimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
Instituto CordobaGimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
San LorenzoGimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Gimnasia M.Deportivo Riestra00
D12/09/2026Defensa Y JusticiaGimnasia M.20
L05/09/2026Gimnasia M.Boca Juniors22
D31/08/2026IndependienteGimnasia M.03
W22/08/2026Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia M.23
W18/08/2026Gimnasia M.Talleres Cordoba31
W09/08/2026Instituto CordobaGimnasia M.10
L01/08/2026Gimnasia M.Union Santa Fe20
W29/07/2026San LorenzoGimnasia M.10
L24/07/2026Gimnasia M.Central Cordoba de Santiago10
WReferee Profile
5.47Cards per match
5.24Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.47 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).
Cards come from 179 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | DWWLW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | LWDWL |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | DLWDL |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | DLLWL |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | DLWWL |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | LWDWL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | DWDWW |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | WLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24:13 | +11 | 33 | DLWWL |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:14 | +9 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 25:15 | +10 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 28 | LLLLW |
| 5 | Lanus | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | +7 | 25 | DLWDL |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 22 | DWDWW |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17:16 | +1 | 21 | LWDWL |
| 8 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 | LWDWL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 19 | WDDWD |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 15 | DWWLW |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 | WLLLD |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11:25 | -14 | 10 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 15 | 24:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 23:14 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 15 | 21:14 | 28 |
| 5 | Lanus | 15 | 18:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 15 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente | 15 | 13:15 | 20 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 9:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 15 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 20:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 15 | 11:25 | 10 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Huracan vs Aldosivi 04/10/26
- Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba 04/10/26
- Argentinos JRS vs Tigre 05/10/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Central Cordoba de Santiago 05/10/26
- Velez Sarsfield vs Platense 06/10/26
- Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin 09/10/26
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman 09/10/26
- Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia 10/10/26
About the Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M. forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Estudiantes L.P. and Gimnasia M. in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Estudiantes L.P. are 1st and Gimnasia M. 11th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Estudiantes L.P. 19-7, Gimnasia M. 14-22. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Estudiantes L.P. and Gimnasia M. have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.