Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction

Aldosivi
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Sarmiento Junin
Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata·Luis Lobo Medina 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.50
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Aldosivi Rest
4 days
Sarmiento Junin Rest
20 days

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin: result, form and history

Sarmiento Junin beat Aldosivi 3-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sarmiento Junin have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.55
X
29%3.09
2
34%2.88
Double Chance
1X
66%1.37
X2
63%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.93
No
52%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.05 = 2.17
Over 1.5
65%1.40
Over 2.5
39%2.35
Over 3.5
20%4.32
Under 1.5
35%2.79
Under 2.5
61%1.58
Under 3.5
80%1.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.6 = 10.5
Over 8.5
66%1.50
Over 9.5
56%1.90
Over 10.5
47%2.40
Under 8.5
34%2.40
Under 9.5
44%1.84
Under 10.5
53%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%1.29
Over 4.5
46%1.57
Under 3.5
35%3.40
Under 4.5
54%2.30

Match Events

18'Junior MarabelAssist: Jhon Rentería
20'Lucas CastroAssist: Martín García
27'Javier Esteban SanguinettiDissent
29'Nicolas ZalazarFoul
29'Leonardo SigaliDissent
32'Rodrigo González INSantiago Moya out
33'Mauricio MartínezFoul
38'Lucas·SuarezFoul
45'Nicolás Linares INTomás Fernández out
45+1'Lucas CastroFoul
51'Ulises Adrian GimenezFoul
58'Ulises Adrian Gimenez INSantiago Salle out
58'Elián Giménez INManuel García out
62'Jhon Rentería INGaston Gonzalez out
65'Nicolás Cordero INAndrés Chávez out
77'Mauricio Martínez INJonathan Herrera out
78'Junior Marabel INPablo Daniel Magnin out
79'Nicolás Gaitán INBautista Dadín out
81'Tomás FernándezFoul
83'Martín GarcíaDissent
86'Julian MavillaAssist: Jonathan Herrera
89'Jonathan HerreraAssist: Thyago Ayala

Lineups

Aldosivi
4-4-1-1Coach: J. Sanguinetti
Sarmiento Junin
4-3-3Coach: Facundo Sava
Avg rating6.05
Avg rating6.61
I. Chicco5.923I. Chicco
R. González5.74R. González
L. Sigali5.62L. Sigali
N. Zalazar5.533N. Zalazar
B. Cufré5.613B. Cufré
N. Gaitán6.010N. Gaitán
N. Linares5.95N. Linares
L. Castro6.719L. Castro
B. Palavecino6.411B. Palavecino
M. García6.48M. García
N. Cordero6.39N. Cordero
T. Ayala6.812T. Ayala
U. Giménez5.820U. Giménez
R. Orihuela6.444R. Orihuela
J. Insaurralde6.22J. Insaurralde
L. Suárez5.73L. Suárez
E. Giménez6.123E. Giménez
C. Zabala6.315C. Zabala
Mauricio Leonel Martínez6.316M. Leonel Martínez
Jhon Rentería6.710J. Rentería
J. Marabel7.727J. Marabel
J. Mavilla8.221J. Mavilla

Aldosivi Substitutes

80L. Chávez
24F. Anso
25N. Breitenbruch
41Kevin Báez
16B. Dadín79'for Nicolás Gaitán6.3
27T. Fernández45'for Nicolás Linares81'6.1
21M. Godoy
7N. Guzmán
17F. Laurelli
28S. Moya32'for Rodrigo González5.9
15F. Perruzzi

Sarmiento Junin Substitutes

6G. Arturia
19J. Contrera
33G. Díaz
5M. García58'for Elián Giménez6.2
11G. González62'for Jhon Rentería6.5
24J. Herrera77'for Mauricio Martínez89'7.6
7P. Magnín78'for Junior Marabel6.6
17A. Nadruz
77N. Pasquini
8S. Salle58'for Ulises Adrian Gimenez6.6
29T. Santamaría
1I. Arboleda

Match Stats

AldosiviSarmiento Junin
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks1
5Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal10
9Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots1
17Fouls15
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
322Total Passes348
209Passes Accurate248
14Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

AldosiviAldosivi
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
1494Elo Rating 1624
1.09Attack 1.06
1.02Defense 1.45
17%Hit Rate 17%
14.1Shots per Game 10.8
4.3Shots on Target 2.7
3.7Corners per Game 3.5
2.6Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AldosiviAldosivi
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

AldosiviAldosivi0Wins · 0%
Draws117%
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin5Wins · 83%
2.5Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina22/03/2026
Sarmiento JuninAldosivi
20
Liga Profesional Argentina14/09/2025
Sarmiento JuninAldosivi
20
Liga Profesional Argentina01/03/2025
AldosiviSarmiento Junin
22
Liga Profesional Argentina03/09/2022
AldosiviSarmiento Junin
12
Liga Profesional Argentina09/10/2021
Sarmiento JuninAldosivi
30
Primera Nacional24/03/2018
Sarmiento JuninAldosivi
10

Referee Profile

Luis Lobo Medina208 matches

5.68Cards per match
5.38Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luis Lobo Medina5.68
Other referees5.23

5.68 cards a match, 0.45 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).

Cards come from 87 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWWWW
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029LWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WLWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WLWLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWLLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DWWDD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DLLWW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021DWLDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLWWL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1484222:11+1128WLWLW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1484218:11+728WLWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1474321:18+325WWLLL
4River PlateRiver Plate1472519:13+623LWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1464414:11+322DWLLD
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1464413:11+222DWLDW
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1463522:21+121LLWWL
8HuracanHuracan1454512:14-219DWWDD
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1454517:22-519DWWWW
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
12TigreTigre1434713:16-313DDLLD
13Racing ClubRacing Club1433814:21-712DLLWW
14AldosiviAldosivi1432915:22-711DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto142399:19-109LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1422:1128
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1418:1128
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1421:1825
4River PlateRiver Plate1419:1323
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1414:1122
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1413:1122
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1422:2121
8HuracanHuracan1412:1419
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1417:2219
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
12TigreTigre1413:1613
13Racing ClubRacing Club1414:2112
14AldosiviAldosivi1415:2211
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto149:199

About the Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aldosivi and Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Sarmiento Junin are 11th and Aldosivi 14th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Aldosivi 6-19, Sarmiento Junin 13-20. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.