Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 15
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Sarmiento Junin Rest
7 days
Rosario Central Rest
5 days
Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central: result, form and history
Rosario Central beat Sarmiento Junin 2-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 31 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Rosario Central had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sarmiento Junin.
Rosario Central have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game. Referee Andres Merlos averages 4.38 cards a game, 0.93 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
123%4.05
X26%3.51
251%1.85
Double Chance
1X49%1.91
X277%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.75
No49%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.99 + 1.14 = 2.13
Over 1.570%1.27
Over 2.545%1.90
Over 3.524%3.20
Under 1.530%3.55
Under 2.555%1.87
Under 3.576%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 5.3 = 10.2
Over 8.567%1.48
Over 9.556%1.83
Over 10.544%2.26
Under 8.533%2.43
Under 9.544%1.90
Under 10.556%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.1 = 4.6
Over 3.567%1.38
Over 4.549%1.83
Under 3.533%2.90
Under 4.551%1.83
Match Events
5'Manuel GarcíaAssist: Julian Mavilla
11'Juan Manuel InsaurraldeFoul
13'Elián GiménezFoul
29'Gaston AvilaAssist: Enzo Copetti
31'Álan RodríguezFoul
43'Julian MavillaDissent
44'Cristian Exequiel Zabala INMauricio Martínez out
51'Thiago SantamaríaFoul
55'Thiago Santamaría INSantiago Salle out
55'Julian Mavilla INRenzo Orihuela out
57'Franco Cervi INJuan Giménez out
59'Ángel Di María INJulian Fernandez out
65'Emanuel CoronelFoul
67'Renzo Orihuela
75'Álan Rodríguez INMarco Ruben out
76'Emanuel Coronel INElías Enzo Verón out
82'Junior Marabel INJonathan Herrera out
82'Manuel García INGastón Alberto Arturia out
88'Card upgrade confirmedSantiago Salle
90'Santiago SalleSerious foul
90+5'Gaston AvilaAssist: Ignacio Ovando
Lineups
Sarmiento JuninRosario Central
4-2-3-1Coach: J. AlmirónAvg ratingAvg rating
12T. Ayala
29T. Santamaría
2J. Insaurralde
3L. Suárez
20U. Giménez
5M. García
15C. Zabala
11G. González
23E. Giménez
21J. Mavilla
27J. Marabel
23J. Ledesma
32E. Coronel
46I. Ovando
13G. Ávila
3A. Sandez
88A. Rodríguez
20V. Pizarro
11Á. Di María
10F. Cervi
8J. Campaz
22E. CopettiSarmiento Junin Substitutes
35F. Alaggia
1I. Arboleda
24J. Herrera82'for Junior Marabel
7P. Magnín
16Mauricio Leonel Martínez44'for Cristian Exequiel Zabala
44R. Orihuela55'for Julian Mavilla67'
77N. Pasquini
8S. Salle55'for Thiago Santamaría90'
26Y. Arismendi
6G. Arturia82'for Manuel García
9D. Churín
36R. Maisterra
Rosario Central Substitutes
35L. Ramos
15F. Mallo
9M. Ruben75'for Álan Rodríguez
33A. Soto
42E. Veron76'for Emanuel Coronel
1A. Werner
2S. Zaracho
19L. Segovia
24Juan Valentín Giménez57'for Franco Cervi
18J. Fernández59'for Ángel Di María
16T. Badaloni
Match Stats
Sarmiento JuninRosario Central 35%Ball Possession65%
2Corner Kicks13
4Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards0
7Total Shots17
2Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal8
4Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots3
11Fouls8
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
242Total Passes436
161Passes Accurate346
8Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Sarmiento JuninRosario Central1613Elo Rating 1806
1.05Attack 2.55
1.50Defense 2.20
14%Hit Rate 86%
10.0Shots per Game 16.8
2.7Shots on Target 6.5
3.3Corners per Game 7.7
3.8Cards per Game 1.6
Game State Tendencies
Sarmiento Junin- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Rosario Central- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Sarmiento Junin2Wins · 29%Draws00%
Rosario Central5Wins · 71%
5Wins · 71%2.6Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7
Previous meetings
20/04/2026Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin21
24/10/2025Sarmiento JuninRosario Central01
23/02/2025Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin10
20/07/2024Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin42
04/03/2023Sarmiento JuninRosario Central41
09/07/2022Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin10
07/08/2021Sarmiento JuninRosario Central10
Recent Form
Sarmiento Junin4W3D3L
23/10/2026
Gimnasia L.P.Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
Barracas CentralSarmiento Junin
River Plate
AldosiviSarmiento Junin
Racing ClubSarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
Belgrano Cordoba
Union Santa FeSarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.Sarmiento Junin20
L20/10/2026Sarmiento JuninBarracas Central11
D15/10/2026Sarmiento JuninRiver Plate11
D09/10/2026AldosiviSarmiento Junin13
W19/09/2026Racing ClubSarmiento Junin31
L13/09/2026Sarmiento JuninBelgrano Cordoba11
D04/09/2026
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSarmiento Junin
29/08/2026Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSarmiento Junin02
WUnion Santa FeSarmiento Junin41
L23/08/2026Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.20
W16/08/2026Sarmiento Junin
Huracan
Sarmiento JuninHuracan20
WRosario Central6W3D1L
25/10/2026Rosario CentralHuracan
Rosario CentralHuracan20
W18/10/2026
Atletico TucumanRosario Central
11/10/2026Atletico TucumanRosario Central23
WRosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia50
W06/10/2026
BanfieldRosario Central
BanfieldRosario Central11
D26/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central
20/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central13
WRosario Central
Argentinos JRS10
W13/09/2026
TigreRosario Central01
W06/09/2026Rosario Central
Newells Old Boys
29/08/2026Rosario CentralNewells Old Boys11
DRosario CentralGimnasia L.P.12
L25/08/2026
Talleres CordobaRosario Central22
DReferee Profile
4.38Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.38 cards a match, 0.93 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).
Cards come from 176 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | LDWLL |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | DDWLD |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | LDDLL |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | LDLWL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | LDLDL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 31 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | +4 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | +5 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | LDWLL |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | +2 | 23 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 21 | WLLWW |
| 8 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 | DWWWW |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 | LDLWL |
| 11 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 15 | DDLLW |
| 13 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 18:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 23:19 | 28 |
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | 19:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 15 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 15 | 15:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 23:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 15 | 12:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Tigre | 15 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 16:22 | 15 |
| 13 | Banfield | 14 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 16:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 15 | 10:21 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Instituto Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra 27/10/26
- Argentinos JRS vs Independ. Rivadavia 27/10/26
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P. 30/10/26
- Huracan vs Tigre 30/10/26
- Racing Club vs Aldosivi 31/10/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Talleres Cordoba 31/10/26
- Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo 31/10/26
- Estudiantes L.P. vs Instituto Cordoba 01/11/26
About the Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sarmiento Junin and Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Rosario Central are 4th and Sarmiento Junin 11th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Sarmiento Junin 13-20, Rosario Central 20-16. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.