Bolton vs Stoke City Prediction
England · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Bolton vs Stoke City: the result in context
Stoke City beat Bolton 2-1 in the Championship on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Stoke City had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Bolton.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Bolton
Avg ratingAvg rating
31G. Bazunu
22G. Larrazabal
18E. Toal
6B. Davies
25M. Conway
8J. Sheehan
21E. Erhahon
7K. Dong
20R. Rodrigues
11T. Gale
10S. Dalby
1V. Johansson
16B. Wilmot
40M. Talovierov
5L. Graham
2B. Johnson
27E. Hadji Djibril Soumaré
8E. Galbraith
17E. Bocat
13J. Devenny
11L. Cissé
7J. McGlynnBolton Substitutes
Stoke City Substitutes
Match Stats
BoltonStoke City Team Comparison
BoltonStoke CityAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Bolton- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Stoke City- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Bolton
NorwichBoltonBolton
CardiffBolton
West Ham
MillwallBolton
Sheffield UtdBoltonBolton
Lincoln
QPRBoltonBolton
Preston
Sheffield WednesdayBoltonBolton
NAC BredaStoke CityStoke CitySheffield Utd
WatfordStoke CityCardiffStoke CityStoke City
CharltonStoke CityNorwich
WolvesStoke CityStoke City
Hull City
SouthamptonStoke CityStoke City
SwanseaStoke City
OldhamReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.29 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).
Cards come from 131 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 10:27 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Bolton vs Stoke City forecast
The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Bolton and Stoke City in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Stoke City are 7th and Bolton 19th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Bolton 18-26, Stoke City 20-16. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Bolton and Stoke City have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.