Norwich vs Bolton Prediction

Norwich
3-4
Finished
HT 2-2
Bolton
Carrow Road, Norwich·Tom Nield 20/09/2026
NorwichNorwich
3-4
Finished
BoltonBolton

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-10.3%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+2.3%
Norwich Rest
2 days
Bolton Rest
8 days

Norwich vs Bolton: result, form and history

Bolton beat Norwich 4-3 in the Championship on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.40
X
21%4.90
2
16%6.60
Double Chance
1X
84%1.09
X2
37%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.62
No
43%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.05 = 2.73
Over 1.5
82%1.11
Over 2.5
61%1.44
Over 3.5
40%2.13
Under 1.5
18%5.50
Under 2.5
39%2.63
Under 3.5
60%1.68
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.3 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.35
Over 9.5
53%1.62
Over 10.5
42%2.01
Under 8.5
35%2.88
Under 9.5
47%2.14
Under 10.5
58%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%2.11
Over 4.5
29%3.20
Under 3.5
52%1.67
Under 4.5
71%1.32

Match Events

5'Mohamed ToureAssist: Andre Brooks
8'Thierry GaleAssist: Ruben Rodrigues
15'Mohamed Toure INJ. Makama out
19'Ruairi McConvilleAssist: Oscar Schwartau
42'Gaizka LarrazabalAssist: Max Conway
47'Sam DalbyAssist: Kyliane Dong
59'Oscar Schwartau INJacob Wright out
59'Anthony Musaba INParis Maghoma out
61'Jack StaceyAssist: Paris Maghoma
70'Kyliane Dong INSamuel Iling out
70'Ruben Rodrigues INAtsuki Ito out
72'Atsuki ItoAssist: Samuel Iling
82'Andre Brooks INAnte Crnac out
83'Gaizka Larrazabal INXavier Simons out
90+2'Sam Dalby INThelonius Bair out

Lineups

Norwich
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Clement
Bolton
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Schumacher
Avg rating6.33
Avg rating6.56
V. Kovačević6.01V. Kovačević
J. Stacey6.53J. Stacey
Ruairi McConville7.115R. McConville
J. Córdoba6.433J. Córdoba
B. Chrisene5.714B. Chrisene
K. McLean6.123K. McLean
P. Mattsson6.27P. Mattsson
A. Brooks6.311A. Brooks
A. Musaba5.949A. Musaba
O. Schwartau6.729O. Schwartau
M. Touré7.621M. Touré
G. Bazunu5.931G. Bazunu
Gaizka Larrazabal6.922G. Larrazabal
E. Toal6.318E. Toal
B. Davies6.56B. Davies
M. Conway6.425M. Conway
J. Sheehan6.48J. Sheehan
E. Erhahon6.221E. Erhahon
K. Dong6.57K. Dong
Ruben Rodrigues6.220R. Rodrigues
T. Gale7.311T. Gale
S. Dalby7.910S. Dalby

Norwich Substitutes

25P. Maghoma59'for Anthony Musaba6.1
24J. Makama15'for Mohamed Toure6.3
13D. Yongwa
16Jacob Wright59'for Oscar Schwartau5.9
17A. Crnac82'for Andre Brooks6.3
6H. Darling
26S. Field
35K. Fisher
32D. Grimshaw

Bolton Substitutes

14A. Famewo
16S. Iling-Junior70'for Kyliane Dong6.6
17A. Ito70'for Ruben Rodrigues72'6.9
45J. McAtee
26J. Nelson
4X. Simons83'for Gaizka Larrazabal5.8
12D. Watson
9T. Bair90+2'for Sam Dalby
1J. Bonham

Match Stats

NorwichBolton
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks2
10Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots1
11Fouls12
8Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves1
468Total Passes330
377Passes Accurate258
10Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

NorwichNorwich
BoltonBolton
1649Elo Rating 1618
1.40Attack 1.58
1.41Defense 0.70
27%Hit Rate 34%
12.1Shots per Game 14.6
4.0Shots on Target 4.5
4.0Corners per Game 3.7
1.8Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

NorwichNorwich
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BoltonBolton
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

NorwichNorwich
5W0D5L
17/09/2026
Manchester CityNorwich
50
L
12/09/2026
MiddlesbroughNorwich
43
L
09/09/2026
NorwichBirmingham
21
W
05/09/2026
Sheffield UtdNorwich
13
W
01/09/2026
Stoke CityNorwich
10
L
29/08/2026
NorwichBurnley
41
W
25/08/2026
CardiffNorwich
12
W
22/08/2026
MillwallNorwich
30
L
15/08/2026
NorwichWest Brom
12
L
08/08/2026
NorwichMilton Keynes Dons
41
W
BoltonBolton
3W2D5L
12/09/2026
BoltonCardiff
10
W
08/09/2026
BoltonWest Ham
23
L
05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
40
L
01/09/2026
Sheffield UtdBolton
32
L
29/08/2026
BoltonLincoln
01
L
22/08/2026
QPRBolton
00
D
15/08/2026
BoltonPreston
21
W
08/08/2026
Sheffield WednesdayBolton
10
L
01/08/2026
BoltonNAC Breda
10
W
28/07/2026
Fleetwood TownBolton
11
D

Referee Profile

Tom Nield182 matches

3.70Cards per match
3.62Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tom Nield3.70
Other referees3.72

3.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.72).

Cards come from 173 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2BirminghamBirmingham1365223:13+1023WLWWW
3Stoke CityStoke City1372420:16+423WDWLW
4SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
5West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
6WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
7West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
8SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
9QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
13NorwichNorwich1350823:24-115WWLLL
14MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
15Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
16LincolnLincoln1343614:23-915LWDLL
17CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
18WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
19BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
20CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
21WatfordWatford1332812:23-1111LLWLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston13121010:27-175LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2BirminghamBirmingham1323:1323
3Stoke CityStoke City1320:1623
4SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
5West HamWest Ham1232:1522
6WolvesWolves1220:1621
7West BromWest Brom1216:1321
8SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
9QPRQPR1220:1220
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
13NorwichNorwich1323:2415
14MillwallMillwall1219:2015
15Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
16LincolnLincoln1314:2315
17CardiffCardiff1219:1714
18WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
19BoltonBolton1216:2314
20CharltonCharlton1211:1814
21WatfordWatford1312:2311
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1310:275
PromotionRelegation

About the Norwich vs Bolton forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Norwich and Bolton in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Norwich are 13th and Bolton 19th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Norwich 23-24, Bolton 16-23. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Norwich and Bolton have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.