Charlton vs Bristol City Prediction

Charlton
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Bristol City
The Valley, London·Tom Reeves 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-7.8%
Charlton Rest
21 days
Bristol City Rest
7 days

Charlton vs Bristol City: result, form and history

Charlton and Bristol City drew 1-1 in the Championship on 10 Oct 2026. Bristol City had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Charlton.

Referee Tom Reeves averages 3.43 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%3.13
X
29%3.25
2
40%2.27
Double Chance
1X
60%1.60
X2
69%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.80
No
49%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.31 = 2.50
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
47%2.06
Over 3.5
26%3.60
Under 1.5
29%3.25
Under 2.5
53%1.73
Under 3.5
74%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 5 = 10
Over 8.5
67%1.34
Over 9.5
55%1.62
Over 10.5
45%2.01
Under 8.5
33%3.00
Under 9.5
45%2.22
Under 10.5
55%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.87
Over 4.5
41%2.86
Under 3.5
40%1.83
Under 4.5
59%1.39

Match Events

8'Karlan GrantAssist: Tyreece Campbell
27'Scott Twine(Penalty)
53'Micah Mbick INKayne Ramsay out
53'Josh Edwards INIvan Mesik out
65'Yu Hirakawa INCameron Pring out
65'Brian de Keersmaecker INSam Greenwood out
69'Billy KoumetioFoul
77'Miles Leaburn INCharlie Kelman out
77'Karlan Grant INHarvey Knibbs out
78'Adam Randell INGibson Osahumen Yah out
78'Scott Twine INElijah Adebayo out
89'Tyreece Campbell INMillenic Alli out
90+2'Ivan MesikArgument
90+2'Elijah AdebayoArgument
90+3'Dominic Ballard INSam Bellis out

Lineups

Charlton
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Jones
Bristol City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Skubala
Avg rating6.40
Avg rating6.40
A. Okonkwo6.113A. Okonkwo
D. McNamara6.320D. McNamara
L. Jones6.45L. Jones
Billy Dawson Koumetio6.212B. Dawson Koumetio
J. Edwards5.93J. Edwards
C. Coventry6.26C. Coventry
O. Skipp6.834O. Skipp
K. Ahearne-Grant7.29K. Ahearne-Grant
Micah Mbick6.633M. Mbick
T. Campbell6.77T. Campbell
M. Leaburn6.711M. Leaburn
S. Tickle6.01S. Tickle
G. Tanner6.219G. Tanner
L. McNally6.515L. McNally
R. Atkinson6.75R. Atkinson
Rio Cardines6.321R. Cardines
A. Randell6.94A. Randell
B. De Keersmaecker6.86B. De Keersmaecker
Y. Hirakawa6.17Y. Hirakawa
J. Knight6.312J. Knight
S. Twine7.110S. Twine
D. Ballard6.423D. Ballard

Charlton Substitutes

18I. Mesík53'for Josh Edwards90+2'6.0
19M. Alli89'for Tyreece Campbell6.5
17A. Bell
14S. Carey
8H. Knibbs77'for Karlan Grant6.3
23C. Kelman77'for Miles Leaburn6.6
25W. Mannion
2K. Ramsay53'for Micah Mbick6.1
26J. Rankin-Costello

Bristol City Substitutes

45E. Adebayo78'for Scott Twine90+2'6.2
11S. Bell90+3'for Dominic Ballard6.5
40B. Collins
2L. Eissat
17J. Wallace
20S. Greenwood65'for Brian de Keersmaecker6.6
14T. Horvat
3C. Pring65'for Yu Hirakawa5.9
27G. Yah78'for Adam Randell6.0

Match Stats

CharltonBristol City
54%Ball Possession46%
5Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots5
13Fouls11
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
390Total Passes330
270Passes Accurate225
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

CharltonCharlton
Bristol CityBristol City
1534Elo Rating 1587
0.97Attack 0.31
0.76Defense 2.41
0%Hit Rate 14%
10.0Shots per Game 12.2
3.6Shots on Target 3.1
3.8Corners per Game 5.4
3.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CharltonCharlton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bristol CityBristol City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

CharltonCharlton0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
Bristol CityBristol City1Wins · 50%
1.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Championship03/04/2026
CharltonBristol City
12
Championship16/08/2025
Bristol CityCharlton
00

Recent Form

CharltonCharlton
4W3D3L
19/09/2026
CardiffCharlton
31
L
12/09/2026
CharltonPortsmouth
00
D
09/09/2026
CharltonQPR
00
D
05/09/2026
Stoke CityCharlton
40
L
02/09/2026
West BromCharlton
11
D
29/08/2026
CharltonPreston
10
W
26/08/2026
TottenhamCharlton
51
L
22/08/2026
West HamCharlton
12
W
15/08/2026
CharltonDerby
21
W
08/08/2026
CheltenhamCharlton
13
W
Bristol CityBristol City
5W1D4L
03/10/2026
Crystal PalaceBristol City
02
W
18/09/2026
Bristol CityWatford
10
W
15/09/2026
Bristol CityLincoln
01
L
12/09/2026
SouthamptonBristol City
41
L
05/09/2026
BurnleyBristol City
12
W
01/09/2026
PrestonBristol City
13
W
29/08/2026
Bristol CityPortsmouth
21
W
22/08/2026
BirminghamBristol City
22
D
15/08/2026
Bristol CityMillwall
02
L
06/08/2026
Bristol CityWalsall
01
L

Referee Profile

Tom Reeves183 matches

3.43Cards per match
3.30Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tom Reeves3.43
Other referees3.93

3.43 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.93).

Cards come from 155 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
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About the Charlton vs Bristol City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Charlton and Bristol City in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Bristol City are 14th and Charlton 19th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Charlton 11-18, Bristol City 12-15. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Charlton and Bristol City have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.